{"id":260627,"date":"2023-06-04T14:54:56","date_gmt":"2023-06-04T12:54:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=260627"},"modified":"2023-06-04T14:54:58","modified_gmt":"2023-06-04T12:54:58","slug":"the-new-pause-feels-the-influence-of-the-coming-el-nino","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=260627","title":{"rendered":"The New Pause Feels the Influence Of The Coming El Ni\u00f1o"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Watts Up With That?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The gentle but prolonged la Ni\u00f1a over the past four or five years has given us a good run, but now it is giving way to what some predict will be another humdinger of an el Ni\u00f1o. The uptick in the UAH global lower-troposphere anomalies from the previous 0.18 K to the current 0.37 K is enough to shorten the New Pause by 1 month from 8 years 11 months to 8 years 10 months:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

For context, here is the entire dataset from December 1978 to May 2023:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

IPCC (1990), in the business-as-usual Scenario A in its First Assessment Report, <\/em>confidently predicted 0.3 [0.2, 0.5] K decade\u20131<\/sup> global warming from 1990-2090. Scenarios B, C and D all predicted less warming, but they also all predicted fewer sins of emission than Scenario A. Scenario B, for instance, predicted that annual emissions would not increase from 1990-2025, when in fact they have increased by more than 50% since 1990. Scenario A, then, is the scenario on which we must judge IPCC\u2019s predictions and find them grossly excessive. For the warming rate since 1990 has been only 0.137 K decade\u20131<\/sup>, showing IPCC\u2019s original range of predictions to be 220% [150%, 370%] of mere observed reality.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Here is the UAH temperature record since 1990:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Realitometer continues to show the scale of the excess of prediction over sober reality:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Next, the revealing graph below, sent to me by a correspondent, shows that it is chiefly the Western nations that are shutting down industry after industry as the climate Communists dream up ever more implausible pseudo-environmental excuses for destroying yet more sectors of the once-free world\u2019s economies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The roast beef of old England is now under sustained and malevolent attack by the Communist-led environmental front groups to which the present nominally \u201cConservative\u201d government is in thrall, on the ground that cow-farts are an existential threat to The Planet. It would in fact be a disaster if meat were banned, since a diet rich in saturated fat is beneficial to everyone. Eating meat with the fat on it does not make you fat. It is eating the high-carb diet relentlessly promoted by the vegans that makes them fat and gives them type 2 diabetes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Here, then, is the graph of various countries\u2019 pledges to destroy their economies:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

It is largely the East that continues to expand its combustion of coal, oil and gas, not least so that it can accommodate growing number of industrial sectors either banned outright in the West in name of Nut Zero or priced out by savage electricity costs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The United Kingdom now has just about the highest unit electricity prices in the world \u2013 approximately eight times those in India and China. No surprise, then, that foreign direct investment in Britain, which in Margaret Thatcher\u2019s time exceeded all foreign investment into the entire European tyranny-by-clerk, has collapsed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The United States has largely achieved its \u201cclimate goals\u201d by replacing coal-fired power with fracked gas, which emits half as much CO2<\/sub> as coal but costs about twice as much.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bloomberg, the sponsor of the graph, is sullenly dedicated to the official climate-change narrative. Its graph reveals that its staff no longer possess either the scientific competence or the political independence to approach questions such as the climate issue dispassionately.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The graph misleadingly suggests that if everyone toes the Communist Party Line and commits economic hara-kiri <\/em>as the United Kingdom and at least two of its dominions are doing, the world will only warm by 1.5 degrees or less, but that if everyone follows Communist-led India and China there will be at least 2.5 degrees\u2019 anthropogenic warming.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But one can show on the back of an envelope that even if the whole world attained nut zero and the dark, satanic mills fell silent forever the global warming prevented by 2050 would be less than one-tenth of a degree. It\u2019s not rocket science, but it\u2019s beyond the clueless fanatics at the once trustworthy but now laughable Bloomberg.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

