{"id":270783,"date":"2023-08-01T14:15:34","date_gmt":"2023-08-01T12:15:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=270783"},"modified":"2023-08-01T14:15:48","modified_gmt":"2023-08-01T12:15:48","slug":"the-ipcc-says-no-climate-crisis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=270783","title":{"rendered":"The IPCC Says No Climate Crisis"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"387\" data-attachment-id=\"270804\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=270804\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0tince.png?fit=1525%2C816&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1525,816\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0tince\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0tince.png?fit=723%2C387&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0tince.png?resize=723%2C387&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-270804\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0tince.png?resize=1024%2C548&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0tince.png?resize=300%2C161&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0tince.png?resize=768%2C411&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0tince.png?resize=1200%2C642&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0tince.png?w=1525&amp;ssl=1 1525w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0tince.png?w=1446&amp;ssl=1 1446w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From <a href=\"https:\/\/wattsupwiththat.com\/\">Watts Up With That?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><em>Guest Post By Willis Eschenbach<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"270802\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=270802\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-21.png?fit=474%2C295&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"474,295\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-21\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-21.png?fit=474%2C295&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-21.png?resize=723%2C450&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-270802\" style=\"width:761px;height:474px\" width=\"723\" height=\"450\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-21.png?w=474&amp;ssl=1 474w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-21.png?resize=300%2C187&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">OK, quick question: What do these weather phenomena have in common?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Air Pollution Weather (temperature inversions)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Aridity<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Avalanche (snow)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Average rain<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Average Wind Speed<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Coastal Flood<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Drought Affecting Crops (agricultural drought)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Drought From Lack Of Rain (hydrological drought)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Erosion of Coastlines<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Fire Weather (hot and windy)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Flooding From Heavy Rain (pluvial floods)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Frost<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Hail<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Heavy Rain<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Heavy Snowfall and Ice Storms<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Landslides<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Marine Heatwaves<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ocean Alkalinity<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Radiation at the Earth\u2019s Surface<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>River\/Lake Floods<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Sand and Dust Storms<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Sea Level<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Severe Wind Storms<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Snow, Glacier, and Ice Sheets<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Tropical Cyclones<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Give up? So would I.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">What these phenomena have in common is that the IPCC says that there is no significant evidence that these phenomena have changed (either increased or decreased) in the \u201chistorical period\u201d. In other words, there\u2019s no evidence that \u201cglobal warming\u201d has changed the strength or frequency of those weather phenomena.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So when folks claim things like \u201cWe\u2019re already seeing the effects of global warming in storms\/cyclones\/floods\/fire weather\/sea level\/etc.\/etc.\u201d, feel free to tell them that the IPCC and reality itself beg to disagree.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And when Yale360 reflects on the 2017 Hurricane Harvey by saying \u201d If not for climate change, 2017\u2019s Hurricane Harvey might have flooded half as many homes in the Houston area, a new study finds.\u201d and \u201cClimate change is happening right now with real and substantial costs\u201d, you can feel free to point and laugh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Don\u2019t believe me? Here, with a large hat tip to a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/rogerpielkejr.substack.com\/p\/what-the-ipcc-actually-says-about\">Substack post by Dr. Roger Pielke Jr.<\/a>, is Table 12.12 regarding \u201cClimate Impact Drivers (CIDs)\u201d from<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/ar6\/wg1\/downloads\/report\/IPCC_AR6_WGI_Chapter12.