{"id":273290,"date":"2023-08-13T19:48:48","date_gmt":"2023-08-13T17:48:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=273290"},"modified":"2023-08-13T19:49:00","modified_gmt":"2023-08-13T17:49:00","slug":"21st-century-global-disasters","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=273290","title":{"rendered":"21st Century Global\u00a0Disasters"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"723\" data-attachment-id=\"273295\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=273295\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-2023-08-02T134356.245.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1024,1024\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"OIG-2023-08-02T134356.245\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-2023-08-02T134356.245.jpeg?fit=723%2C723&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-2023-08-02T134356.245.jpeg?resize=723%2C723&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-273295\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-2023-08-02T134356.245.jpeg?w=1024&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-2023-08-02T134356.245.jpeg?resize=300%2C300&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-2023-08-02T134356.245.jpeg?resize=150%2C150&amp;ssl=1 150w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-2023-08-02T134356.245.jpeg?resize=768%2C768&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-2023-08-02T134356.245.jpeg?resize=800%2C800&amp;ssl=1 800w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-2023-08-02T134356.245.jpeg?resize=400%2C400&amp;ssl=1 400w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-2023-08-02T134356.245.jpeg?resize=200%2C200&amp;ssl=1 200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-2023-08-02T134356.245.jpeg?resize=450%2C450&amp;ssl=1 450w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-2023-08-02T134356.245.jpeg?resize=60%2C60&amp;ssl=1 60w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-2023-08-02T134356.245.jpeg?resize=550%2C550&amp;ssl=1 550w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From <a href=\"https:\/\/notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com\/\">NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">By Paul Homewood<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Roger Pielke Jr on disaster trends:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"719\" height=\"671\" data-attachment-id=\"273292\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=273292\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-532.png?fit=719%2C671&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"719,671\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-532\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-532.png?fit=719%2C671&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-532.png?resize=719%2C671&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-273292\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-532.png?w=719&amp;ssl=1 719w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-532.png?resize=300%2C280&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 719px) 100vw, 719px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>A new peer-reviewed paper out this week by\u00a0<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tandfonline.com\/doi\/full\/10.1080\/17477891.2023.2239807\"><em>Alimonti and Mariani<\/em><\/a><em>\u00a0asks whether global disasters have increased. Their answer is that they have not (and if the name sounds familiar, it is the same Alimonti whose paper is being\u00a0<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/rogerpielkejr.substack.com\/p\/think-of-the-implications-of-publishing\"><em>improperly retracted<\/em><\/a><em>\u00a0\u2014 more fresh info on that in the coming days).<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>As I read their paper today I noticed that the time series they reported from the\u00a0<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.emdat.be\/\"><em>EM-DAT database<\/em><\/a><em>\u00a0looked a bit different than that I had last explored and\u00a0<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/rogerpielkejr.substack.com\/p\/dont-believe-the-hype\"><em>presented here<\/em><\/a><em>\u00a0at THB late last year. So today I downloaded the most recent\u00a0<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.emdat.be\/\"><em>data from EM-DAT<\/em><\/a><em>, and indeed there has been some changes to the most recent three years, presumably due to late entries into the database (however I will enquire as all post-hoc dataset updates should be documented). EM-DAT has been funded since the late 1990s by the\u00a0<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cred.be\/ongoing-projects\"><em>U.S. Agency for International Development<\/em><\/a><em>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Below is the updated time series of global hydrological, climatological and meteorological disasters in the EM-DAT database, along with the linear trend, over the period 2000 to 2022.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"395\" data-attachment-id=\"273293\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=273293\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-533.png?fit=1456%2C795&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1456,795\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-533\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-533.png?fit=723%2C395&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-533.png?resize=723%2C395&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-273293\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-533.png?resize=1024%2C559&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-533.png?resize=300%2C164&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-533.png?resize=768%2C419&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-533.png?resize=1200%2C655&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-533.png?w=1456&amp;ssl=1 1456w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Full post\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/rogerpielkejr.substack.com\/p\/21st-century-global-disasters?utm_source=post-email-title&amp;publication_id=119454&amp;post_id=135907303&amp;isFreemail=true&amp;utm_medium=email\">here.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As I read their paper today I noticed that the time series they reported from the EM-DAT database looked a bit different than that I had last explored and presented here at THB late last year.