{"id":267990,"date":"2023-07-17T21:17:24","date_gmt":"2023-07-17T19:17:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=267990"},"modified":"2023-07-17T21:17:27","modified_gmt":"2023-07-17T19:17:27","slug":"yes-no-maybe-but-its-going-to-be-something-settled-climate-science-in-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=267990","title":{"rendered":"Yes, No, Maybe \u2013 but Its Going to be Something! Settled Climate Science in 2023"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Watts Up With That?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Essay by Eric Worrall<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Climate change could be supercharging the weather this year \u2013 but we\u2019re not sure exactly how?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

How El Ni\u00f1o, climate change and warming oceans could combine to supercharge the world\u2019s weather<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By weather reporter\u00a0<\/em>Tyne Logan<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Of course, in any one year there is always going to be extreme weather events.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

But Dr Gallant said\u00a0this year,\u00a0records were not\u00a0just being broken\u00a0\u2014 they were being\u00a0smashed.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cIt\u2019s really made us stand up and take notice, because it\u2019s not just in one place,\u201d she said.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A sign\u00a0of what\u2019s to come<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

It is still too too early to say<\/em><\/strong>\u00a0whether the individual weather events were made more likely by climate change, or other\u00a0natural influences\u00a0like El Ni\u00f1o.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

But\u00a0<\/em>Dr Gallant said what was clear was the nature of weather events had changed, and it told a story of what the world may be in for in the year\u00a0to come<\/em><\/strong>, particularly in the realm of heat.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cWe\u2019re entering territory where climate change is starting to become a much more dominant signal than it has been in the past, and things are only going to get more interesting,\u201d she said.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Read more:\u00a0https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2023-07-16\/el-nino-climate-change-warmer-oceans-extreme-weather-forecast\/102604902<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

How can Dr Gallant say the nature of weather events has changed, that the current cluster of weather events is a sign of things to come, while simultaneously admitting she doesn\u2019t know whether climate change or the likely gathering El Nino has affected current weather events?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If Dr. Gallant was to make a firm statement, like \u201cthe incidence of extreme weather events will double over the next 10 years\u201d, or \u201cAntarctic sea ice will disappear completely by 2030\u201d, those would be testable prediction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But the global climate has a history of embarrassing climate scientists who make testable predictions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Perhaps climate scientists have learned caution, through watching their colleagues endure multiple ice free arctic<\/a> and end of snow<\/a> humiliations over the years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n

For more information on the claimed dangers of extreme events,\u00a0go to our Claimed Dangers page on EverythingClimate.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Or<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check our Failed Predictions Timeline<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n

Correction (EW): h\/t The Final Nail, he -> she.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

How can Dr Gallant say the nature of weather events has changed, that the current cluster of weather events is a sign of things to come, while simultaneously admitting she doesn\u2019t know whether climate change or the likely gathering El Nino has affected current weather events?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":267997,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818056,691819287,691821160],"class_list":{"0":"post-267990","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-climate-change","9":"tag-el-nino-2","10":"tag-weather-events","12":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/00shamans.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-17Iq","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":312201,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=312201","url_meta":{"origin":267990,"position":0},"title":"The AP\u2019s Coverage of UN\u2019s \u2018Climate Red Alert\u2019 Is Nothing More Than a Red Herring","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"23\/03\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The Associated Press (AP) ran a story claiming that a \u201cred alert\u201d was issued by The United Nations (UN) weather agency, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), which claimed that global temperature in 2023 set new records due to human caused climate change, and expectations that new record high temperatures would\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"climate propaganda\"","block_context":{"text":"climate 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Change Is Not \u2018Supercharging\u2019 the Latest Winter Storm","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"07\/02\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"An article in the\u00a0Los Angeles Times\u00a0(LAT) by\u00a0Hayley Smith\u00a0and\u00a0Grace Toohey, titled \u201cEl Ni\u00f1o and climate change are supercharging incoming storm, SoCal\u2019s biggest this winter,\u201d\u00a0falsely claims the present storm is being caused or exacerbated by climate change.","rel":"","context":"In \"California\"","block_context":{"text":"California","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=california"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/00HD-Weather-Image.jpg?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/00HD-Weather-Image.jpg?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, 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This is false. Climate change does not make such localized effects in a short time, and it\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0drone-ice-5.webp?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0drone-ice-5.webp?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0drone-ice-5.webp?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0drone-ice-5.webp?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0drone-ice-5.webp?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":348355,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=348355","url_meta":{"origin":267990,"position":3},"title":"Naturally Hot, Exaggeration Not","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"22\/10\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"\u201cWhat has come to be known as \u2018weather attribution,\u2019 research assigning causation to observed weather events, is fraught with methodological problems. Veteran climate scientist Roger A. Pielke Jr. in his Substack publication The Honest Broker calls it \u2018weather attribution alchemy\u2019.\u201d","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/428cb5e678da63e8f316391bc0d6116d.jpg?fit=1200%2C695&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/428cb5e678da63e8f316391bc0d6116d.jpg?fit=1200%2C695&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/428cb5e678da63e8f316391bc0d6116d.jpg?fit=1200%2C695&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/428cb5e678da63e8f316391bc0d6116d.jpg?fit=1200%2C695&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/428cb5e678da63e8f316391bc0d6116d.jpg?fit=1200%2C695&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":325139,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=325139","url_meta":{"origin":267990,"position":4},"title":"Mainstream Media Falls for Weather Attribution Con Again Over Dubai\u2019s Flooding","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/05\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"A few media outlets, including CNN and BBC, have run recent articles talking about flooding in Dubai, claiming that climate change made the storms worse. This is false. There is no evidence that climate change made the rain more extreme, instead, evidence actually indicates that El Ni\u00f1o and even cloud\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0dubai-1351569_1280.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0dubai-1351569_1280.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0dubai-1351569_1280.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0dubai-1351569_1280.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0dubai-1351569_1280.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":191877,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=191877","url_meta":{"origin":267990,"position":5},"title":"Ancient El Ni\u00f1os reveal limits to future climate projections","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"16\/03\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Unravelling the assumptions and the strange cause\/effect logic suggested by the article is a challenge here. They say they\u2019re looking for \u201eclues on how sensitive El Ni\u00f1o is to changes in climate\u201c, but \u201eif there\u2019s another big El Ni\u00f1o, it\u2019s going to be very hard to attribute it to a\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/00elninoconditions7180443_6ab92480be_o.jpg?fit=1200%2C923&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/00elninoconditions7180443_6ab92480be_o.jpg?fit=1200%2C923&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/00elninoconditions7180443_6ab92480be_o.jpg?fit=1200%2C923&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/00elninoconditions7180443_6ab92480be_o.jpg?fit=1200%2C923&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/00elninoconditions7180443_6ab92480be_o.jpg?fit=1200%2C923&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/267990","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=267990"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/267990\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":268000,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/267990\/revisions\/268000"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/267997"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=267990"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=267990"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=267990"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}