{"id":261795,"date":"2023-06-12T19:05:38","date_gmt":"2023-06-12T17:05:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=261795"},"modified":"2023-06-12T19:05:41","modified_gmt":"2023-06-12T17:05:41","slug":"the-uncomfortable-reality-of-life-on-earth-after-we-breach-0-1c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=261795","title":{"rendered":"\u201cThe uncomfortable reality of life on Earth after we breach 0.1\u00b0C\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Paul Homewood<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

THIS time next year, you may be living in the same house, driving the same car and doing the same job. But in one fundamental way, life on Earth could have shifted irrevocably. Spiking worldwide temperatures, boosted by a transition to an El Ni\u00f1o climate pattern, could make 2024 the year that <\/em>global warming exceeds 1.5\u00b0C for the first time<\/em><\/a>. It may not sound like much, but scientists warn it will be a totemic moment for the planet.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Undoubtedly, breaching 1.5\u00b0C is a sign of political failure. Just eight years ago, almost every nation agreed to a binding treaty promising to hold the global temperature rise to a maximum of 1.5\u00b0C above pre-industrial levels. Blowing past that threshold so soon will bring huge political fallout and <\/em>unleash reactionary forces<\/em><\/a> that could turbocharge \u2013 or cripple \u2013 the climate movement. \u201cAll hell will break loose,\u201d says <\/em>Jochem Marotzke<\/em><\/a> at the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology in Germany. \u201cThat is something I\u2019m very sure of.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

But beyond this discontent, there are many other impacts of crossing this threshold. It will have catastrophic consequences for people living in the hardest-hit parts of the world and bring even wilder, more unpredictable and extreme weather for all of us.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.newscientist.com\/article\/mg25834420-100-the-uncomfortable-reality-of-life-on-earth-after-we-breach-1-5c\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

You have to pay to read the rest of it, and I am certainly not going to waste money on the unscientific tripe they publish.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The 1.5C threshold never was a scientific calculation in the first place; the 2.0C target it replaced was far too distant to carry any political clout. And, of course, the 1.5C is the comparison with the pre-industrial temperatures of the Little Ice Age, which should mean little to ordinary people. The fact that we have already supposedly got to about 1.2C above that baseline without the world becoming \u201chellish\u201d, as they claim, should hardly be a cause for panic over another few hundredths of a degree warming, which in any event would be impossible to measure outside of the world of climate scientists with a political agenda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Global temperatures peaked during the long El Nino in 2015\/16, but were not significantly higher than in 1998, according to the satellite data:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.nsstc.uah.edu\/climate\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

If they want global temperature targets, they should be set against the current ones that people have grown up with and are used to.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But a headline that reads \u201cThe uncomfortable reality of life on Earth after we breach 0.1\u00b0C\u201d\u00a0<\/strong>does not have quite the same ring to it!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

