{"id":273325,"date":"2023-08-13T20:50:08","date_gmt":"2023-08-13T18:50:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=273325"},"modified":"2023-08-13T20:50:26","modified_gmt":"2023-08-13T18:50:26","slug":"revealed-ulez-expansion-predicted-to-cut-air-pollution-by-just-1-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=273325","title":{"rendered":"Revealed: Ulez Expansion Predicted to Cut Air Pollution by Just 1.5%"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From The Daily Sceptic<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By\u00a0ALEX KRIEL<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Listening to the discussion over\u00a0Ulez expansion feels like an action replay of the way in which many were convinced to overreact to\u00a0Covid, leading to policy responses which caused significantly more harm than good. The\u00a0Ulez \u2018discussion\u2019 has all of the same elements, with modelled health benefits calculated by Imperial College and Mayor Khan\u2019s justification that he is \u201csaving lives\u201d, implying that opponents are wannabe murderers. Of course, this time around, the public is thankfully much more sceptical.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this short note, we wanted to set out how those \u2018lives saved\u2019 numbers are derived and to demonstrate that at best the numbers are seriously misrepresented and at worst completely wrong. In fact, applying the Government and Imperial\u2019s own logic, there is a very strong case to say that the expansion of\u00a0Ulez will, on balance, harm Londoner\u2019s health when considering the downstream economic consequences of this policy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The major flaw in Imperial\u2019s model is the one-dimensional nature of its assumption that air pollution drives health and life expectancy. In the real world health is driven by a number of interacting factors with income being the primary driver. There are many assumptions one could dispute that (perhaps unsurprisingly) work towards inflating the claimed health benefits of reducing air pollution, but we focus only on the flaw of largely ignoring policy consequences.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Imperial team presents several numbers, including: attributable deaths (3,600 to 4,100), improved life expectancy (five to six months) and life-years saved (6.1 million). We wanted to focus on the claimed benefits of the Mayor\u2019s Transport Strategy in terms of life expectancy and life-years saved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Before leaving attributable deaths, it is important to note that these are not in any sense deaths that can be avoided, nor are they deaths that are subject to reduction by the Transport Strategy. The figure appears to compare current death rates with death rates if\u00a0all\u00a0<\/em>human emissions had been removed for all prior periods. It is a theoretical construct (similar to an unmitigated pandemic) and only a small fraction of this number would be theoretically impacted by road transport (around 15%). Only the going-forward numbers (life-years saved) relate to the Transport Strategy and there the benefits are relatively low at 0.4%. It is important to note that there has only ever been one death, of a young and chronically unwell girl ever recorded in England (56 million population) where the death certificate\u00a0mentions air pollution<\/a>. Tragic as this death clearly is, it again highlights the disconnect between the theoretical attribution number and actual deaths recorded; we suggest ignoring the attributable deaths figure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Looking at the claimed benefits of implementing the Transport Strategy, it is possible for a layman to understand the main assumptions on which these health benefits are based. In summary, it is assumed that reducing 10 \u00b5g m-3<\/sup>\u00a0achieves roughly a 6% reduction in all cause mortality. Note however 10 \u00b5g m-3<\/sup>\u00a0is more than\u00a0all\u00a0<\/em>anthropogenic PM 2.5 emissions as estimated for England as a whole, so any benefits are scaled down from 6%. So a 1 \u00b5g m-3<\/sup>\u00a0reduction generates roughly a 0.6% improvement in life expectancy (i.e., ten times less).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Looking at life-years saved and extended life expectancy, the key assumptions are poorly explained. For those in a hurry, the detail shows that all of the Transport Strategy initiatives to 2050 combined will deliver a projected 0.4% reduction in life-years lost to air pollution using projections to 2154. There is a claimed five to six month extension in life expectancy, so the life expectancy of a London male of around 80 years would be extended to around 80.4 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

These gains are stated relative to a baseline and for some inexplicable reason the Imperial team has decided to use 2013 pollution levels to establish the baseline and in the process to ignore the available data for 2019. This serves to inflate the baseline.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The acid test is: are the results of modelling compatible with observed reality? And on that basis the Imperial Ulez modelling falls flat. The model covers the impact of the entire Transport Strategy to 2050 which covers many more steps than Ulez. The Imperial document is somewhat vague about what those steps are \u2013 they are cryptically referred to as 2025 LES, 2030 LES and 2050 LES. It is enough to note that the goal of\u00a0Mayor Khan\u2019s 2018 Transport Strategy<\/a>\u00a0is to \u201caim for 80% of all trips in London to be made on foot, by cycle or using public transport by 2041\u201d. So the first thing to clarify is that the claimed 6.1 million saving of life years relates to a significant number of measures, well beyond Ulez expansion. In effect these combined steps will\u00a0largely eliminate private car traffic<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The chart below is constructed from the Imperial material and shows that PM 2.5 \u00b5g m-3<\/sup>\u00a0population weighted (PWAC) pollution falls over a number of steps and Ulez on a standalone basis has a near zero impact. Also, you can also see that a fair chunk of gains have already been banked between 2013 and 2019.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The failure of Ulez to achieve any meaningful reduction in pollution is very clearly shown in a\u00a0separate document prepared by Jacobs<\/a>\u00a0which looks at the impacts of Ulez only. The table below shows the impact of Ulez expansion on PM 2.5 \u00b5g m-3<\/sup>\u00a0concentration, with an estimated improvement of less than 2%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

