{"id":265007,"date":"2023-07-02T16:45:39","date_gmt":"2023-07-02T14:45:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=265007"},"modified":"2023-07-02T16:45:42","modified_gmt":"2023-07-02T14:45:42","slug":"nasa-climate-model-fails-at-basic-physics-report-finds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=265007","title":{"rendered":"NASA Climate Model Fails at Basic Physics, Report Finds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From The Daily Sceptic<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By\u00a0ANDREW MONTFORD<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

There is little evidence of the climate becoming more adverse or more harmful. Small changes in, for example, extreme rainfall or storms, are not discernible above the noise of natural changes in the weather.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, as everyone knows, climate scientists say we should still be frightened, because of what they learn from their climate models. These giant computer simulations of the atmosphere and ocean are at the centre of the global warming scare, and are behind every claim that droughts will get worse, storms are caused by SUVs and that we are all going to hell in a handcart. We are told, endlessly, that we should trust these prognostications because the models are \u2018based on basic physics\u2019.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But what if that wasn\u2019t strictly true? What if climate models were actually junk? A new paper from Net Zero Watch shows, somewhat alarmingly, that this is indeed the case.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The author, Willis Eschenbach, is an experienced computer programmer and a long-time writer on all things climate change. His paper, entitled Climate Models and Climate Muddles<\/em><\/a>,<\/em> reports on what he found when he examined the computer code inside NASA\u2019s Model E climate simulation. It is positively astonishing. While programmers have indeed attempted to base the model on basic physics, time and again they have run into problems. For example, Eschenbach describes the problems they have had with polynyas, pools of meltwater that sit on top of the polar ice caps. These are important in determining how much of the sun\u2019s heat is reflected straight back out to space again, and thus how much global warming affects the earth\u2019s temperature.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Being made of water, polynyas should of course freeze once temperatures fall below zero. However, the code reveals that, in the artificial world of the simulation, they failed to freeze even at temperatures far colder! Imagine that \u2013 fresh water that refuses to freeze. However, instead of working out what was wrong with the physics, NASA\u2019s scientists simply decided to insert some code that forced it to freeze if the temperature fell too far below zero. So, in this area at least, the model is not based on physics so much as on fudge.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The problem with the polynyas is just one example. Eschenbach shows that in another area of the model scientists were forced to insert code that dealt with the problem of cloud cover becoming negative. Clearly, if a model can have less than 0% cloud in some parts of the world, the physics on which it is based is very faulty.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In recent years, we have seen the difficulties into which politicians can get when they trust scientists\u2019 models unquestioningly. We are still dealing with the consequences of SAGE\u2019s eccentric guidance and Professor Ferguson\u2019s prognostications of doom from 2020. We still do not fully understand the cost to society.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But we do understand that the trust that the Government placed in the experts at the start of the pandemic was wholly mistaken. If the terrible dark cloud of the Covid disaster is ultimately to have a silver lining, then it must come from our politicians learning the necessary lessons: that they have to question the guidance of experts and that they should seek a variety of opinions. And above all, that they must instinctively distrust anything that comes out of a computer model.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Andrew Montford is Director of Net Zero Watch<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

There is little evidence of the climate becoming more adverse or more harmful. Small changes in, for example, extreme rainfall or storms, are not discernible above the noise of natural changes in the weather.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":265011,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_seo_schema_type":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_wpcom_ai_launchpad_first_post":false,"_jetpack_hide_featured_image":false,"_jetpack_featured_image_duplicate_dismissed":0,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691819134,691818153,691818491,691818154,691820151],"class_list":["post-265007","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-climate-alarmism","tag-climate-models","tag-nasa","tag-net-zero","tag-the-science","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-16Wj","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":262548,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=262548","url_meta":{"origin":265007,"position":0},"title":"State Of The UK Climate\u00a02022","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"06\/17\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"\"It\u2019s extraordinary that we are impoverishing our economy and households in an utopian attempt to achieve Net Zero at any cost, when the UK\u2019s long-term climate trends have remained relatively stable and pleasant.\"","rel":"","context":"In \"Net zero\"","block_context":{"text":"Net zero","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=net-zero"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0Screenshot-2023-06-17-161621.png?fit=794%2C931&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0Screenshot-2023-06-17-161621.png?fit=794%2C931&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0Screenshot-2023-06-17-161621.png?fit=794%2C931&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0Screenshot-2023-06-17-161621.png?fit=794%2C931&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":279003,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=279003","url_meta":{"origin":265007,"position":1},"title":"Claim: Climate Change is Causing Floods and \u201cFlash Droughts\u201d","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/16\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"If the scientists are right, and \u201cflash droughts\u201d become a problem, I would suggest better water infrastructure is a higher priority than green energy fantasies. 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