{"id":272241,"date":"2023-08-08T17:41:20","date_gmt":"2023-08-08T15:41:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=272241"},"modified":"2023-08-08T17:41:23","modified_gmt":"2023-08-08T15:41:23","slug":"dazed-confused-5-things-about-the-inevitable-energy-transition-that-make-no-sense","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=272241","title":{"rendered":"Dazed & Confused: 5 Things About the \u2018Inevitable Energy Transition\u2019 That Make No\u00a0Sense"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From STOP THESE THINGS<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Confused about the grand wind and solar \u2018transition\u2019? It\u2019s a sensation experienced by any rational thinker. None of what\u2019s put forward makes even the vaguest sense, once the critical faculties are applied.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jude Clemente selects 5 subjects as a subset and does just that in the piece below.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

5 Things I Truly Don\u2019t Understand About the \u2018Inevitable Energy Transition\u2019<\/strong>
Irrational Fear (ex Forbes)
Jude Clemente
29 May 2023<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Please note: this article was pulled down offline from Forbes. I will let you draw your own conclusions as to why. Factually, there was no justification for it.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

This list could be closer to 50 but let\u2019s just stick to a handful of them. I literally live in this business every day, and I\u2019m just so confused.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1. In a world that is apparently getting both\u00a0warmer<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0colder<\/a>\u00a0because of global warming, how is it that we can increasingly rely on non-dispatchable (i.e., intermittent, usually unavailable), weather-dependent electricity from wind and solar plants to displace, not just supplement, dispatchable (i.e., baseload, almost always available) coal, gas, and nuclear power? In other words, if our weather is becoming less predictable, how is it that a\u00a0consuming economy<\/a>\u00a0like ours can, or should even try, predictably rely on weather-dependent resources? ERCOT exemplifies this: the Texas grid operator has around 31,000 MW of wind capacity but goes into winter expecting only 6,000 MW (just 20%) of wind farms to be available to generate electricity. Again, in the marketplace, the \u201calternatives\u201d you keep hearing about are proving to be far more supplemental than alternative.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Further, good wind and solar spots are finite, based on geography, so new builds, naturally, will be forced into areas that are less windy and less sunny, lowering their already very low 35%\u00a0capacity factors<\/a>. And because they devour immense swaths of land, interrupting a whole host of things, that\u00a0Renewable Rejection Database<\/a>\u00a0is mounting very quickly. If wind, solar, and electric cars too are as effective and low-cost as so many keep promising us, there would obviously be no need for government subsidies for broad adoption. Yet, there is,\u00a0gigantically so<\/a>. Huge amounts of taxpayer money going into this, what I call \u201cthe holy climate panacea triad,\u201d are vulnerable to changing politics and bound to become politically untenable at some point: \u201cFord Is Losing $66,446 On Every EV It Sells<\/a>.\u201d Our limited financial resources are obviously very precious, so these NEVER CONSIDERED and wasted opportunity costs forcing wind, solar, and electric cars into the energy complex are truly catastrophic. Schools investing in electric buses over STEM?\u00a0The $200 Billion Electric School Bus Bust<\/a>. How can any of this be justified?\u00a0\u00a0I\u2019m so utterly confused.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2. Climate change is a global issue, so how is it that we can claim climate benefits for unilateral climate policy. For example, U.S. gasoline cars constitute just 3% of global CO2 emissions, so how will getting rid of them impact climate change? But this dose of real science doesn\u2019t stop California leaders, a state responsible for just 1% of global CO2 emissions, from\u00a0telling<\/a>\u00a0us that energy policy in the nine-county region of Northern California alone is \u201cresponsible for protecting air quality\u00a0and the global climate in the nine-county Bay Area.