There is a slightly better outcome for NOx<\/sub>\u00a0pollutants which are reduced by 5.4% across Greater London. This feeds in to the health impact assessment which unsurprisingly shows near zero benefit from Ulez for PM 2.5 reductions, for most health-related metrics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Looking at life expectancy, the report does acknowledge that due to the large population (around 8.9 million) and the extraordinary long time period over which these benefits are expected to crystalise (up to 2154) then there are around 1.5 billion life-years involved (years \u00d7 population). For any stated benefit to be meaningful, it needs to referenced to the base case value. The 6.1 million life-years saved is then within the context of a total of around 1.5 billion life-years; this saving is around 0.4%. Correspondingly, the impact on life expectancy from all of the pollution schemes (not just Ulez) adds up to around 22 to 27 weeks additional life expectancy. In the context of male life expectancy of 80 years (roughly) this would improve to 80.4 years as a consequence of 30 years\u2019 worth of restrictive climate policies (ignoring any economic consequences).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The core flaw in the calculation is the one-dimensional thinking that underpins this (and all similar calculations) in that all reductions in PM 2.5 concentrations lead to a reduction in the mortality rate. This thinking ignores any link between people\u2019s incomes and health outcomes, which is the primary driver of health. This is the same dishonest cop out that Professor Ferguson made in his infamous Covid paper. This facilitates a myopic focus on \u2018safety\u2019 and generates solutions that do far more harm than good.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In setting out the methodology that states that health outcomes will improve with a reduction in air pollution on a more or less linear basis, the Government\u2019s own figures show that real world data prove that this assumption is not correct (or at least over-simplified). Its\u00a0own data\u00a0for the regions of the U.K.<\/a>\u00a0show that (if anything) this relationship is reversed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Life expectancy in Scotland is much lower despite having far and away the lowest concentration of anthropogenic PM 2.5 pollutants. Many studies with and between countries show this clearly (e.g. life expectancies by national deprivation deciles, England: 2018 to 2020).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In order to get a handle on how much more significant factors other than PM 2.5 can be, we looked at a\u00a0recent paper<\/a>\u00a0that considers the impact of changes in different factors on life expectancy across 29 European countries (the paper also looks at each factor in isolation using multivariate analysis). The chart below shows the life expectancy impact of a 1% change in the listed factors. There are of course some caveats, but you can immediately see that economic activity dominates the outcomes with a 13-month gain in life expectancy for a 1% gain in GDP versus say a 2.7 month gain for a 1% change in PM 10-2.5. Also note there is no statistically significant relationship between CO2<\/sub>\u00a0and life expectancy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

In another section of the same paper the author states: \u201cFrance and Sweden, some of the countries closest to their potential LE (life expectancies), are also amongst those with the highest NOx\u00a0<\/sub>level.\u201d The real message, though, is that if you dent people\u2019s income by narrowly pursuing PM 2.5 reduction, you will, on balance, shorten life expectancy and not increase it. The Jacobs\u2019 report confirms that there will be multiple negative impacts on business and economic activity. We guess that on balance Ulez will lower life expectancy when factoring in the impacts on business and family incomes, as well as quality of life considerations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the post Covid world, we have understood that politicians of all stripes will shamelessly use emotional manipulation in order to get reasonable people to comply with their unreasonable edicts. That is why understanding how reliable, or otherwise, attributable deaths, life-years saved and life expectancy figures are is so important. You can almost guarantee that these estimates will be manipulated and potentially used to rationalise illogical and damaging policies.With opaque models it is relatively easy to produce results to order.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The political process assumes that the individuals involved are able to understand competing objectives and arrive at a sensible compromise. However, we saw in the case of Covid that many politicians have limited scientific understanding and will tend to pursue unachievable safety, at any cost.