{"id":264549,"date":"2023-06-29T19:09:23","date_gmt":"2023-06-29T17:09:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=264549"},"modified":"2023-06-29T19:09:26","modified_gmt":"2023-06-29T17:09:26","slug":"climate-models-behind-net-zero-policies-are-thoroughly-flawed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=264549","title":{"rendered":"Climate models behind Net Zero policies are \u2018thoroughly\u00a0flawed\u2019"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"490\" data-attachment-id=\"264555\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=264555\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0-Climate-models-45.jpeg?fit=1271%2C862&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1271,862\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0-Climate-models-45\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0-Climate-models-45.jpeg?fit=723%2C490&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0-Climate-models-45.jpeg?resize=723%2C490&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-264555\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0-Climate-models-45.jpeg?resize=1024%2C694&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0-Climate-models-45.jpeg?resize=300%2C203&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0-Climate-models-45.jpeg?resize=768%2C521&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0-Climate-models-45.jpeg?resize=1200%2C814&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0-Climate-models-45.jpeg?w=1271&amp;ssl=1 1271w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From <a href=\"http:\/\/Net Zero Watch\">Net Zero Watch<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"375\" data-attachment-id=\"264551\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=264551\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0Screen-Shot-2023-06-29-at-10.39.31.png?fit=1365%2C708&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1365,708\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0Screen-Shot-2023-06-29-at-10.39.31\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0Screen-Shot-2023-06-29-at-10.39.31.png?fit=723%2C375&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0Screen-Shot-2023-06-29-at-10.39.31.png?resize=723%2C375&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-264551\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0Screen-Shot-2023-06-29-at-10.39.31.png?resize=1024%2C531&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0Screen-Shot-2023-06-29-at-10.39.31.png?resize=300%2C156&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0Screen-Shot-2023-06-29-at-10.39.31.png?resize=768%2C398&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0Screen-Shot-2023-06-29-at-10.39.31.png?resize=1200%2C622&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0Screen-Shot-2023-06-29-at-10.39.31.png?w=1365&amp;ssl=1 1365w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Crude corrections\u00a0hide unrealistic physics.<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The world\u2019s climate policies are based on computer simulations of the atmosphere that are thoroughly flawed. That\u2019s the conclusion of a new paper published by Net Zero Watch.<br><br>The paper, by US climate writer Willis Eschenbach, describes the results of a review of the computer code inside NASA\u2019s Model E climate simulation.&nbsp;It shows that, far from being based on basic physics, in many places the model incorporates crude corrections to make the output look vaguely reasonable.<br><br>Eschenbach says:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It\u2019s clear that in many places the physics in the computer code is simply wrong and gives ludicrous output. But instead of fixing it, NASA scientists have simply put crude corrections to hide the&nbsp;problem. This destroys the credibility of NASA\u2019s predictions.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Andrew Montford, Net Zero Watch director said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We know from the Covid debacle that computer models are no basis for public policy. It would be a pity if politicians refuse to learn that lesson and allow further damage to be inflicted on the public.\u201d&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Eschenbach\u2019s paper is available for\u00a0<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.netzerowatch.com\/content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Eschenbach-Climate-Models.pdf\">download here.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div data-wp-interactive=\"core\/file\" class=\"wp-block-file\"><object data-wp-bind--hidden=\"!state.hasPdfPreview\" hidden class=\"wp-block-file__embed\" data=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Eschenbach-Climate-Models.pdf\" type=\"application\/pdf\" style=\"width:100%;height:600px\" aria-label=\"Embed of Eschenbach-Climate-Models.\"><\/object><a id=\"wp-block-file--media-1f9c47d3-473c-4f90-997a-ea561d586f85\" href=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Eschenbach-Climate-Models.pdf\">Eschenbach-Climate-Models<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Eschenbach-Climate-Models.pdf\" class=\"wp-block-file__button wp-element-button\" download aria-describedby=\"wp-block-file--media-1f9c47d3-473c-4f90-997a-ea561d586f85\">Herunterladen<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Crude corrections\u00a0hide unrealistic physics.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":264555,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818153,691818362,691820621],"class_list":{"0":"post-264549","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-climate-models","9":"tag-climate-policies","10":"tag-computer-simulations","12":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0-Climate-models-45.jpeg?fit=1271%2C862&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-16OV","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":229767,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=229767","url_meta":{"origin":264549,"position":0},"title":"Unrealistic Net Zero Policies Cost Families Dearly","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"18\/11\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"However, the root of the ongoing energy crisis is unrealistic policies based on unscientific conclusions about climate, often drafted in plush European offices.