<\/em>\u201d\u00a0No wonder then that a Biden administration official was\u00a0incoherent<\/a>\u00a0when asked how $50 trillion in climate spending in the U.S. will lower any global temperature rise. Indeed, despite the Sierra Club in 2014 promising us that \u201cChina\u2019s Thirst for Coal Is Drying Up<\/a>,\u201d the Chinese Communist Party\u00a0approved<\/a>\u00a0two coal plants a week in 2022.\u00a0But, don\u2019t worry guys, China promises to be net-zero by 2060. On climate, you don\u2019t matter nearly as much as some want you to think.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, it becomes very obvious very quickly that no energy policy in northern California has any relevance in terms of changing the climate. The region could literally disappear and there would be no discernable impact on climate change. Even our climate czar John Kerry, loving the CO2-devouring life in a\u00a0private jet<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0$250 million<\/a>, has been forced to\u00a0admit<\/a>\u00a0that the U.S. could even go to zero emissions and it would make no material impact on climate change. Talk about all pain, no gain. The real science is that incremental global emissions are \u201cnot here but over there\u201d U.S. CO2 emissions are in\u00a0structural decline<\/a>\u00a0regardless of what policies we pass (save 2021 and the rebound from Covid-19\u2019s devastation in 2020). So, where is the climate benefit for Americans when it comes to U.S. climate policy?\u00a0Because we\u2019re continuously told to \u201cbelieve science,\u201d any positive answer to that question can only be deemed as anti-science. In fact, common sense and\u00a0science itself<\/a>\u00a0tell us that unilateral climate policy can actually be really bad for climate change because it encourages carbon leakage (e.g., climate policy in the U.S. increases costs and just pushes a manufacturing firm to re-locate to coal-devouring China).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

3. Back to electric vehicles. Even green-tinted but surely practical Bloomberg\u00a0admits<\/a>\u00a0that more than 85% of Americans can\u2019t afford an electric car, since they are well more than double the price of oil-based cars. How can a product bring racial justice for Black Americans when the vast majority of them can\u2019t afford it? Worse then, huge and growing subsidies for electric cars are a \u201creverse Robin Hood,\u201d taking money from poor taxpayers to give to the rich ones that are, actually, in the market to buy an electric car. Forcing electric equipment over natural gas? Sorry but \u201cgas is four to six times cheaper than electricity<\/a>.\u201d Battery costs might be much higher than expected: 1) rising global demand, 2) rising costs and unavailability of their raw materials, 3) mining complications and environmental damage, and 4) China flexing its muscles since it controls the supply chains and uses hoarding as political leverage (see Covid-19 and medical supplies). Reality check, unlike what we keep hearing about \u201cgreen energy,\u201d no technology continues to decline in cost in perpetuity: \u201cEV battery costs could spike 22% by 2026 as raw material shortages drag on<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And this one I\u2019m really confused on. President Biden promotes his climate agenda as a way to create jobs. Besides lacking in economic literacy (i.e.,\u00a0jobs are costs not benefits<\/a>), the truth is that electric cars, for instance, entail\u00a0far less jobs<\/a>\u00a0because they, for one thing, have far less moving parts. And there\u2019s all kinds of\u00a0evidence<\/a>\u00a0that electric car life-cycle emissions could be way worse than advertised, mostly because of the massive amounts of mining required to make them. We all know about\u00a0child labor<\/a>\u00a0and your electric car, but even pro-EV outlets are being\u00a0forced to report<\/a>\u00a0on the mounting problems from mining, the\u00a0latest<\/a>\u00a0on how bauxite for the aluminum needed is destroying the Amazon. And about our President\u2019s we\u2019ll need oil for \u201canother decade<\/a>\u201d claim? The U.S. Department of Energy just\u00a0modeled<\/a>\u00a0that our oil demand will actually slightly INCREASE, not decline, to over 21.1 million b\/d by 2050. Reality check: planes, industry (petrochemicals), heavy trucking, and sheer\u00a0Energy Inertia<\/a>\u00a0will have oil dominating way longer than you\u2019re being told.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

