{"id":264942,"date":"2023-07-02T14:14:42","date_gmt":"2023-07-02T12:14:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=264942"},"modified":"2023-07-02T14:14:45","modified_gmt":"2023-07-02T12:14:45","slug":"the-sea-level-hype-continues","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=264942","title":{"rendered":"The Sea Level Hype Continues"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Watts Up With That?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

So I\u2019m reading the news, and I find the following<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

New study makes grim reveal about New York City\u2019s skyscrapers: \u2018It is a deep concern\u2019<\/h4>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\n
\n

Ben Raker Fri, June 30, 2023 at 11:00 AM PDT<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Big Apple has grown too big for the land it rests on, according to a study<\/a> released in May showing New York City is sinking under its own weight as the waters around it rise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

What\u2019s happening?<\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n

The study, published in Earth\u2019s Future, finds that the Big Apple, home to more than eight million people, is sinking at a rate of about 0.4-0.8 inches [10-20 mm]<\/em> per year.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

YIKES!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Now, I\u2019m pretty conversant with the sea-level data, and that made no sense. I thought, maybe they didn\u2019t read the underlying study<\/a>. So I read it. It says:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

We present satellite data that show that the city is sinking 1\u20132 mm\/yr with some areas subsiding much faster.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Hmm \u2026 the alarmist article says 10-20 mm per year, based on a study that says 1-2 mm per year \u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Moving on, the article also says:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

The average sea level near the southern tip of Manhattan has risen about 9 inches since 1950, as reported<\/a> by SeaLevelRise.org. <\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Following the trail of that link, I find SeaLevelRise saying:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

Sea level rise is speeding up<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

The sea level around Battery, New York, has risen by nearly 9 inches since 1950. Its speed of rise has accelerated over the last ten years and it\u2019s now rising by 1 inch every 7-8 years.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

They link that to the NOAA sea level data for The Battery, New York. So, it\u2019s off to the NOAA data. There, I find the following.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Figure 1. NOAA sea level rise data for The Battery, New York. SOURCE<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

That says that there is a relative sea level rise of 2.9 mm\/year. It\u2019s been 73 years since 1950. That\u2019s 211.7 mm, or 8.3 inches \u2026 I suppose on some planet that\u2019s \u201calmost nine inches\u201d as they say. Close enough for government work, I guess.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But is it true that the \u201cspeed of rise has accelerated over the last ten years\u201d as they say? To determine the answer, I got the sea level data shown in Figure 1. I discarded the pre-1893 data due to the long gap in the data prior to that. Here\u2019s the result.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Figure 2. NOAA sea level rise data, plus CEEMD smooth of the data<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

So is it true that the \u201cspeed of rise has accelerated over the last ten years\u201d? Yep. And it\u2019s a perfect example of what I call \u201clying with the truth\u201d. As you can see in the data above, the sea level goes up and down quite regularly. The current rise started in 2015. It is nearly identical to the 2003-2011 rise, which looked much like the previous rise, which was very similar to the rise before that \u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Here\u2019s a longer look at sea-level changes at The Battery. Figure 3 shows the thirty-year trailing acceleration and deceleration of the sea level there.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Figure 3. 30-year trailing acceleration and deceleration of the sea level.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

All I can say is, it\u2019s a good thing we didn\u2019t have these hysterical alarmists back in the 1940s when the acceleration was at its modern peak. They\u2019d have totally lost the plot, just like today only worse \u2026 the rude truth is, the rate of sea level rise speeds up and slows down, and as far as we can tell, that\u2019s just its nature.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Conclusions?<\/strong> Yes, New York is sinking. It has been since the last glaciation. And yes, the buildings are increasing the rate of sinking \u2026 although from the sea level data, that\u2019s not having much of an effect.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And yes, the rate of sea level rise goes up and down. Get used to it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Here, it\u2019s a lovely night, almost full moon. I\u2019m going for a walk outside to clear my mind of the endless modern fear of the future. Why do people insist on believing there is some terrible event just over the horizon?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I reckon I\u2019ll go pose that question to the redwood trees \u2026 they\u2019ve always given me good advice in the past.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

My best moon-lit wishes to all,<\/p>\n\n\n\n

w.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

My Customary Plea:<\/strong> To avoid misunderstandings, please quote the exact words you are discussing. Thanks.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Yes, New York is sinking. It has been since the last glaciation. And yes, the buildings are increasing the rate of sinking \u2026 although from the sea level data, that\u2019s not having much of an effect.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":264950,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_seo_schema_type":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_wpcom_ai_launchpad_first_post":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691820673,691820093],"class_list":["post-264942","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-hype","tag-sea-level","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-16Vg","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":278351,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=278351","url_meta":{"origin":264942,"position":0},"title":"More Manipulative Fear-mongering by UN Secretary-General Ant\u00f3nio Guterres","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/11\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"A few months ago, hoping to elicit sympathy for more United Nations control of our lives, UN Secretary-General Ant\u00f3nio Guterres stated, \"rising seas are a serious threat requiring a coordinated global response at the highest levels; with 900 million people at risk, sea level rise could drive \u201ca mass exodus\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Ant\u00f3nio Guterres\"","block_context":{"text":"Ant\u00f3nio Guterres","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=antonio-guterres-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/428cb5e678da63e8f316391bc0d6116d.jpg?fit=1200%2C695&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/428cb5e678da63e8f316391bc0d6116d.jpg?fit=1200%2C695&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/428cb5e678da63e8f316391bc0d6116d.jpg?fit=1200%2C695&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/428cb5e678da63e8f316391bc0d6116d.jpg?fit=1200%2C695&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/428cb5e678da63e8f316391bc0d6116d.jpg?fit=1200%2C695&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":278513,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=278513","url_meta":{"origin":264942,"position":1},"title":"DeSantis is Right, New York Times, We Should all \u2018Shrug Off the Threat\u2019 of Catastrophic Climate Change","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/13\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"In short, DeSantis is right to \u201cshrug off\u201d the climate hype and focus instead on the real problems facing Florida. 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This is false. 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