{"id":269746,"date":"2023-07-27T18:30:46","date_gmt":"2023-07-27T16:30:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=269746"},"modified":"2023-07-27T18:31:04","modified_gmt":"2023-07-27T16:31:04","slug":"climate-disaster-study-gulf-stream-could-collapse-as-early-as-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=269746","title":{"rendered":"Climate Disaster Study: Gulf Stream Could Collapse as Early as 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Watts Up With That?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Essay by Eric Worrall<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

All bad weather is our fault\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Gulf stream could collapse as early as 2025, study suggests<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A collapse would bring catastrophic climate impacts but scientists disagree over the new analysis<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Damian Carrington<\/a>Environment editor<\/em>
@dpcarrington<\/a>Wed 26 Jul 2023 01.00 AEST<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Gulf Stream system could collapse as soon as 2025, a new study suggests. The shutting down of the vital ocean currents, called the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (Amoc) by scientists, would bring catastrophic climate impacts.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Amoc was already known to be at its\u00a0<\/em>weakest in 1,600 years<\/a>\u00a0owing to global heating and researchers spotted\u00a0<\/em>warning signs of a tipping point<\/a>\u00a0in 2021.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new analysis estimates a timescale for the collapse of between 2025 and 2095, with a central estimate of 2050, if global carbon emissions are not reduced. Evidence from\u00a0<\/em>past collapses<\/a>\u00a0indicate changes of temperature of 10C in a few decades, although these occurred during ice ages.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cI think we should be very worried,\u201d said Prof Peter Ditlevsen, at the University of Copenhagen in Denmark, and who led the new study. \u201cThis would be a very, very large change. The Amoc has not been shut off for 12,000 years.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

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Read more:\u00a0https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2023\/jul\/25\/gulf-stream-could-collapse-as-early-as-2025-study-suggests<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

The abstract of the study;<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

Warning of a forthcoming collapse of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Peter Ditlevsen<\/a>\u00a0&\u00a0<\/em>Susanne Ditlevsen<\/a>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nature Communications<\/em><\/a>\u00a0<\/em>volume\u00a014<\/strong>, Article\u00a0number:\u00a04254\u00a0(2023)\u00a0<\/em>Cite this article<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Abstract<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) is a major tipping element in the climate system and a future collapse would have severe impacts on the climate in the North Atlantic region. In recent years weakening in circulation has been reported, but assessments by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), based on the Climate Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) model simulations suggest that a full collapse is unlikely within the 21st century. Tipping to an undesired state in the climate is, however, a growing concern with increasing greenhouse gas concentrations. Predictions based on observations rely on detecting early-warning signals, primarily an increase in variance (loss of resilience) and increased autocorrelation (critical slowing down), which have recently been reported for the AMOC. Here we provide statistical significance and data-driven estimators for the time of tipping. We estimate a collapse of the AMOC to occur around mid-century under the current scenario of future emissions.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Read more:\u00a0https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41467-023-39810-w<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

If the AMOC collapse occurred it would likely be really bad, temperatures in Europe and North America could plunge, and Europe and North America would likely experience ice age like conditions which could last hundreds, or even thousands of years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

An AMOC collapse is believed to have caused the\u00a0Younger Dryas<\/a>, an abrupt return to Northern Hemisphere ice age conditions which occurred 12,900 years ago, which lasted over a thousand years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

An AMOC collapse is believed to have caused the\u00a0Younger Dryas<\/a>, an abrupt return to Northern Hemisphere ice age conditions which occurred 12,900 years ago, which lasted over a thousand years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The scientists in the body of the study above admit continuous monitoring of the AMOC only started in 2004, which seems a pretty short baseline to make long term forecasts. But there have been other attempts to reconstruct the recent history of the AMOC, which have produced far less conclusive results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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The evolution of the North Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation since 1980<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

March 2022<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nature Reviews Earth & Environment<\/a>\u00a03(4)<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