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691821437,691821813],"class_list":["post-273290","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-global-boiling","tag-global-disasters","has-post-thumbnail","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-195U","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":289650,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=289650","url_meta":{"origin":273290,"position":0},"title":"Natural Disasters Are Not Increasing \u2014 Really","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"12\/02\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"From Watts Up With That? Guest Essay by Kip Hansen \u2014 1 December 2023 The fact that natural disasters are not increasing and not killing more people \u2013 due to climate change or any other fanciful cause \u2014 has once more been firmly entered into the peer-reviewed literature in a\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-50.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-50.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-50.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-50.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-50.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":276466,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=276466","url_meta":{"origin":273290,"position":1},"title":"Global and U.S. Disaster Databases","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"08\/31\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Counts of disasters and their impacts are a big deal these days. For instance, such data is central to evaluating progress with respect to the United Nations\u00a0Sendai Framework on Disaster Risk Reduction. Disaster time series are also increasingly used as political footballs in climate advocacy and opposition. Separating out scientifically-accurate\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Disaster Databases\"","block_context":{"text":"Disaster Databases","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=disaster-databases"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00INN5-NAGOYAU2-27193-pro-image-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00INN5-NAGOYAU2-27193-pro-image-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00INN5-NAGOYAU2-27193-pro-image-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00INN5-NAGOYAU2-27193-pro-image-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00INN5-NAGOYAU2-27193-pro-image-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":295192,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=295192","url_meta":{"origin":273290,"position":2},"title":"What crisis? We put out a trillion tons of man-made CO2 yet global disaster losses are shrinking","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/15\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Naturally this tells us nothing at all about what drives the climate, but shows the prophesies are bonkers, and the relentless weather porn on the news is like a pagan religion.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/4apokalipsis-gorod-ruiny-nebo-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C766&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/4apokalipsis-gorod-ruiny-nebo-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C766&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/4apokalipsis-gorod-ruiny-nebo-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C766&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/4apokalipsis-gorod-ruiny-nebo-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C766&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/4apokalipsis-gorod-ruiny-nebo-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C766&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":235514,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=235514","url_meta":{"origin":273290,"position":3},"title":"Global Disasters in 2022\u2013Roger Pielke Jr.","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"12\/21\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"When are journalists going to start reporting the facts about disasters and call out misinformation?","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-679.png?fit=1200%2C806&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-679.png?fit=1200%2C806&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-679.png?fit=1200%2C806&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-679.png?fit=1200%2C806&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-679.png?fit=1200%2C806&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":338963,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=338963","url_meta":{"origin":273290,"position":4},"title":"UN\u2019s new climate disaster fund at risk of\u00a0mismanagement","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"08\/09\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"A new paper published by the Global Warming Policy Foundation warns that the UN\u2019s new loss-and-damage fund, set up by the UN climate summit last year to assist communities hit by extreme weather disasters, is at risk of being mismanaged and turning into a massive boondoggle instead.","rel":"","context":"In \"Global Warming Policy Foundation\"","block_context":{"text":"Global Warming Policy Foundation","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=global-warming-policy-foundation"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/image-173.png?fit=1200%2C612&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/image-173.png?fit=1200%2C612&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/image-173.png?fit=1200%2C612&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/image-173.png?fit=1200%2C612&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/image-173.png?fit=1200%2C612&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":235877,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=235877","url_meta":{"origin":273290,"position":5},"title":"UN Secretary-General Ant\u00f3nio\u00a0Guterres Falsely Claims Weather Disasters Have Increased 500% in 50 Years but the Media is still silent","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"12\/26\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Last September, the United Nations Secretary-General Ant\u00f3nio\u00a0Guterres claimed climate, weather and water-related disasters had increased by 500% over the last 50 years.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar 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