{"id":263698,"date":"2023-06-24T19:28:28","date_gmt":"2023-06-24T17:28:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=263698"},"modified":"2023-06-24T19:28:31","modified_gmt":"2023-06-24T17:28:31","slug":"andrew-dessler-the-future-will-be-hotter-unless-its-colder","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=263698","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Dessler: The future will be hotter, unless it\u2019s colder."},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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From Tallbloke’s Talkshop<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

June 23, 2023 by\u00a0tallbloke<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Andrew Dessler @AndrewDessler Prof of Atmospheric Sciences & climate scientist @ Texas A&M; AGU and AAAS Fellow has been prognosticating on Twitter, talking up a model that predicts another 2C of warming by 2100 (0.25C\/decade, twice the rate 2013-2023).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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When challenged about this alarming rate of warming, he clarified for us.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Of course, if the central estimate is warming of 0.25C\/decade, but cooling is instead a possibility, this means that the upper bound for warming is at least 0.5C\/decade. I think this tells us all we need to know about the usefulness of climate models (and the sanity of the modellers).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I asked a question, no reply yet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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En-ROADS climate simulator has just produced a huge update. They now include climate damages in estimates of economic activity that drives emissions.

Baseline temperature increase is now 3.3\u00b0C. pic.twitter.com\/XE47BKEZ3g<\/a><\/p>— Andrew Dessler (@AndrewDessler) June 22, 2023<\/a><\/blockquote>