4. How on Earth could anybody expect those in Africa and the other horrifically poor nations to \u201cget off fossil fuels\u201d when the rich countries haven\u2019t come close to doing it. Germany and California, the world\u2019s two greenest governments, are still overwhelming fossil fuel-based and overwhelmingly dependent on\u00a0imports<\/a>\u00a0(dangerously so in Germany\u2019s case<\/a>). This comes despite decades of huge subsidies, scores of mandates, deploying the best engineering expertise, and having low population growth and thus low incremental energy needs, all giving them a huge advantage in \u201cgoing green.\u201d The energy stat to remember most? No U.S. state will ever \u201ctry to go green\u201d like California has over the past 20 years, yet oil and gas\u00a0still supply<\/a>\u00a070% of the state\u2019s energy, even above the national average of 65%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Germany and California have shown us what these climate policies bring: Germany has the\u00a0highest electricity prices in the world<\/a>; and California\u2019s are the\u00a0highest in the continental U.S<\/a>. and soaring out of control. How the heck can we push for \u201cdeep electrification\u201d to fight climate change if we are going to follow policies that surge the price of electricity, while also\u00a0lowering grid reliability<\/a>? And rich Westerners, spare us the judgments, demands, and hypocrisy on climate change: Germany thrives on a\u00a0GDP per capita per year<\/a>\u00a0of $51,200, compared to a horrifically sad $2,260 for India.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

5. But, perhaps I\u2019m most confused about the whole air quality thing. The obsession over it gets attached to all energy policies. But there\u2019s clearly a strawman to the \u201cwe need cleaner air now\u201d demand. First, the air quality conversation in the U.S. reminds me of Voltaire\u2019s \u201cthe perfect is the enemy of good.\u201d Americans seem completely unaware how drastically our air quality has improved. Check\u00a0data<\/a>\u00a0from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), our criteria pollutants have been plummeting over the past many decades. The risks seem exaggerated. Let\u2019s just take Los Angeles, which for a big city notoriously has the worst air quality in the country. Tell me, please, if air quality is such a problem and such a health concern for Americans, why is it that Angelinos have a life expectancy of\u00a082 years<\/a>, a hearty three years above the national average. Just think of all the coal that China has devoured since 2000 (I figure around 70 billion tonnes), yet the country\u2019s life expectancy, apparently shockingly to so many, is up a very impressive six years\u00a0to nearly 78 since then<\/a>. Maybe it\u2019s because Chinese GDP per capita per year has skyrocketed nearly 9-fold to\u00a0over $18,500.<\/a>\u00a0Even for rising asthma rates in the U.S., smoking is way down, coal usage is way down, and criteria pollutants are way down. So what gives?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cBetter air quality and environment\u201d are not free, as attaining government standards cost businesses hundreds of billions of dollars per year. These costs are ultimately paid by Americans in the form of higher prices, lower wages, and less choices. And at some point, the cost of the regulation to achieve better air outweighs its benefit. We\u2019ve won on water too: the water in your toilet is cleaner than what the vast majority of humans on Earth drink. For every time that we hear \u201cenvironmental justice\u201d we need to say \u201ceconomic justice\u201d 100 times.\u00a0In this country<\/a>\u00a0for all Americans, Blacks and Hispanics\/Latinos\u00a0make 30%<\/a>\u00a0less money than Whites and Asians. Too many politicians focus on the endless pursuit of \u201cbetter air quality\u201d and other abstract, seemingly impossible to measure benefits because they have no clue on the real ways to help communities of color and other low-income Americans: help them get a better education, help them get a better job, and help them make more money. Career politicians love bottomless, money-devouring pits the most: \u201cAmerica\u2019s $100 billion climate change flop<\/a>.\u201d And although its entire existence is based on never being able to declare victory (imagine a football game with no time and no keeping score), EPA should consider that it\u2019s wealth that\u00a0matters most<\/a>\u00a0for health equity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But, that\u2019s not its business, is it?