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The State seems to be redefining its role with a narrow group of ideologically-driven technocrats setting somewhat arbitrary targets. Achieving those targets requires wholesale changes to people\u2019s lives. Very often economic, mental health and other impacts are barely considered and historically established constitutional boundaries between the State and the citizen are often ignored.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the case of Ulez expansion, the 59% of respondents to the public consultation who\u00a0clearly opposed the expansion<\/a>\u00a0were simply ignored.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Various sops will no doubt be offered to voters, but is it important that readers realise that there is a direction of travel to these various steps. Finally, remember Albert Camus\u2019s wise warning that, \u201cThe welfare of humanity is always the alibi of tyrants.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Alex Kriel is by training a physicist and was an\u00a0early critic of the Imperial Covid model<\/a>. He is a founder of the\u00a0Thinking Coalition<\/a>, which comprises a group of citizens who are concerned about Government overreach. This article was\u00a0first published on the Thinking Coalition website<\/a>. Sign up for updates\u00a0here<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The\u00a0Ulez \u2018discussion\u2019 has all of the same elements, with modelled health benefits calculated by Imperial College and Mayor Khan\u2019s justification that he is \u201csaving lives\u201d, implying that opponents are wannabe murderers. Of course, this time around, the public is thankfully much more sceptical.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":273339,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_seo_schema_type":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_wpcom_ai_launchpad_first_post":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691819134,691821816,691819103,691819075,691819379,691820654,691819935,691821306,691821817],"class_list":["post-273325","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-climate-alarmism","tag-imperial-college","tag-london","tag-modelling","tag-propaganda","tag-sadiq-khan","tag-ulez","tag-ulez-expansion-scheme","tag-war-on-motorists","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-196t","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":366625,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=366625","url_meta":{"origin":273325,"position":0},"title":"London\u2019s Blade Runners: Climate, Class War and the Corruption of Science","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"02\/17\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The UK papers carried stories recently about the punishing penalties that London\u2019s drivers have paid under Mayor Sadiq Khan\u2019s Ulez (ultra-low emission zone) scheme. Under this scheme, a daily fee of \u00a312.50 is charged on older petrol and diesel cars which enter the zone. The GB News\u00a0headline\u00a0reads: \u2018Sadiq Khan\u2019s Ulez\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"anti-Ulez\"","block_context":{"text":"anti-Ulez","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=anti-ulez"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/04949907.jpg?fit=1200%2C712&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/04949907.jpg?fit=1200%2C712&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/04949907.jpg?fit=1200%2C712&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/04949907.jpg?fit=1200%2C712&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/04949907.jpg?fit=1200%2C712&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":274863,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=274863","url_meta":{"origin":273325,"position":1},"title":"Ulez Protest Featuring Tractors and Three-Wheel Car Brings Traffic to a Standstill","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"08\/21\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Protesters halted traffic on the outskirts of London in opposition to Sadiq Khan\u2019s Ultra Low Emissions Zone, ahead of its expansion to cover the whole city.","rel":"","context":"In \"anti-Ulez\"","block_context":{"text":"anti-Ulez","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=anti-ulez"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00Screenshot-2023-08-21-210319.png?fit=1153%2C767&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00Screenshot-2023-08-21-210319.png?fit=1153%2C767&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00Screenshot-2023-08-21-210319.png?fit=1153%2C767&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00Screenshot-2023-08-21-210319.png?fit=1153%2C767&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00Screenshot-2023-08-21-210319.png?fit=1153%2C767&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":410465,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=410465","url_meta":{"origin":273325,"position":2},"title":"While Sadiq Khan Frolics on Billionaire Pal\u2019s Gas-Guzzling Superyacht, Ulez is Exposed as a Money-Making Scheme at the Expense of Hardworking Londoners","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/27\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"In a damning indictment published in Wednesday\u2019s\u00a0Daily Mail, researchers from the University of Birmingham have laid bare the futility of London Mayor Sadiq Khan\u2019s Ultra-Low Emission Zone (Ulez) expansion, concluding that the scheme has delivered zero tangible benefits to London\u2019s ambient air quality.","rel":"","context":"In \"\u2018Blade Runners\u2019\"","block_context":{"text":"\u2018Blade