{"id":273177,"date":"2023-08-13T11:47:06","date_gmt":"2023-08-13T09:47:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=273177"},"modified":"2023-08-13T11:47:19","modified_gmt":"2023-08-13T09:47:19","slug":"in-one-picture-why-we-have-a-slow-atlantic-hurricane-season","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=273177","title":{"rendered":"In one picture: Why we have a slow Atlantic hurricane season"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Watts Up With That?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Meteorologist Ross Hays\u00a0writes on Facebook<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

This is a satellite picture with the colors showing dry air & Sahara Dust coming across the Tropical Atlantic. This has prohibited the development of tropical storms over the region. The water is very warm so after the dust disperses there is a risk for strong hurricane to develop as we get later in the month!<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

And there you have it, \u201cdust in the wind\u201d is preventing formation of \u201cCape Verde\u201d type hurricanes. NOAA has a description\u00a0here<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At\u00a0MyFoxHurricane<\/a>, they have this to say:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

The Saharan Air Layer, also known as Saharan Dust, is made of sand, dirt, and other dust that is lifted into the atmosphere from the vast desert area that covers most of North Africa. This dust is carried in the African Waves which push westward into the Atlantic Ocean.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Saharan Air Layer is a well-mixed dry pocket of air that usually resides between 5,000 and 15,000 feet above sea level. Since one of the key ingredients for tropical cyclone development is a deep feed of moisture, Saharan Dust often acts to inhibit tropical development.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Once a pocket a Saharan Dust begins moving westward over the Atlantic, it is relatively easy to track using infrared satellite products.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

And there you have it, \u201cdust in the wind\u201d is preventing formation of \u201cCape Verde\u201d type hurricanes.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":273183,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691821431,691821806],"class_list":["post-273177","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-atlantic-ocean","tag-saharan-dust","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0satellite-saharan-dust-1.webp?fit=1542%2C820&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1945","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":337720,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=337720","url_meta":{"origin":273177,"position":0},"title":"Saharan dust regulates hurricane rainfall","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"07\/27\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Giant plumes of Sahara Desert dust that gust across the Atlantic can suppress hurricane formation over the ocean and affect weather in North America.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/074456919007-062724-sunrise-01.webp?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/074456919007-062724-sunrise-01.webp?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/074456919007-062724-sunrise-01.webp?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/074456919007-062724-sunrise-01.webp?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/074456919007-062724-sunrise-01.webp?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":342334,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=342334","url_meta":{"origin":273177,"position":1},"title":"Mysteries Surrounding The 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season. CO2 Definitely Not The Driving Factor","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/08\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"According to the\u00a0NOAA US weather agency, the hurricane season lasts from June 1 to November 30 of each year. During this time, the conditions needed for extreme areas of pressure to build up prevail. First and foremost, the water temperature of the Atlantic is decisive, but so is wind shear.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Atlantic Hurricane Season\"","block_context":{"text":"Atlantic Hurricane Season","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=atlantic-hurricane-season"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C817&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C817&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C817&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C817&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C817&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":363728,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=363728","url_meta":{"origin":273177,"position":2},"title":"When a Forecast Flops: Post-Hoc Rationalization in Climate Science","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/28\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"This misalignment extends to his forecasts. Mann and his team predicted an \u201cextremely active\u201d hurricane season, with a most likely estimate of 33 named storms. Instead, the season produced just 18\u2014or 19 if we generously include a borderline case.\u00a0For perspective, this falls well below Mann\u2019s projected range of 27\u201339 storms.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"2024 Atlantic hurricane season\"","block_context":{"text":"2024 Atlantic hurricane season","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=2024-atlantic-hurricane-season"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0hurricane-scaled-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0hurricane-scaled-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0hurricane-scaled-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0hurricane-scaled-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0hurricane-scaled-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":394983,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=394983","url_meta":{"origin":273177,"position":3},"title":"CLAIM: North Atlantic faces more hurricane clusters as climate warms","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"08\/13\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"From Fudan University and the \u201cclustered climate science\u201d department comes this inanity. They can\u2019t show a trend in North Atlantic Hurricanes so they change the narrative to \u201cclusters\u201d of hurricanes. Of course, nobody could see such clusters before the satellite era, so what did they do? Make a \u201cprobabilistic framework\u201d\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0Screenshot-2025-08-13-203126.png?fit=1200%2C571&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0Screenshot-2025-08-13-203126.png?fit=1200%2C571&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0Screenshot-2025-08-13-203126.png?fit=1200%2C571&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0Screenshot-2025-08-13-203126.png?fit=1200%2C571&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0Screenshot-2025-08-13-203126.png?fit=1200%2C571&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":330090,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=330090","url_meta":{"origin":273177,"position":4},"title":"NOAA predicts above-normal 2024 Atlantic hurricane season","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/26\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"NOAA National Weather Service forecasters at the Climate Prediction Center predict above-normal hurricane activity in the Atlantic basin this year. NOAA\u2019s outlook for the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, which spans from June 1 to November 30, predicts an 85% chance of an above-normal season, a 10% chance of a near-normal\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"2024 Atlantic hurricane season\"","block_context":{"text":"2024 Atlantic hurricane season","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=2024-atlantic-hurricane-season"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0-Hurricane.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0-Hurricane.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0-Hurricane.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0-Hurricane.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0-Hurricane.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":265079,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=265079","url_meta":{"origin":273177,"position":5},"title":"What\u2019s causing the extremely warm temperatures in the North Atlantic?","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"07\/03\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"With the Atlantic hurricane season underway, we are closely monitoring the exceptionally warm SSTs in the Atlantic.\u00a0 This post describes what has been happening and why.","rel":"","context":"In \"CO2\"","block_context":{"text":"CO2","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=co2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/00-North-Atlantic.jpeg?fit=1200%2C876&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/00-North-Atlantic.jpeg?fit=1200%2C876&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/00-North-Atlantic.jpeg?fit=1200%2C876&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/00-North-Atlantic.jpeg?fit=1200%2C876&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/00-North-Atlantic.jpeg?fit=1200%2C876&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/273177","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=273177"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/273177\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":273185,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/273177\/revisions\/273185"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/273183"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=273177"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=273177"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=273177"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}