If even global nut zero would reduce global temperature by less than 0.1 C by 2050, then it is implausible to suggest, as the Bloombourgeois do, that the difference between some nations complying and others not complying with nut zero will be as large as 1 C. It won\u2019t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bloomburglars have also failed to make allowance for the fact that most of the Western nations that have cut their emissions have done so by switching from coal to gas, a transition that is all but complete. Now that that low-hanging fruit has been picked and eaten, not much more progress will be made, not least because adding wind and solar power to a grid once their installed nameplate capacity \u2013 the output of these unreliables in ideal weather \u2013 has surpassed total mean hourly demand on that grid will greatly increase the cost of electricity but will not reduce CO2<\/sub>\u00a0emissions one iota:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Finally, an eminent professor whom I dare not name, for academic freedom in the Komsomol<\/em> indoctrination centres that were once our ancient universities is no more and he would be savagely punished if I were to name him, has kindly sent me the following evaluation of the scope for wind power in the United Kingdom.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

He describes it as \u201can interesting calculation that an intelligent child could make\u201d:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Bottom line: If we carpeted the entire land and sea area of the United Kingdom with windmills \u2013 14th<\/sup>-century tech to fail to solve a 21st<\/sup>-century non-problem expensively \u2013 they would in theory meet our entire electricity demand. Except that they wouldn\u2019t. Three-quarters of the time they would be producing little or no electricity. The other one-quarter of the time they would be producing four times as much electricity as Britain needs. The waste would be prodigious. Of course, one could carpet the land area in between the windmills with static batteries, but then the cost of UK electricity, already among the highest in the world, would be ten times what it already is.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ludicrously, down here in Somerset, the Government is about to bribe Tata Steel with half a billion sterling of our money so that they can build a giant battery factory for electric buggies. Reason for the bribe: Tata Steel says it can\u2019t afford to come to the UK without subsidies to pay the difference between the nut-zero-driven electricity cost here and just about everywhere else. And that is before taking account of the fact that even global nut zero by 2050 (which won\u2019t happen anyway because China, Russia, India and Pakistan are building ever more coal-fired power stations) would reduce global temperature by just 0.1 degree, at a cost of at least $1 quadrillion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Professor concludes that even 10% coverage by bird-blending, bee-bashing, bat-blatting windmills would be intolerable. He writes:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThe only solution is 100% nuclear. It is so blatantly obvious that I cannot believe that a halfway intelligent person cannot understand it. I also cannot understand why anyone would think that nuclear energy is dangerous when the evidence says the opposite.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThe problem is that we are in a post-truth society when the scientific method is dying and government and science are melding into a fluid rolling wave of corrupt stupidity. There is so much money being made by the renewable industries from grotesque subsidies, and from carbon trading credits by some members of the World Economic Forum, that we are fighting an uphill battle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThere are signs that the Government are beginning to recognise the absurdity of net zero, but nobody from the pseudo-science climate alarmists to the politicians want to lose face by publicly admitting that the whole climate scam is a house of cards.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Amen to all that.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201cThere are signs that the Government are beginning to recognise the absurdity of net zero, but nobody from the pseudo-science climate alarmists to the politicians want to lose face by publicly admitting that the whole climate scam is a house of cards.\u201d
\nAmen to all that.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":260642,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818721,691819287,691818381,691818154,691819953,691818130,691818299],"class_list":["post-260627","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-climate-alarmists","tag-el-nino-2","tag-ipcc","tag-net-zero","tag-pseudo-science","tag-renewables","tag-subsidies","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0cambio-climatico-vs-el-nino-364441-3_1024.webp?fit=1024%2C720&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-15NF","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":291766,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=291766","url_meta":{"origin":260627,"position":0},"title":"NASA GISS Data Shows 2023 EL Nino Driving Global Temperature Anomaly Increases; NOAA Data Shows U.S. Nov. 2023 Temperature Anomaly Declining","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"12\/18\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The NASA GISS global average temperature anomaly for November 2023 was released (provided below) which shows an El Ni\u00f1o driven value of 1.44 degrees C (2.592 degrees F) with the November outcome hyped in an\u00a0L A Times article\u00a0as being \u201ca new monthly record for heat\u201d and the \u201chottest November\u201d.