DOI:<\/em>10.1038\/s43017-022-00263-2<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Authors:\u00a0<\/em><\/a>,\u00a0<\/em>Laura Jackson<\/a>,\u00a0<\/em>Arne Biastoch<\/a>,\u00a0<\/em>Martha W. Buckley<\/a>,\u00a0<\/em>Damien Desbruy\u00e8res<\/a>,\u00a0<\/em>Eleanor Frajka-Williams<\/a>,\u00a0<\/em>Ben I. Moat<\/a>,\u00a0<\/em>Jon Robson<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Abstract<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a key component of the climate through its transport of heat in the North Atlantic Ocean. Decadal changes in the AMOC, whether through internal variability or anthropogenically forced weakening, therefore have wide-ranging impacts. In this Review, we synthesize the understanding of contemporary decadal variability in the AMOC, bringing together evidence from observations, ocean reanalyses, forced models and AMOC proxies.\u00a0<\/em>Since 1980, there is evidence for periods of strengthening and weakening<\/em><\/strong>, although the magnitudes of change (5\u201325%) are uncertain. In the subpolar North Atlantic, the AMOC strengthened until the mid-1990s and then weakened until the early 2010s, with some evidence of a strengthening thereafter; these changes are probably linked to buoyancy forcing related to the North Atlantic Oscillation. In the subtropics, there is some evidence of the AMOC strengthening from 2001 to 2005 and strong evidence of a weakening from 2005 to 2014.\u00a0<\/em>Such large interannual and decadal variability complicates the detection of ongoing long-term trends, but does not preclude a weakening associated with anthropogenic warming<\/em><\/strong>. Research priorities include developing robust and sustainable solutions for the long-term monitoring of the AMOC, observation\u2013modelling collaborations to improve the representation of processes in the North Atlantic and better ways to distinguish anthropogenic weakening from internal variability. The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) has a key role in the climate system. This Review documents AMOC variability since 1980, revealing periods of decadal-scale weakening and strengthening that differ between the subpolar and subtropical regions.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Read more:\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.researchgate.net\/publication\/358935843_The_evolution_of_the_North_Atlantic_Meridional_Overturning_Circulation_since_1980<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

One thing which is missing from today\u2019s forecasts of imminent AMOC collapse is a large body of fresh water which could be the potential trigger for the collapse. The\u00a0Younger Dryas collapse in Northern Hemisphere temperatures<\/a>\u00a0was believed to have been caused by disruption to ocean currents which occurred when a gigantic glacial lake sitting on the North American and Canadian ice sheet abruptly discharged thousands of cubic miles of water into the Atlantic Ocean, though there is evidence a lot of fresh water may have ended up in the Arctic Ocean.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Identification of Younger Dryas outburst flood path from Lake Agassiz to the Arctic Ocean<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Julian B. Murton<\/a>,\u00a0<\/em>Mark D. Bateman<\/a>,\u00a0<\/em>Scott R. Dallimore<\/a>,\u00a0<\/em>James T. Teller<\/a>\u00a0&\u00a0<\/em>Zhirong Yang<\/a>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nature<\/em><\/a>\u00a0<\/em>volume\u00a0464<\/strong>,\u00a0pages\u00a0740\u2013743 (2010)<\/em>Cite this article<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Abstract<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The melting Laurentide Ice Sheet discharged thousands of cubic kilometres of fresh water each year into surrounding oceans, at times suppressing the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and triggering abrupt climate change<\/em>1<\/a>,2<\/a>,3<\/a>,4<\/a><\/sup>. Understanding the physical mechanisms leading to events such as the Younger Dryas cold interval requires identification of the paths and timing of the freshwater discharges.\u00a0<\/em>Although Broecker\u00a0et al.\u00a0hypothesized in 1989 that an outburst from glacial Lake Agassiz triggered the Younger Dryas\u00a01<\/a><\/sup>, specific evidence has so far proved elusive<\/em><\/strong>, leading Broecker to conclude in 2006 that \u201cour inability to identify the path taken by the flood is disconcerting\u201d<\/em>2<\/a><\/sup>. Here we identify the missing flood path\u2014evident from gravels and a regional erosion surface\u2014running through the Mackenzie River system in the Canadian Arctic Coastal Plain. Our modelling of the isostatically adjusted surface in the upstream Fort McMurray region, and a slight revision of the ice margin at this time, allows Lake Agassiz to spill into the Mackenzie drainage basin. From optically stimulated luminescence dating we have determined the approximate age of this Mackenzie River flood into the Arctic Ocean to be shortly after 13,000\u2009years ago, near the start of the Younger Dryas. We attribute to this flood a boulder terrace near Fort McMurray with calibrated radiocarbon dates of over 11,500\u2009years ago. A large flood into the Arctic Ocean at the start of the Younger Dryas leads us to reject the widespread view that Agassiz overflow at this time was solely eastward into the North Atlantic Ocean.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Read more:\u00a0https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/nature08954<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

