{"id":264415,"date":"2023-06-28T20:25:15","date_gmt":"2023-06-28T18:25:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=264415"},"modified":"2023-06-28T20:25:19","modified_gmt":"2023-06-28T18:25:19","slug":"is-nasas-scientific-visualization-studio-scientific","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=264415","title":{"rendered":"Is NASA\u2019s Scientific Visualization Studio Scientific?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Watts Up With That?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Brief Note by Kip Hansen \u2014 26 June 2023<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The United States\u2019 National Aeronautics and Space Administration<\/a> (NASA) has a unit called the Scientific Visualization Studio<\/a> (SVS). <\/em> <\/strong>They have been pumping out a new visualization every Monday for two decades. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Earlier this month they released a video:  Sea Level Through a Porthole<\/a>. <\/em><\/strong> It was originally released June 16, 2023 [ it was \u201cupdated\u201d  June 20, 2023, though the web page does not say what the update consisted of ].<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nearly every media report used a title similar to:  \u201cNASA has released a chilling animation showing just how far sea levels have risen in the three short decades\u2026\u201d<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

When I see a repetition of a title like that, I suspect that it originated in a press release \u2013 but I was unable to find the first use.\u00a0 Here\u2019s a screenshot of the opening screen of the video:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The video proceeds to show \u201crising sea level\u201d, water lapping gently at the glass of the porthole, until the sea level has risen 3 1\/2 inches in 30 years. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The purpose of this Brief Note is in its title: Is the visualization \u201cscientific\u201d?  By this I mean:  Has it been produced in such a way as to more clearly communicate some scientific fact to the general public?  The alternative is that it has been produced to mislead or evoke emotions in the general public; for example,  it been produced as propaganda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The first test is to examine the facts presented (italic quotes are from the SVS page)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cAs the planet warms and polar ice melts, our global average sea level is rising. Although exact ocean heights vary due to local geography, climate over time, and dynamic fluid interactions with gravity and planetary rotation, scientists observe sea level trends by comparing measurements against a 20 year spatial and temporal mean reference. These visualizations use the visual metaphor of a submerged porthole window to observe how far our oceans rose between 1993 and 2022.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

How big is a porthole?\u00a0 In my experience (half a lifetime at sea) portholes in ships built through the 19th<\/sup>\u00a0century generally had a glass area 8 to 18 inches in diameter, with glass from 1 to 2 inches thick.\u00a0\u00a0 Larger than 24 inches would be exceptional. \u00a0\u00a0On the\u00a0Titanic<\/em><\/a>:\u00a0 \u201cThe largest portholes were found in the first class \u2026 the size of the glass was about 24 inches maximum\u2026 The smallest portholes had a nine-inch glass diameter, mostly used in third class and crew accommodations in the bow and close to the waterline.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The \u201cporthole\u201d in the visualization, according to the scale, is shown to be 40 inches<\/strong>.  Not realistic at all \u2013 it seems to be a size pulled out of a hat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The \u201cfright-value\u201d of the visualization would have been far greater if they used the more common porthole size limited to 8 to 12 inches, similar to these shown on the\u00a0HMS Royal Scotsman<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

There is one row just above the rubbing strake<\/a> (just above the green-painted waterline).  None, of course, are below the water line, and none would show water rising on the outside of the glass unless the ship was slowing sinking.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The use of a \u201cporthole\u201d, even if presented at an unusually, non-realistic, size, is an obvious attempt to invoke fear of sinking into the sea or fear of rising water \u2013 childishly transparent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And the amount of \u201csea level rise\u201d depicted?  That is a controversy.  If NASA\u2019s SVS had used the long-term tide gauge measurements which show a steady near-perfectly linear SLR for over a century of 1.7-1.8 mm\/yr,  to show 30 years of SLR, they would have shown only a 5.4 cm rise, or 2.13 inches.   But, being NASA, they chose to use the not-measured-but-calculated \u201csatellite sea level rise\u201d of 3.3 mm\/yr.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The difference between the two SLR trends, tide gauges vs. satellite is too complicated to take up here, but simply put, the satellite \u201cmeasurement\u201d isn\u2019t a measurement \u2013 but a complicated calculation that returns not a physical level of the sea surface (what normal people would call sea level) but is something quite different, eustatic sea level.<\/em><\/strong> as explained by the Sea Level Research Group<\/a> at the University of Colorado.  [see end note<\/a> for the full explanation] <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The SVS animation shows the 3 \u00bd inches (about 90 mm) of the non-physical  eustatic sea level<\/em> as if it were the level that the seas have actually risen in 30 years, which it is not. (again, see End Note<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bottom Line: <\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