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u00a0Chapter 12 of Working Group 1<\/a>\u00a0of the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report, the most recent report:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"270786\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=270786\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-16.png?fit=768%2C1060&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"768,1060\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-16\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-16.png?fit=723%2C998&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-16.png?resize=723%2C998&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-270786\" style=\"width:760px;height:1049px\" width=\"723\" height=\"998\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-16.png?resize=742%2C1024&amp;ssl=1 742w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-16.png?resize=217%2C300&amp;ssl=1 217w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-16.png?w=768&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>Figure 1. IPCC AR6 WGI\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/ar6\/wg1\/chapter\/chapter-12\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Chapter 12 Table 12.12<\/a><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So \u2026 what weather phenomena does the IPCC say have actually changed? Well, they say global average air and ocean temperatures have increased by a few tenths of one percent. No news there.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Then they say \u201cextreme heat\u201d has increased. But they\u2019re not talking about actual temperature. Instead, they\u2019re using something called \u201cHealth Heat Index (HHI)\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And while Table 12.12 in Chapter 12 says days with \u201cextreme heat\u201d increased in the historical period, the IPCC is disagreeing with itself. The problem is the previous chapter\u2014Box 11.2 of Table 1 in\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/ar6\/wg1\/downloads\/report\/IPCC_AR6_WGI_Chapter11.pdf\">IPCC AR6 WGI Chapter 11<\/a>\u00a0says the increase in extreme heat is\u00a0<em>\u201cNot assessed\u201d<\/em>, because the<em>\u00a0\u201cbaseline is\u00a01981\u20132000\u201d<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sounds like dissension in the ranks \u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bemused by this \u201cextreme heat\u201d idea which the IPCC has both claimed and denied, I went to see how they calculate the HHI. Strap in and keep your arms and hands inside the vehicle, it\u2019s a rough ride. Here are the calculations. The basic equation is:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>HHI = c1 + c2 * T + c3 * T ^ 2 + RH * (c4 + c5 * T + c6 * T ^ 2) + RH ^ 2 * (c7 + c8 * T + c9 * T ^ 2))<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201c<strong>T<\/strong>\u201d is the temperature in \u00b0F, and \u201cRH\u201d is the relative humidity in percent. As for the others:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>c<sub>1<\/sub>\u202f=\u202f\u221242.379<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>c<sub>2<\/sub>\u202f=\u202f2.04901523<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>c<sub>3<\/sub>\u202f=\u202f\u22126.83783\u202f\u00d7\u202f10<sup>\u22123<\/sup><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>c<sub>4<\/sub>\u202f=\u202f10.14333127<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>c<sub>5<\/sub>\u202f=\u202f\u22120.22475541<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>c<sub>6<\/sub>\u202f=\u202f1.22874\u202f\u00d7\u202f10<sup>\u22123<\/sup><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>c<sub>7<\/sub>\u202f=\u202f\u22120.05481717<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>c<sub>8<\/sub>\u202f=\u202f8.5282\u202f\u00d7\u202f10<sup>\u22124<\/sup><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>c<sub>9<\/sub>\u202f=\u202f\u22121.99\u202f\u00d7\u202f10<sup>\u22126<\/sup><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Zowie! Gotta love tunable parameters specified to 8 significant decimals. But wait, because as they say on TV, \u201cThere\u2019s more!\u201d Here are the further details.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>If RH\u202f>\u202f13% and T is between 80\u202f\u00b0F and 112\u202f\u00b0F, then HHI is adjusted by subtracting the following value:<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Adjustment = ((13 \u2013 RH) \/ 4) * sqrt((17 \u2013 abs(T \u2013 95)) \/ 17)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>If RH\u202f>\u202f85% and T is between 80\u202f\u00b0F and 87\u202f\u00b0F, the following value is added to HHI:<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Adjustment = \u00a0((RH \u2013 85) \/ 10) * ((87 \u2013 T) \/ 5)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>If HHI\u202f&lt;\u202f80\u202f\u00b0F, then HHI is recalculated as follows:<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>HHI = 0.5 * (T + 61.0 + ((T-68.0)*1.2) + (RH*0.094)))<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In order to confuse the unwary, the result is given units of degrees Fahrenheit (\u00b0F). However, this is not physically possible, because the calculation includes\u00a0<strong>T<\/strong>,\u00a0<strong>T^2<\/strong>, and\u00a0<strong>sqrt(T)<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In any case,\u00a0<em>\u201cExtreme Heat\u201d<\/em>\u00a0in the IPCC lexicon is when the Health Heat Index goes over 105\u00b0F, referred to as \u201cAT105F\u201d \u2026 whatever that means.