If say the Greenland Ice Sheet were to form a gigantic glacial lake comparable to\u00a0Lake Agassiz<\/a>, that would be a major cause for concern. Such a lake could potentially deliver a devastating impulse of fresh water to the far North, potentially triggering a replay of the environmental catastrophe which some believe caused the\u00a0Younger Dryas<\/a>\u00a0mini ice age.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But to my knowledge, no similar glacial lake exists in today\u2019s world.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the absence of a credible source of a fresh water impulse on the scale of Lake Agassiz, the lack of clear understanding of exactly what happened 12,900 years ago, short evidential baselines, and the absence of firm observational evidence of a looming AMOC collapse, lets say I\u2019m not about to lose sleep over claims we are approaching an imminent major climate tipping point.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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For more information on climate uncertainties and risks, click here<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

An AMOC collapse is believed to have caused the\u00a0Younger Dryas, an abrupt return to Northern Hemisphere ice age conditions which occurred 12,900 years ago, which lasted over a thousand years.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":269757,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691821384,691821382,691821072,691818076,691821383,691818154],"class_list":["post-269746","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-atlantic-meridional-overturning-circulation-amoc","tag-climate-disaster","tag-climate-model","tag-co2","tag-gulf-stream","tag-net-zero","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/0globaloceancurrents.jpg?fit=1239%2C826&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-18aK","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":270980,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=270980","url_meta":{"origin":269746,"position":0},"title":"The Guardian\u2019s (ocean) circulation problem","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"08\/02\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Is there no loyalty among climate extremists? The Guardian makes a mistake about the fundamental difference between the Gulf Stream and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and suddenly everyone is on its case, some accusing it of sloppy reporting, others demanding a correction of its fake news, (which didn\u2019t\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"AMOC\"","block_context":{"text":"AMOC","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=amoc"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-98-1.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-98-1.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-98-1.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-98-1.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":413878,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=413878","url_meta":{"origin":269746,"position":1},"title":"An Ice Age May Come, New York Post, But If It Does, Ocean Current Collapse Won\u2019t Be the Cause","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"11\/19\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The New York Post (NYP) covered a recent study that claims the \u201cGulf Stream\u201d could soon collapse due to human caused climate change. Scientifically, the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) has slowed and sped up on its own due to physical factors that humans have no control over, but it\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)\"","block_context":{"text":"Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=atlantic-meridional-overturning-circulation-amoc"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQMyuaW5zRRfKusWuCVy5OtlBavUb_8xSDgknI5zE1YjyJLUKkWc0oM5PV5getJbgkX3P2mhQJaUaZoy2dKBryYVuLLDQ6ipN27btSN0pVkVlFqTDT178iD5zD1suVWU-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C701&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQMyuaW5zRRfKusWuCVy5OtlBavUb_8xSDgknI5zE1YjyJLUKkWc0oM5PV5getJbgkX3P2mhQJaUaZoy2dKBryYVuLLDQ6ipN27btSN0pVkVlFqTDT178iD5zD1suVWU-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C701&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQMyuaW5zRRfKusWuCVy5OtlBavUb_8xSDgknI5zE1YjyJLUKkWc0oM5PV5getJbgkX3P2mhQJaUaZoy2dKBryYVuLLDQ6ipN27btSN0pVkVlFqTDT178iD5zD1suVWU-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C701&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQMyuaW5zRRfKusWuCVy5OtlBavUb_8xSDgknI5zE1YjyJLUKkWc0oM5PV5getJbgkX3P2mhQJaUaZoy2dKBryYVuLLDQ6ipN27btSN0pVkVlFqTDT178iD5zD1suVWU-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C701&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQMyuaW5zRRfKusWuCVy5OtlBavUb_8xSDgknI5zE1YjyJLUKkWc0oM5PV5getJbgkX3P2mhQJaUaZoy2dKBryYVuLLDQ6ipN27btSN0pVkVlFqTDT178iD5zD1suVWU-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C701&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":414279,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=414279","url_meta":{"origin":269746,"position":2},"title":"\u00a0Is The Gulf Stream Really Collapsing? Debunking Another Climate Doomsday Claim","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"11\/22\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The idea that global warming could paradoxically shut down the Gulf Stream, plunging Europe into a new cold