Irrational Fear (ex Forbes)<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Confused about the grand wind and solar \u2018transition\u2019? It\u2019s a sensation experienced by any rational thinker. None of what\u2019s put forward makes even the vaguest sense, once the critical faculties are applied.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":272250,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691821527,691818076,691818177,691818618,691818079,691818087],"class_list":{"0":"post-272241","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-child-labor","9":"tag-co2","10":"tag-electric-vehicles","11":"tag-energy-transition","12":"tag-ev-batterie","13":"tag-global-warming","15":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-290.png?fit=1280%2C720&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-18OZ","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":253442,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=253442","url_meta":{"origin":272241,"position":0},"title":"Political Power Failure: 88% of Germans Reckon Wind & Solar \u201aTransition\u2018 Doomed to Failure","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"17\/04\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Germans were said to be rock-solid supporters of the grand \u2018plan\u2019 to run on nothing but wind and solar. Well, not anymore.","rel":"","context":"In \"Blackouts\"","block_context":{"text":"Blackouts","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=blackouts"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0burn-baby-burn-745.jpeg?fit=1201%2C799&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0burn-baby-burn-745.jpeg?fit=1201%2C799&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0burn-baby-burn-745.jpeg?fit=1201%2C799&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0burn-baby-burn-745.jpeg?fit=1201%2C799&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0burn-baby-burn-745.jpeg?fit=1201%2C799&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":223727,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=223727","url_meta":{"origin":272241,"position":1},"title":"Chairman Mao Returns: \u2018Green\u2019 Energy Cult Delivers Another \u2018Great Leap Forward\u2019","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"14\/10\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"The \u2018transition\u2019 to wind and solar is delivering punishing power prices to those who can least afford it, and the inevitable power rationing surrounding collapses in wind and solar output is crushing businesses of all shapes and sizes.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/0tgdf-maomaxresdefault.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/0tgdf-maomaxresdefault.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/0tgdf-maomaxresdefault.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/0tgdf-maomaxresdefault.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/0tgdf-maomaxresdefault.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":289981,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=289981","url_meta":{"origin":272241,"position":2},"title":"Another Critical Thinker Reaches The Obvious Conclusion: Intermittent Renewables Can’t Work On Their Own","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"04\/12\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"From The MANHATTAN CONTRARIAN Francis Menton Let me welcome to the small and elite club of critical thinkers on the supposed energy transition a guy named Bal\u00e1zs Fekete. Fekete, with several co-authors, has recently (September 18) succeeded in getting an article published in a journal called Frontiers of Environmental Science,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"CO2\"","block_context":{"text":"CO2","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=co2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/OIG-2023-11-26T103109.951.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/OIG-2023-11-26T103109.951.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/OIG-2023-11-26T103109.951.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/OIG-2023-11-26T103109.951.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":208994,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=208994","url_meta":{"origin":272241,"position":3},"title":"Wind & Solar Transition Means Transition to Power Rationing & Rocketing Power Bills","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"18\/07\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"When the sun sets and calm weather sets in, wind and solar power can\u2019t be bought at any price. Increase the capacity of the unreliables connected to your grid and get ready for not only rocketing power bills, but routine power rationing. Once upon a time, electricity was cheap and\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/0light-switch-off-644x0_q100_crop-smart.webp?fit=644%2C430&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/0light-switch-off-644x0_q100_crop-smart.webp?fit=644%2C430&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/0light-switch-off-644x0_q100_crop-smart.webp?fit=644%2C430&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":435945,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=435945","url_meta":{"origin":272241,"position":4},"title":"$2 Trillion Later, The Green Revolution Collapsed: How Chasing Weather Power Bankrupted the Grid and Cost the World $40 Trillion in Growth","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"31\/03\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Between 2010 and 2026, governments and corporations poured roughly $2 trillion into solar, wind, and \u201cnet\u2011zero\u201d programs under the promise of an imminent clean\u2011energy transition. What the public received instead was an illusion\u2014a fragile grid, higher electricity prices, and negligible climate benefits. Energy remained just as carbon\u2011intensive, but far more\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"clean\u2011energy transition\"","block_context":{"text":"clean\u2011energy transition","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=clean-energy-transition-3"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0-2-Trillion-Later-The-Green-Revolution-Collapsed-How-Chasing-Weather-Power-Bankrupted-the-Grid-and-Cost-the-World-40-Trillion-in-Growth.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0-2-Trillion-Later-The-Green-Revolution-Collapsed-How-Chasing-Weather-Power-Bankrupted-the-Grid-and-Cost-the-World-40-Trillion-in-Growth.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0-2-Trillion-Later-The-Green-Revolution-Collapsed-How-Chasing-Weather-Power-Bankrupted-the-Grid-and-Cost-the-World-40-Trillion-in-Growth.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0-2-Trillion-Later-The-Green-Revolution-Collapsed-How-Chasing-Weather-Power-Bankrupted-the-Grid-and-Cost-the-World-40-Trillion-in-Growth.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":238646,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=238646","url_meta":{"origin":272241,"position":5},"title":"Climate Changed: Calm, Gloomy Weather Killing Europe\u2019s Grand Wind & Solar \u2018Transition\u2019","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/01\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"In the mother of all ironies, Europe\u2019s wind and sun cult are complaining about uncooperative weather. 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