Runners\u2019","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=blade-runners-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/AQM7rOiF41cp5wZYsWQQ7vnsZqO2J7W_A3KddafgHEL98RQx1RrYwXfuFXwznLuHwCDf3_PC1B-6SQsoMJ2R2E-n80hloYOfNxLpmYrbDak-ZdoPaaxi8ssqrjYa7XA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C712&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/AQM7rOiF41cp5wZYsWQQ7vnsZqO2J7W_A3KddafgHEL98RQx1RrYwXfuFXwznLuHwCDf3_PC1B-6SQsoMJ2R2E-n80hloYOfNxLpmYrbDak-ZdoPaaxi8ssqrjYa7XA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C712&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/AQM7rOiF41cp5wZYsWQQ7vnsZqO2J7W_A3KddafgHEL98RQx1RrYwXfuFXwznLuHwCDf3_PC1B-6SQsoMJ2R2E-n80hloYOfNxLpmYrbDak-ZdoPaaxi8ssqrjYa7XA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C712&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/AQM7rOiF41cp5wZYsWQQ7vnsZqO2J7W_A3KddafgHEL98RQx1RrYwXfuFXwznLuHwCDf3_PC1B-6SQsoMJ2R2E-n80hloYOfNxLpmYrbDak-ZdoPaaxi8ssqrjYa7XA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C712&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/AQM7rOiF41cp5wZYsWQQ7vnsZqO2J7W_A3KddafgHEL98RQx1RrYwXfuFXwznLuHwCDf3_PC1B-6SQsoMJ2R2E-n80hloYOfNxLpmYrbDak-ZdoPaaxi8ssqrjYa7XA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C712&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":270716,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=270716","url_meta":{"origin":273325,"position":3},"title":"High Court Ruling Sparks Labour Civil War as Sadiq Khan\u2019s Ulez Scheme Given Go Ahead","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"08\/01\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Five Tory-led councils\u2019 High Court challenge against London Mayor Sadiq Khan\u2019s Ulez expansion plan has been rejected, giving the green light for the scheme\u2019s extension. The legal setback adds fuel to the already raging civil war within the Labour Party amid a pressing cost of living crisis. Motorists across Greater\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Green Agenda\"","block_context":{"text":"Green Agenda","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=green-agenda"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0-ULEZ-Khan.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0-ULEZ-Khan.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0-ULEZ-Khan.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0-ULEZ-Khan.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0-ULEZ-Khan.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":409875,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=409875","url_meta":{"origin":273325,"position":4},"title":"Sadiq Khan’s hated ULEZ expansion had NO impact on air pollution","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/23\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Sadiq Khan\u2019s Ulez failed to lower pollution levels, a study has found.","rel":"","context":"In \"Air quality\"","block_context":{"text":"Air quality","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=air-quality"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQN67nfk_KTO1yzjMCsnEzh53bS90FZGDozA_pYpK8O9jjhHoz7Rn4a8d1Mps9QXkiGRkzPe33R3kVE0WFItFhd0TNVjVDavQU9zFz5X5BTmjDYcFes8KQtOGlw-XKk-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C712&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQN67nfk_KTO1yzjMCsnEzh53bS90FZGDozA_pYpK8O9jjhHoz7Rn4a8d1Mps9QXkiGRkzPe33R3kVE0WFItFhd0TNVjVDavQU9zFz5X5BTmjDYcFes8KQtOGlw-XKk-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C712&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQN67nfk_KTO1yzjMCsnEzh53bS90FZGDozA_pYpK8O9jjhHoz7Rn4a8d1Mps9QXkiGRkzPe33R3kVE0WFItFhd0TNVjVDavQU9zFz5X5BTmjDYcFes8KQtOGlw-XKk-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C712&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQN67nfk_KTO1yzjMCsnEzh53bS90FZGDozA_pYpK8O9jjhHoz7Rn4a8d1Mps9QXkiGRkzPe33R3kVE0WFItFhd0TNVjVDavQU9zFz5X5BTmjDYcFes8KQtOGlw-XKk-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C712&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQN67nfk_KTO1yzjMCsnEzh53bS90FZGDozA_pYpK8O9jjhHoz7Rn4a8d1Mps9QXkiGRkzPe33R3kVE0WFItFhd0TNVjVDavQU9zFz5X5BTmjDYcFes8KQtOGlw-XKk-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C712&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":277677,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=277677","url_meta":{"origin":273325,"position":5},"title":"Experts Warn Ulez Expansion Won\u2019t Meet London\u2019s 2030 Net Zero Goal and Could Take Over a Century","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/07\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Despite daily fees for non-compliant vehicles, Sadiq Khan\u2019s Ulez initiative has lowered emissions by just 3% in four years. Experts warn it could take over a century to achieve Net Zero emissions at this rate.","rel":"","context":"In \"Carbon Emissions\"","block_context":{"text":"Carbon Emissions","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=carbon-emissions"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0signs-indicating-ultra-low-emission-zone-ulez-on-london-street.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0signs-indicating-ultra-low-emission-zone-ulez-on-london-street.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0signs-indicating-ultra-low-emission-zone-ulez-on-london-street.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0signs-indicating-ultra-low-emission-zone-ulez-on-london-street.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0signs-indicating-ultra-low-emission-zone-ulez-on-london-street.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0Khan-pushes-ahead-with-ULEZ-expansion-to-reduce-toxic-air-pollution.jpg?fit=1050%2C525&ssl=1","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/273325","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=273325"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/273325\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":273341,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/273325\/revisions\/273341"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/273339"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=273325"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=273325"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=273325"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}