spell\u2014a scenario popularized by the film\u00a0The Day After Tomorrow\u2014is a powerful narrative.","rel":"","context":"In \"Arctic Ice\"","block_context":{"text":"Arctic Ice","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arctic-ice"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQMJvBPBebog8Xm49_ERkrVz9uWa4J5OdkYLJThsovaKBw055yTJnhg5mKHmbygBlnRZF12QFuK21htLK4u7vMobZbPFYdbf-a4yvSDfNXNJ6yBnujkF1uDqJXQYgg.jpeg?fit=1200%2C649&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQMJvBPBebog8Xm49_ERkrVz9uWa4J5OdkYLJThsovaKBw055yTJnhg5mKHmbygBlnRZF12QFuK21htLK4u7vMobZbPFYdbf-a4yvSDfNXNJ6yBnujkF1uDqJXQYgg.jpeg?fit=1200%2C649&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQMJvBPBebog8Xm49_ERkrVz9uWa4J5OdkYLJThsovaKBw055yTJnhg5mKHmbygBlnRZF12QFuK21htLK4u7vMobZbPFYdbf-a4yvSDfNXNJ6yBnujkF1uDqJXQYgg.jpeg?fit=1200%2C649&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQMJvBPBebog8Xm49_ERkrVz9uWa4J5OdkYLJThsovaKBw055yTJnhg5mKHmbygBlnRZF12QFuK21htLK4u7vMobZbPFYdbf-a4yvSDfNXNJ6yBnujkF1uDqJXQYgg.jpeg?fit=1200%2C649&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQMJvBPBebog8Xm49_ERkrVz9uWa4J5OdkYLJThsovaKBw055yTJnhg5mKHmbygBlnRZF12QFuK21htLK4u7vMobZbPFYdbf-a4yvSDfNXNJ6yBnujkF1uDqJXQYgg.jpeg?fit=1200%2C649&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":282169,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=282169","url_meta":{"origin":269746,"position":3},"title":"AMOC: A Non-Tipping point","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/06\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"From Watts Up With That? Gabriel Oxenstierna, Ph.D The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is one of Earth\u2019s major ocean circulation systems\u2014it redistributes heat on our planet and is a key driver of climate variability. There is a northward transport of heat throughout the Atlantic, comprising one quarter of the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)\"","block_context":{"text":"Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=atlantic-meridional-overturning-circulation-amoc"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0PBwTwPhNHqHE294xqxrPed-1200-80.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0PBwTwPhNHqHE294xqxrPed-1200-80.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0PBwTwPhNHqHE294xqxrPed-1200-80.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0PBwTwPhNHqHE294xqxrPed-1200-80.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0PBwTwPhNHqHE294xqxrPed-1200-80.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":270153,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=270153","url_meta":{"origin":269746,"position":4},"title":"No CNN, Gulf Stream is Not\u00a0Collapsing","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"07\/29\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The averaged AMOC projections from\u00a0climate models\u00a0under all the IPCC emissions\u00a0scenarios all show an AMOC decline, but not a collapse (a \u201chigh confidence\u201d conclusion). Some individual climate model runs do show a future collapse in the AMOC, so the possibility cannot be entirely ruled out.","rel":"","context":"In \"Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)\"","block_context":{"text":"Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=atlantic-meridional-overturning-circulation-amoc"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/0the-day-after-tomorrow.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/0the-day-after-tomorrow.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/0the-day-after-tomorrow.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/0the-day-after-tomorrow.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/0the-day-after-tomorrow.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":272988,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=272988","url_meta":{"origin":269746,"position":5},"title":"The ‘Gulf Stream’ will not collapse in 2025: What the alarmist headlines got wrong","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"08\/12\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Those following the latest developments in climate science would have been stunned by the jaw-dropping headlines last week proclaiming the\u00a0\"Gulf Stream could collapse as early as 2025, study suggests\"\u2014which responded to a\u00a0recent publication in\u00a0Nature Communications.","rel":"","context":"In \"alarmist headlines\"","block_context":{"text":"alarmist headlines","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=alarmist-headlines"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-487.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-487.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-487.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-487.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-487.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/269746","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=269746"}],"version-history":[{"count":12,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/269746\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":269759,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/269746\/revisions\/269759"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/269757"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=269746"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=269746"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=269746"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}