{"id":268176,"date":"2023-07-18T19:27:36","date_gmt":"2023-07-18T17:27:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=268176"},"modified":"2023-07-18T19:27:48","modified_gmt":"2023-07-18T17:27:48","slug":"hottest-year-misdirection-june-report","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=268176","title":{"rendered":"Hottest Year Misdirection June\u00a0Report"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Science Matters<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By\u00a0Ron Clutz<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"\/<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Activists and their media allies are Hell-bent to spoil our summertime joy by stirring up climate fear to further their zero carbon agenda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The calendar turning to\u00a0June<\/strong>\u00a0and the official start to summer\u00a0triggers the usual alarms that this year will surely be the hottest ever.\u00a0<\/strong>\u00a0Headlines recently:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

\u2666\u00a0\u00a0Is 2023 going to be the hottest year on record?\u00a0<\/strong>\u00a0World Economic Forum<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2666\u00a0\u00a0Why 2023 is shaping up to be the hottest year on record<\/strong>\u00a0New Scientist<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2666\u00a0\u00a0Global temperatures in 2023 set to be among hottest on record\u00a0<\/strong>\u00a0The Guardian<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2666\u00a0\u00a02023 will be \u2018one of the hottest on record\u2019 says Met Office<\/strong>\u00a0BBC<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And of course you can count on NYT to totally jump the shark:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2666\u00a0\u00a0The Last 8 Years Were the Hottest on Record<\/strong>\u00a0\u2013 The New York Times<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

In the past few years, the earth cooled after warming from the 2015-2016 El Nino, and with higher North Atlantic summer anomalies repeating in 2020.\u00a0 The cooling was significant as shown in the chart below (from the UAH satellite temperature dataset.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Global anomaly dropped from +0.7C January 2016 to <0.0C January 2023.\u00a0 And of course the media ignored that cooling since they are addicted to the global warming narrative: temperatures can only go up, since CO2 keeps rising.\u00a0 On the contrary, the chart shows CO2 did rise steadily, while temps fluctuated up and down, ending this period of 27 years flat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Curiously, a lot of us have so far seen unseasonably cool temperatures this year, and wonder where this hottest year could be?\u00a0 I mean, 60 cm of snow one June day in Jasper Park Alberta?\u00a0 \u00a0Suspecting that we have again a weather\/climate perception that exists everywhere elsewhere, I turned to NOAA\u2019s Climate at a Glance website to see what their data shows.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Climate reporting is confusing because the scope of temperature averaging gives very different impressions, and at the mega scale rarely corresponds to anyone\u2019s particular experience.\u00a0 So generalizations are claimed extrapolating from statistics, contradicted by many persons\u2019 direct experience.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NOAA State of the Climate is another site advocating for the IPCC agenda and illustrates how this works.\u00a0 First the\u00a0Global Climate Report:<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

So there is the #1 hottest month out of 174 years\u2013warmest Land, Ocean and combined Global.\u00a0 Now let\u2019s look at the year to date (YTD):<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Whoops, that\u2019s not as scary; the first half of 2023 is not #1.\u00a0 \u00a0Rather, the ocean is #2, Land #5, and the Global start to the year is #3.\u00a0 And the table shows that 2016 was the hottest, consistent with the UAH graph above.\u00a0 We start to see how media reports are speculating and hoping for this to be the hottest year, despite the first half of the year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And to understand why most people will be put off by hottest year claims, we go to the\u00a0Regional Analysis\u00a0<\/strong><\/a>in order to see what the year has been like in various continents (land by definition).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

It becomes obvious that no matter where I live, don\u2019t tell me this is the hottest year ever. OK some Africans and Europeans may agree, but those in Oceania (mostly Australians) will boo you out of the room.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Note:  NOAA climatology data<\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n
\n

The Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature (ERSST) dataset is a global monthly analysis of SST data derived from the International Comprehensive Ocean\u2013Atmosphere Dataset (ICOADS). The dataset can be used for long-term global and basin-wide studies and incorporates smoothed local and short-term variations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Global Historical Climatology Network monthly (GHCNm) dataset provides monthly climate summaries from thousands of weather stations around the world. The initial version was developed in the early 1990s, and subsequent iterations were released in 1997, 2011, and most recently in 2018. The period of record for each summary varies by station, with the earliest observations dating to the 18th century. Some station records are purely historical and are no longer updated, but many others are still operational and provide short time delay updates that are useful for climate monitoring. The current version (GHCNm v4) consists of mean monthly temperature data, as well as a beta release of monthly precipitation data. [Reported station data are subject to adjustments by way of a procedure, known as the Pairwise Homogenization Algorithm (PHA)]<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

In addition, a previous post gives directions and links for anyone to get the unbiased climate history where they live, including the example of my locale.\u00a0 See\u00a0June 2023 the Hottest Ever? Not So Fast!<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Footnote:<\/strong>\u00a0Everyone has an agenda and packages data in support of their POV.\u00a0 Those who joined the anti-hydrocarbon crusade are bound to find and amplify any bit of global warming they can find.\u00a0 My agenda is for people to consider the full amount of relevant data and facts, and to reason accordingly rather than go along with the crowd or their feelings.\u00a0 My approach is best expressed in this essay:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n
I Want You Not to Panic<\/a><\/blockquote>