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-628.png?fit=1200%2C1010&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-628.png?fit=1200%2C1010&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-628.png?fit=1200%2C1010&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-628.png?fit=1200%2C1010&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-628.png?fit=1200%2C1010&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":203780,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=203780","url_meta":{"origin":264549,"position":1},"title":"Have climate models outlived their usefulness?","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"11\/06\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"At the end of its usefulness? UK Met Office Cray XC40 computer Outside of their academic fascination, looked at in terms of their contribution to climate policy, it seems that we may have reached the useful limit of computer climate modelling. The first computers built in the 1950s allowed climate\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0Screen-Shot-2022-06-10-at-14.56.43.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0Screen-Shot-2022-06-10-at-14.56.43.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0Screen-Shot-2022-06-10-at-14.56.43.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0Screen-Shot-2022-06-10-at-14.56.43.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":202443,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=202443","url_meta":{"origin":264549,"position":2},"title":"A cloudless future? The mystery at the heart of climate forecasts","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/06\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Cloud guesswork is hindering climate models, therefore relying heavily on their outputs to decide policies must be risky. A professor commented that we may \u201eneed a\u00a0Manhattan Project\u00a0level of new federal funding and interagency coordination to actually solve this problem.\u201c This can\u2019t be brushed aside as a minor issue.\u2013 \u2013 \u2013We\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0clouds23.jpg?fit=1190%2C893&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0clouds23.jpg?fit=1190%2C893&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0clouds23.jpg?fit=1190%2C893&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0clouds23.jpg?fit=1190%2C893&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0clouds23.jpg?fit=1190%2C893&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":231808,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=231808","url_meta":{"origin":264549,"position":3},"title":"A Look at Climate Models: \u201cObviously Do Not Represent the Physics\u201d \u2026\u201d Not at All Capable\u201d","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"30\/11\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Models still remain \u201ccrude statistical tools\u201d \u2026\u201d not at all capable of reliably informing the world\u2019s decision makers\u201d","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/0model-1609274560.742.gif?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":291565,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=291565","url_meta":{"origin":264549,"position":4},"title":"From Now To 2100 Emission Reduction Policy Costs Greatly Exceed Any Net Benefit From Averted Warming","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"16\/12\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The benefits of not meeting Paris Accord emissions-reduction targets outweigh the costs associated even with worst-case-scenario global warming throughout the 21st century.","rel":"","context":"In \"best case scenarios\"","block_context":{"text":"best case scenarios","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=best-case-scenarios"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/0P_G_aims_to_have_net_zero_on_GHG_emissions_by_2040_Shutterstock.com_xfji8p.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/0P_G_aims_to_have_net_zero_on_GHG_emissions_by_2040_Shutterstock.com_xfji8p.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/0P_G_aims_to_have_net_zero_on_GHG_emissions_by_2040_Shutterstock.com_xfji8p.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/0P_G_aims_to_have_net_zero_on_GHG_emissions_by_2040_Shutterstock.com_xfji8p.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/0P_G_aims_to_have_net_zero_on_GHG_emissions_by_2040_Shutterstock.com_xfji8p.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":433889,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=433889","url_meta":{"origin":264549,"position":5},"title":"Wrong, Mainstream Media, People Are Not Going to Die from Inactivity Due to Global Warming","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"24\/03\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Several mainstream media outlets, including The Daily Mail, Economic Times, and The Washington Post released articles referencing a study that claims global warming will result in a decline in exercise and physical activity, leading to a large increase in premature deaths. This is nonsense. This study relies entirely on assumptions\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"American Medical Association (AMA)\"","block_context":{"text":"American Medical Association (AMA)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=american-medical-association-ama"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0sammy-sander-man-5530768-scaled-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0sammy-sander-man-5530768-scaled-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0sammy-sander-man-5530768-scaled-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0sammy-sander-man-5530768-scaled-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0sammy-sander-man-5530768-scaled-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/264549","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=264549"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/264549\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":264557,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/264549\/revisions\/264557"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/264555"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=264549"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=264549"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=264549"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}