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">To find out how unusual the AT105F threshold is, I gathered the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu\/SOURCES\/.NOAA\/.NCDC\/.DAILY\/.FSOD\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">NOAA daily temperature and humidity data<\/a>\u00a0for 1582 US cities, and calculated the HHI for a number of them. Turns out that in some cities in the US, like say Yuma, Arizona, annually on average there are 30 days or more with an HHI of 105\u00b0F or more. Sometimes far more. This is supposed to scare us?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">What else does the IPCC say has changed in the \u201chistorical period\u201d? Well, they say\u00a0<em>\u201ccold spells\u201d<\/em>\u00a0have decreased. And I might be missing it, but I can\u2019t find anywhere that the IPCC defines exactly what they are calling a\u00a0<em>\u201ccold spell\u201d<\/em>. The\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/ar6\/wg1\/downloads\/report\/IPCC_AR6_WGI_AnnexVII.pdf\">IPCC Working Group I Glossary<\/a>\u00a0doesn\u2019t define the term at all \u2026 so we have no clue what they\u2019re referring to. Science at its finest. In any case, whatever they might think\u00a0<em>\u201ccold spells\u201d<\/em>\u00a0are, they say they\u2019ve decreased in Australia, Africa, and Northern South America. Since cold spells kill far, far more people than heat spells, seems to me this is a good thing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Other than that? Well, they say that river, lake, and Arctic sea ice have decreased.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And they have \u201cMedium Confidence\u201d that permafrost has decreased, that there\u2019s been a slight decrease in dissolved oxygen and a slight increase in salinity in some parts of the ocean.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Oh, and surface CO2 levels have increased.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And that\u2019s it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Call me crazy, but I\u2019m not seeing any \u201cclimate emergency\u201d or \u201cclimate crisis\u201d visible in any of that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Of course, they go on to use the most alarmist, most useless future scenario, the scenario called either \u201cRCP8.5\u201d or \u201cSSP5-8.5\u201d, to make all kinds of claims based on Tinkertoy\u2122 climate models about how bad things will be in 2050 and 2100 \u2026 but we\u2019ve seen how totally wrong all such climate projections have proven to be over the last 40 years. So there\u2019s no reason to believe these projections.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">To illustrate some of these issues, I took a look at the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncei.noaa.gov\/access\/monitoring\/scec\/records\/all\/all\">US National Ocean and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) extreme temperature and other extreme weather records<\/a>\u00a0for the US states. To start with, here are the decades when states hit their maximum temperatures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"270792\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=270792\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-17.png?fit=720%2C649&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"720,649\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-17\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-17.png?fit=720%2C649&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-17.png?resize=723%2C652&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-270792\" style=\"width:762px;height:687px\" width=\"723\" height=\"652\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-17.png?w=720&amp;ssl=1 720w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-17.png?resize=300%2C270&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>Figure 2. State maximum temperature records by decade.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Now, bear in mind that the temperature has been rising, in fits and starts, over the entire period shown in these state extreme graphs. And more than half the states set maximum temperature records in the 1930s. Sorry, but given that data, I\u2019m not believing that extreme temperatures are a problem in the US.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">How about extreme minimum temperatures?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"270794\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=270794\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-18.png?fit=720%2C649&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"720,649\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-18\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-18.png?fit=720%2C649&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-18.png?resize=723%2C652&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-270794\" style=\"width:760px;height:685px\" width=\"723\" height=\"652\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-18.png?w=720&amp;ssl=1 720w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-18.png?resize=300%2C270&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>Figure 3. State minimum temperature records by decade.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">No clear pattern in that one, which I suppose is why they specifically do not say there\u2019s been a change in \u201ccold spells\u201d in the US.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Next, here\u2019re the heavy 24-hour rain records:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"270796\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=270796\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-19.png?fit=720%2C649&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"720,649\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-19\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-19.png?fit=720%2C649&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-19.png?resize=723%2C652&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-270796\" style=\"width:762px;height:687px\" width=\"723\" height=\"652\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-19.png?w=720&amp;ssl=1 720w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-19.png?resize=300%2C270&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>Figure 4. State 24-hour rainfall records by decade.