At least this one visualization is not scientific:  It uses an intended-to-frighten unrealistic premise (sea surface rising as if seen through a porthole of a sinking ship), uses a very out-of-scale size for a porthole, and uses the Eustatic Sea Level rise \u2013 which is not a rise in a physical level \u2014 in place of actual sea level rise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But I am happy to admit that in general, the surfaces of the world\u2019s ocean have been rising as the world has warmed coming up out of the Little Ice Age at about NOAA\u2019s  long-term linear figure for SLR, about 1.7 to 1.8 mm\/yr.  (see here<\/a>).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If NASA\u2019s SVS had wanted to be realistic and scientific, they could have used my animation below\u2014it shows 30 years of Sea Level Rise at the American Merchant Mariners\u2019 Memorial at Battery Park New York:\u00a0 It takes 15 seconds (if it doesn\u2019t run or have a play arrow, open it in a new tab and watch) Its 15-second length will seem like forever:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Oh, you didn\u2019t see it?  I added in the last image a small vertical red bar, its very small, up and to the left of the monument plaque, which is the amount that local relative sea level has actually risen at The Battery in New York<\/a>, about 3.4 inches\/87 mm.  It is lost in the blackened surface of the sea wall caused by the rising and falling of the tides.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The little red bar includes 1.6 in\/40 mm of negative vertical land movement (subsidence, the land moving downward). Only 1.8 inches (47 mm) of that barely discernible change is the surface of the sea rising.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

# # # # #<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

END NOTE<\/u><\/strong><\/a>:<\/u><\/strong>  What do they mean when they use GMSL in relation to satellite measurements<\/a>?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThe term \u201cglobal mean sea level\u201d in the context of our research [determining GMSL using satellites]  is defined as the area-weighted mean of all of the sea surface height anomalies measured by the altimeter in a single, 10-day satellite track repeat cycle.  It can also be thought of as the \u201ceustatic sea level.\u201d The eustatic sea level is not a physical sea level (since the sea levels relative to local land surfaces vary depending on land motion and other factors), but it represents the level if all of the water in the oceans were contained in a single basin. Changes to this eustatic level are caused by changes in total ocean water mass (e.g., ice sheet runoff), changes in the size of the ocean basin (e.g., GIA), or density changes of the water (e.g., thermal expansion). The time series of the GMSL estimates over the TOPEX and Jason missions beginning in 1992 to the present indicates a mostly linear trend after correction for inter-mission biases between instruments. The GMSL rate corrected for GIA represents changes in water mass and density in the oceans.<\/strong> These changes are thought to be predominantly driven by thermal expansion of the oceans and land ice melt (Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets and glaciers).\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Googles<\/em> shows that I have written quite a bit about this here at WUWT.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

# # # # #<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Author\u2019s Comment:<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

NASA\u2019s SVS has quite a team \u2013 producing visually impressive graphics, many of them videos.  Some of them are helpful, some of them are unhelpful.   Some of them are egregious pieces of propagandistic nonsense, seeming meant to obscure the facts rather than illuminate them.   This one was an easy target \u2013 silly in its conception and execution. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

I will be covering others in future Brief Notes<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Propaganda has ALWAYS been forwarded with powerful emotion-evoking images.  Not a good thing when politics is substituted for science. (see the Crichton Lecture).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If you have a favorite example among NASA\u2019s SVS misleading visualizations, please mention it in comments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Thanks for reading.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

# # # # #<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The United States\u2019\u00a0National Aeronautics and Space Administration\u00a0(NASA) has a unit called the\u00a0Scientific Visualization Studio\u00a0(SVS).\u00a0\u00a0They have been pumping out a new visualization every Monday for two decades.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":264425,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818491,691818765,691819379,691820093],"class_list":{"0":"post-264415","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-nasa","9":"tag-noaa-national-weather-service","10":"tag-propaganda","11":"tag-sea-level","13":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/image-426.png?fit=1920%2C1080&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-16ML","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":231295,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=231295","url_meta":{"origin":264415,"position":0},"title":"Apollo 13 Views of the Moon in 4K","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"27\/11\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"This video uses data gathered from the Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter spacecraft to recreate some of the stunning views of the Moon that the Apollo 13 astronauts saw on their perilous journey around the farside in 1970.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-937.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-937.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-937.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-937.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-937.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":236221,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=236221","url_meta":{"origin":264415,"position":1},"title":"Is NASA\u2019s \u201aKey Takeaway\u2018 on Arctic summer sea ice minima obsolete?","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"26\/12\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Only two of the last fifteen years (2012, 2020) were lower than 2007, the rest at least the same (2016) or upto 25% above.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-819.png?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-819.png?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-819.png?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-819.png?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-819.png?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":281840,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=281840","url_meta":{"origin":264415,"position":2},"title":"To study atmosphere, NASA rockets will fly into October eclipse’s shadow","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"04\/10\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"From Phys.org By Miles Hatfield,\u00a0NASA This map details the path the Moon\u2019s shadow will take as it crosses the contiguous U.S. during the\u00a0annular solar eclipse on Oct. 14, 2023, and\u00a0total solar eclipse on April 8, 2024. 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