{"id":260928,"date":"2023-06-06T14:14:06","date_gmt":"2023-06-06T12:14:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=260928"},"modified":"2023-06-06T14:14:09","modified_gmt":"2023-06-06T12:14:09","slug":"scientists-caught-inflating-antarctic-ice-losses-3000-more-than-observations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=260928","title":{"rendered":"Scientists Caught Inflating Antarctic Ice Losses 3000% More Than Observations"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From NoTricksZone<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By\u00a0Kenneth Richard<\/a>\u00a0on\u00a0<\/em>5. June 2023<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

A new study utilizing satellite\u00a0observations\u00a0determines Antarctic-wide ice shelves\u00a0gained\u00a0661 Gt of mass from 2009 to 2019. An approach relying on\u00a0assumptions\u00a0of an unrealistic \u201csteady state\u201d or fixed calving flux (instead of real-world time-variable observations) estimates a net Antarctic ice shelf loss of -20,028 Gt over this same 11-year period \u2013 a more than 30-fold distortion of observed ice loss.<\/mark><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

New research (Andreasen et al., 2023<\/a><\/strong>) uses observational evidence from MODIS to assess net ice losses, gains for 34 ice shelves across Antarctica from 2009-2019. These observed data show the mass gains from East Antarctica and the Ross and Ronne-Filchner ice shelves were larger on net than the mass losses in West Antarctica and the Peninsula. Consequently, Antarctica as a whole has been gaining<\/em> mass since 2009.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cOverall, the Antarctic ice shelf area has grown by 5,305\u2009km\u00b2 since 2009, with 18 ice shelves retreating and 16 larger shelves growing in area.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Most studies utilize an alarmism-friendly \u201csteady-state assumption\u201d approach to estimate ice losses \u201cin the absence of observations.\u201d This allows the agenda-driven facilitators of ice loss estimates to \u201coverestimate ice loss on ice shelves that are advancing.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For example, using the \u201csteady-state assumption\u201d method, a net loss of\u00a0-20,028 Gt<\/strong><\/mark>\u00a0could be alleged for Antarctic ice shelves from 2009-2019. Satellite observations, in contrast, assess a\u00a0+661 Gt<\/strong><\/mark>\u00a0mass\u00a0gain<\/em>\u00a0during this same period.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Thus, assumption-based ice losses are artificially inflated over 3,000% more than observations, flagrantly misrepresenting ice shelf behavior across Antarctica.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The practice of distorting the numbers to drive a narrative<\/em> has infiltrated another aspect of climate science.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Image Source:\u00a0Andreasen et al., 2023<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A new study utilizing satellite\u00a0observations\u00a0determines Antarctic-wide ice shelves\u00a0gained\u00a0661 Gt of mass from 2009 to 2019. An approach relying on\u00a0assumptions\u00a0of an unrealistic \u201csteady state\u201d or fixed calving flux (instead of real-world time-variable observations) estimates a net Antarctic ice shelf loss of -20,028 Gt over this same 11-year period \u2013 a more than 30-fold distortion of observed ice loss.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":260935,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_seo_schema_type":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_wpcom_ai_launchpad_first_post":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818328,691819938,691819939,691820001],"class_list":["post-260928","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-antarctic","tag-antarctic-ice-shelf","tag-modis","tag-satellite-observations","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-15Sw","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":260547,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=260547","url_meta":{"origin":260928,"position":0},"title":"New study reveals Antarctic ice shelf area has grown by 5305 km2 from\u00a02009-2019","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"06\/03\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"A new study\u00a0by a team of climate scientists and published by the European Geosciences Union reveals that the Antarctic ice shelf area has grown by 5305 km2\u00a0from 2009-2019, gaining 661 Gt of ice mass over the past decade.","rel":"","context":"In \"Antarctic ice shelf\"","block_context":{"text":"Antarctic ice shelf","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=antarctic-ice-shelf"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/00iceberg-79389_1280.jpg?fit=1200%2C784&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/00iceberg-79389_1280.jpg?fit=1200%2C784&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, 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Normal","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"08\/20\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Antarctica\u2019s brief ice-mass rebound (roughly 2021\u20132023) was driven by natural climate variability linked to multiyear warming in the tropical warm pool, not a sustained new trend or \u201cnew normal\u201d from global warming.","rel":"","context":"In \"2021\u20132023 event\"","block_context":{"text":"2021\u20132023 event","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=2021-2023-event"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/0-Antarcticas-Brief-Ice-Rebound-Was-Natural-Climate-Variability-%E2%80%94-Not-a-New-Normal.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/0-Antarcticas-Brief-Ice-Rebound-Was-Natural-Climate-Variability-%E2%80%94-Not-a-New-Normal.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, 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lost more than 12 trillion tons of ice from Greenland and Antarctica over ~47 years (roughly 1979- 2023), according to a major study published in Scientific Data. SMB models refer to Surface Mass Balance models (or, more precisely, the surface mass balance components derived from regional climate\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Antarctic\"","block_context":{"text":"Antarctic","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=antarctic"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/0-Satellites-Reveal-Greenland-and-Antarctica-Lost-Over-11-Trillion-Tons-of-Ice-Since-the-1970s-%E2%80%94-84-Driven-by-Speeding-Glaciers.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/0-Satellites-Reveal-Greenland-and-Antarctica-Lost-Over-11-Trillion-Tons-of-Ice-Since-the-1970s-%E2%80%94-84-Driven-by-Speeding-Glaciers.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/0-Satellites-Reveal-Greenland-and-Antarctica-Lost-Over-11-Trillion-Tons-of-Ice-Since-the-1970s-%E2%80%94-84-Driven-by-Speeding-Glaciers.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/0-Satellites-Reveal-Greenland-and-Antarctica-Lost-Over-11-Trillion-Tons-of-Ice-Since-the-1970s-%E2%80%94-84-Driven-by-Speeding-Glaciers.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/0-Satellites-Reveal-Greenland-and-Antarctica-Lost-Over-11-Trillion-Tons-of-Ice-Since-the-1970s-%E2%80%94-84-Driven-by-Speeding-Glaciers.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":290812,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=290812","url_meta":{"origin":260928,"position":4},"title":"Unprecedented mass gain over the Antarctic ice sheet between 2021 and 2022 caused by large precipitation anomalies","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"12\/11\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The Antarctic ice sheet (AIS) is susceptible to global climate change, and its mass loss has been 92 \u00b1 18 Gt yr \u22121 between 1992 and 2020. 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