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Again, no clear pattern. Heavy rain peaked in the \u201990s but has been decreasing since then.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Finally, here\u2019s snowfall.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"270798\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=270798\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-20.png?fit=720%2C649&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"720,649\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-20\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-20.png?fit=720%2C649&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-20.png?resize=723%2C618&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-270798\" style=\"width:762px;height:651px\" width=\"723\" height=\"618\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>Figure 5. State 24-hour snowfall records by decade.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The period 1960-2000 was a time of heavy snow, but since then it\u2019s dropped off.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This US data is just another part of the mountain of evidence as to why, despite all of the posturing, the IPCC doesn\u2019t think there\u2019s any significant evidence of any \u201cclimate emergency\u201d or \u201cclimate crisis\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, don\u2019t expect things to change soon. We now have what might be called the \u201cClimate\/Industrial Complex\u201d, complete with lots of people making lots of money off the imaginary \u201cclimate crisis\u201d, and as Upton Sinclair remarked,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends upon his not understanding it.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I\u2019ve covered this lack of any evidence for a climate \u201ccrisis\u201d or \u201cemergency\u201d in my post \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/wattsupwiththat.com\/2021\/04\/25\/wheres-the-emergency\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Where Is The Climate Emergency?<\/a>\u201c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And the alarmists\u2019 answer to that question?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>\u201cWe doan gotta show you no steenkin\u2019 emergency \u2026 we\u2019re climate scientists!\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Yeah, right \u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">w.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">PS\u2014I\u2019m done with trying to defend people\u2019s misinterpretation of my words. So \u2026 when you comment, please\u00a0<strong><em>quote the exact words you are discussing.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What these phenomena have in common is that the IPCC says that there is no significant evidence that these phenomena have changed (either increased or decreased) in the \u201chistorical period\u201d. In other words, there\u2019s no evidence that \u201cglobal warming\u201d has changed the strength or frequency of those weather phenomena.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":270804,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818102,691818152,691818076,691818087,691818381,691821514,691818397],"class_list":{"0":"post-270783","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-climate-crisis","9":"tag-climate-emergency","10":"tag-co2","11":"tag-global-warming","12":"tag-ipcc","13":"tag-ipcc-sixth-assessment-report","14":"tag-noaa","16":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0tince.png?fit=1525%2C816&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-18rt","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":397419,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=397419","url_meta":{"origin":270783,"position":0},"title":"A Takeover of the IPCC","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"24\/08\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has just released the\u00a0names of its authors\u00a0for its seventh assessment report (AR7). The author list for its Chapter 3 \u2014\u00a0Changes in regional climate and extremes, and their causes\u00a0\u2014 suggests strongly that the IPCC will be shifting from its longstanding focus on detection and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"\u201cExtreme event attribution\u201d (EEA)\"","block_context":{"text":"\u201cExtreme event attribution\u201d (EEA)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=extreme-event-attribution-eea-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQN8E73mBIeJ79BE64oOwpgHrEoSyrULkNvH71IBO_mZ-qC9TT56xklCfqmbKBgyyUuH0SiFQnL0RA97mkkP-gt4iwKb3cGby9hHl1IrYhMenazzDXdlq4RY91HfC4fLWJZVAxkCgmGcMTsLCwfKPZDwSEAaCA-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQN8E73mBIeJ79BE64oOwpgHrEoSyrULkNvH71IBO_mZ-qC9TT56xklCfqmbKBgyyUuH0SiFQnL0RA97mkkP-gt4iwKb3cGby9hHl1IrYhMenazzDXdlq4RY91HfC4fLWJZVAxkCgmGcMTsLCwfKPZDwSEAaCA-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQN8E73mBIeJ79BE64oOwpgHrEoSyrULkNvH71IBO_mZ-qC9TT56xklCfqmbKBgyyUuH0SiFQnL0RA97mkkP-gt4iwKb3cGby9hHl1IrYhMenazzDXdlq4RY91HfC4fLWJZVAxkCgmGcMTsLCwfKPZDwSEAaCA-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQN8E73mBIeJ79BE64oOwpgHrEoSyrULkNvH71IBO_mZ-qC9TT56xklCfqmbKBgyyUuH0SiFQnL0RA97mkkP-gt4iwKb3cGby9hHl1IrYhMenazzDXdlq4RY91HfC4fLWJZVAxkCgmGcMTsLCwfKPZDwSEAaCA-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQN8E73mBIeJ79BE64oOwpgHrEoSyrULkNvH71IBO_mZ-qC9TT56xklCfqmbKBgyyUuH0SiFQnL0RA97mkkP-gt4iwKb3cGby9hHl1IrYhMenazzDXdlq4RY91HfC4fLWJZVAxkCgmGcMTsLCwfKPZDwSEAaCA-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":279576,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=279576","url_meta":{"origin":270783,"position":1},"title":"Extremely