THIS time next year, you may be living in the same house, driving the same car and doing the same job. But in one fundamental way, life on Earth could have shifted irrevocably. Spiking worldwide temperatures, boosted by a transition to an El Ni\u00f1o climate pattern, could make 2024 the year that\u00a0global warming exceeds 1.5\u00b0C for the first time. It may not sound like much, but scientists warn it will be a totemic moment for the planet.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":261800,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818056,691818090,691818200],"class_list":{"0":"post-261795","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-climate-change","9":"tag-climate-warning","10":"tag-el-nino","12":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0clouds_20050201.webp?fit=1696%2C795&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-166v","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":436467,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=436467","url_meta":{"origin":261795,"position":0},"title":"Lets push past ALL the Fake Global Warming Limits","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"04\/02\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Yet another dreary warning we\u2019re pushing past global limits. So, let's see how hard we can push.","rel":"","context":"In \"1.5\u00b0C Paris target\"","block_context":{"text":"1.5\u00b0C Paris target","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=1-5c-paris-target"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-Lets-push-past-ALL-the-Fake-Global-Warming-Limits.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-Lets-push-past-ALL-the-Fake-Global-Warming-Limits.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-Lets-push-past-ALL-the-Fake-Global-Warming-Limits.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-Lets-push-past-ALL-the-Fake-Global-Warming-Limits.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":259411,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=259411","url_meta":{"origin":261795,"position":1},"title":"No, AP, A 1.5\u00b0C Temperature Rise Won\u2019t Cause \u201c\u2026Death, Destruction and Damage\u201d","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/28\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"With that sort of track record and big money driving the editorial decisions, truth seems to have taken a back seat to the \u201cdisasters for dollars\u201d plan at the AP.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0heatwave.jpg?fit=1080%2C676&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0heatwave.jpg?fit=1080%2C676&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0heatwave.jpg?fit=1080%2C676&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0heatwave.jpg?fit=1080%2C676&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0heatwave.jpg?fit=1080%2C676&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":336717,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=336717","url_meta":{"origin":261795,"position":2},"title":"NOAA\u2019s June 2024 Global Time Series Average Temperature Anomaly Declining Trends Eviscerates Alarmists Flawed \u201cClimate Emergency\u201d Claims.","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"07\/17\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"NOAA has released its June 2024 updated Global Time Series average temperature anomaly data which demonstrates that the earth is experiencing declining trends of monthly anomaly values. This outcome signals the continued weakening of the most recent natural climate occurring El Nino event which commenced in the July period of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"climate alarmism\"","block_context":{"text":"climate alarmism","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-alarmism"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/00Climate_emergency_preview.png?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/00Climate_emergency_preview.png?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/00Climate_emergency_preview.png?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/00Climate_emergency_preview.png?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/00Climate_emergency_preview.png?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":392991,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=392991","url_meta":{"origin":261795,"position":3},"title":"Climate Oscillations 11: Oceanic Ni\u00f1o Index (ONI)","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"08\/05\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The Oceanic Ni\u00f1o Index or\u00a0ONI\u00a0is NOAA\u2019s primarily indicator for monitoring the sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly in the critical Ni\u00f1o 3.4 region. It is a 3-month running mean of ERSST.v5 SST anomalies in the Ni\u00f1o 3.4 region, defined as 5\u00b0N-5\u00b0S and 120\u00b0W-170\u00b0W. Figure 1 shows the ONI as computed from\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate Oscillations\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate Oscillations","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-oscillations"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQM1yAaYgc1bunnkL8sOya59GvZHjD_7bkZrzDUL-2lGvUsGLIqQqF5EzSbr9km0FznsGchR2yu1uYa27QNY9M5TCyvKhSKOrqmybFoQYq7emW8CIFtdzadrzmD3h9CLnJ9z-eskLA-ycD0KPsxFPlqIEgUS-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQM1yAaYgc1bunnkL8sOya59GvZHjD_7bkZrzDUL-2lGvUsGLIqQqF5EzSbr9km0FznsGchR2yu1uYa27QNY9M5TCyvKhSKOrqmybFoQYq7emW8CIFtdzadrzmD3h9CLnJ9z-eskLA-ycD0KPsxFPlqIEgUS-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQM1yAaYgc1bunnkL8sOya59GvZHjD_7bkZrzDUL-2lGvUsGLIqQqF5EzSbr9km0FznsGchR2yu1uYa27QNY9M5TCyvKhSKOrqmybFoQYq7emW8CIFtdzadrzmD3h9CLnJ9z-eskLA-ycD0KPsxFPlqIEgUS-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQM1yAaYgc1bunnkL8sOya59GvZHjD_7bkZrzDUL-2lGvUsGLIqQqF5EzSbr9km0FznsGchR2yu1uYa27QNY9M5TCyvKhSKOrqmybFoQYq7emW8CIFtdzadrzmD3h9CLnJ9z-eskLA-ycD0KPsxFPlqIEgUS-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQM1yAaYgc1bunnkL8sOya59GvZHjD_7bkZrzDUL-2lGvUsGLIqQqF5EzSbr9km0FznsGchR2yu1uYa27QNY9M5TCyvKhSKOrqmybFoQYq7emW8CIFtdzadrzmD3h9CLnJ9z-eskLA-ycD0KPsxFPlqIEgUS-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":333335,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=333335","url_meta":{"origin":261795,"position":4},"title":"NOAA\u2019s Updated 2024 Global Average Temperature Anomaly Trend Continues to Decline Indicating a Weaking El Nino and No \u201cClimate Emergency\u201d","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"06\/20\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"NOAA has updated its Global Time Series Average Temperature Anomaly data through May 2024 with the results clearly indicating that the year 2023\/2024 El Nino event continues to weaken as demonstrated by the data presented and discussed below. The NOAA data presented below uses a graph display interval of a\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"average temperature\"","block_context":{"text":"average temperature","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=average-temperature"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0ea63f8a5b3fc78b38f04a71a9c0f648.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0ea63f8a5b3fc78b38f04a71a9c0f648.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0ea63f8a5b3fc78b38f04a71a9c0f648.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0ea63f8a5b3fc78b38f04a71a9c0f648.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0ea63f8a5b3fc78b38f04a71a9c0f648.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":267034,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=267034","url_meta":{"origin":261795,"position":5},"title":"Is it the climate, or climate alarmism, that may be \u2018out of control\u2019?\u00a0","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"07\/12\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"According to the UN, it\u2019s the climate \u2013 meaning they want to imply human intervention in it. Of course that\u2019s what they always say, whenever some factoid suitable for cherrypicking turns up. Nothing they say sheds any light on the real factors behind the latest weather. 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