Common Rarities","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"20\/09\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"With all the recent interest in rare or extreme weather events, I got to wondering \u2026 what makes a weather event rare or extreme?","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-597.png?fit=1080%2C720&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-597.png?fit=1080%2C720&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-597.png?fit=1080%2C720&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-597.png?fit=1080%2C720&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-597.png?fit=1080%2C720&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":298264,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=298264","url_meta":{"origin":270783,"position":2},"title":"Warm Is Cold and Down Is Up\u00a02024","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"23\/01\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Clearly climatists are worried about current cold weather, ironically triggered by the beginning of COP28 coinciding with heavv snow closing airports in Munich, for example. Add to that Buffalo Bills NFL playoff game postponed due to extreme cold.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0Woman-in-ice-water-1200x853-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C853&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0Woman-in-ice-water-1200x853-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C853&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0Woman-in-ice-water-1200x853-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C853&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0Woman-in-ice-water-1200x853-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C853&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0Woman-in-ice-water-1200x853-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C853&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":383331,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=383331","url_meta":{"origin":270783,"position":3},"title":"My Hypothesis Re-Emerges","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"15\/06\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"I wanted to download all of my WUWT posts so I could make them into ebooks on various subjects. Of course, to do that I need to review some of my earliest posts. Bear in mind, this current analysis is the 1,051st post I\u2019ve put up on WUWT, so it\u2019s\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Clouds\"","block_context":{"text":"Clouds","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=clouds"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/0941728.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/0941728.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/0941728.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/0941728.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/0941728.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":397652,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=397652","url_meta":{"origin":270783,"position":4},"title":"Pielke Jr. \u2013A Takeover of the IPCC","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"25\/08\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Roger Pielke Jr.\u2019s\u00a0\u201cA Takeover of the IPCC\u201d\u00a0offers a timely post-mortem on what\u2019s left of scientific rigor in the world\u2019s most influential climate assessment body, of which Pielke Jr. has long been a supporter. The article chronicles not just a change in personnel at the IPCC, but a seismic shift in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"\u201cExtreme event attribution\u201d (EEA)\"","block_context":{"text":"\u201cExtreme event attribution\u201d (EEA)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=extreme-event-attribution-eea-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQMj8yHR8Be8RHSFGKLFy_bflKmAnzt8LM1X7piKEL-2ElU5jZObEOU6HGGBGI1E2OSwUBxyA7Arc4WJhfFb9P6XGZu9UVClDsD0gxlikkhHBUYvuFviW7TVKMhjRH4de4-fyUz9zWF8pT6BR0uNlanT4P2Wpg.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQMj8yHR8Be8RHSFGKLFy_bflKmAnzt8LM1X7piKEL-2ElU5jZObEOU6HGGBGI1E2OSwUBxyA7Arc4WJhfFb9P6XGZu9UVClDsD0gxlikkhHBUYvuFviW7TVKMhjRH4de4-fyUz9zWF8pT6BR0uNlanT4P2Wpg.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQMj8yHR8Be8RHSFGKLFy_bflKmAnzt8LM1X7piKEL-2ElU5jZObEOU6HGGBGI1E2OSwUBxyA7Arc4WJhfFb9P6XGZu9UVClDsD0gxlikkhHBUYvuFviW7TVKMhjRH4de4-fyUz9zWF8pT6BR0uNlanT4P2Wpg.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQMj8yHR8Be8RHSFGKLFy_bflKmAnzt8LM1X7piKEL-2ElU5jZObEOU6HGGBGI1E2OSwUBxyA7Arc4WJhfFb9P6XGZu9UVClDsD0gxlikkhHBUYvuFviW7TVKMhjRH4de4-fyUz9zWF8pT6BR0uNlanT4P2Wpg.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQMj8yHR8Be8RHSFGKLFy_bflKmAnzt8LM1X7piKEL-2ElU5jZObEOU6HGGBGI1E2OSwUBxyA7Arc4WJhfFb9P6XGZu9UVClDsD0gxlikkhHBUYvuFviW7TVKMhjRH4de4-fyUz9zWF8pT6BR0uNlanT4P2Wpg.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":281957,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=281957","url_meta":{"origin":270783,"position":5},"title":"Truth and Science: A Nobel Laureate\u2019s Advice to Students","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/10\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"jclauser-quantum-kores-2023 From Watts Up With That? By Ron Barmby Dr. John Clauser is an experimental physicist of the highest order. His 2022 Nobel Prize in physics is enough to make him one of the preeminent scientists of our times. 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