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate Alarmists\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate Alarmists","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-alarmists"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/OIG-2023-07-29T140641.234.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/OIG-2023-07-29T140641.234.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/OIG-2023-07-29T140641.234.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/OIG-2023-07-29T140641.234.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":258735,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=258735","url_meta":{"origin":260627,"position":1},"title":"\u20181.5\u00b0C Temperature Disaster\u2019 Story Makes its Annual Media Appearance","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/23\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"There was something vaguely familiar about the BBC\u2019s Matt McGrath\u00a0reporting\u00a0that our \u201coverheating\u201d world was set to break the 1.5\u00b0C threshold within the next five years, meaning average global temperatures would be 1.5\u00b0C warmer than they were in the second half of the 19th Century.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0Global_Warming-1-e1522083188777.jpg?fit=1200%2C516&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0Global_Warming-1-e1522083188777.jpg?fit=1200%2C516&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0Global_Warming-1-e1522083188777.jpg?fit=1200%2C516&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0Global_Warming-1-e1522083188777.jpg?fit=1200%2C516&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0Global_Warming-1-e1522083188777.jpg?fit=1200%2C516&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":242263,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=242263","url_meta":{"origin":260627,"position":2},"title":"The Climate Alarmist\u2019s Greatest Fear","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/30\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The AMO is a leading indicator of the climate state since it is a measure of sea surface temperature in the North Atlantic Ocean, a principal avenue of meridional transport of heat from the tropics to the North Polar region. It tends to warm and cool periodically.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/image-1300.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/image-1300.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/image-1300.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/image-1300.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/image-1300.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":281130,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=281130","url_meta":{"origin":260627,"position":3},"title":"Researchers forecast strong El Ni\u00f1o and \u2018record-breaking\u2019 global surface temperatures in\u00a02023\u20132024","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/29\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"FrTallbloke's Talkshop \u00a0September 29, 2023 by\u00a0oldbrew Climate alarmists have been waiting nearly 8 years, since the last significant El Ni\u00f1o, for another chance to claim natural climate variation as an expression of their chosen non-natural theories. Tremble \u2013 or not \u2013 as the study authors predict \u2018a cascade of climate\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-876.png?fit=1200%2C896&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-876.png?fit=1200%2C896&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-876.png?fit=1200%2C896&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-876.png?fit=1200%2C896&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-876.png?fit=1200%2C896&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":255836,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=255836","url_meta":{"origin":260627,"position":4},"title":"The New Pause Lengthens by Two Months To 8 Years 11 Months","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/03\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"We are no longer in la Ni\u00f1a conditions. They ended in March 2023, when the temperature of the Ni\u00f1o-3.4 region of the equatorial eastern Pacific rose above \u20130.5 K:","rel":"","context":"In \"el Ni\u00f1o\"","block_context":{"text":"el Ni\u00f1o","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=el-nino-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0la-nina-versus-el-nino-winter-weather-pattern-comparison-north-america.png?fit=1200%2C575&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0la-nina-versus-el-nino-winter-weather-pattern-comparison-north-america.png?fit=1200%2C575&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0la-nina-versus-el-nino-winter-weather-pattern-comparison-north-america.png?fit=1200%2C575&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0la-nina-versus-el-nino-winter-weather-pattern-comparison-north-america.png?fit=1200%2C575&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0la-nina-versus-el-nino-winter-weather-pattern-comparison-north-america.png?fit=1200%2C575&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":297791,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=297791","url_meta":{"origin":260627,"position":5},"title":"2023 Was Not the \u201cHottest Year on Record\u201d for Over 70% of the World\u2019s Population, Data Show","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/21\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Further doubt has been cast on the widely-broadcast alarmist temperature claim that last year was the hottest since records began. A deep dive into figures published by the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) reveals that the \u2018hottest ever\u2019 claims did not apply to large areas of the world\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"climate alarmism\"","block_context":{"text":"climate alarmism","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-alarmism"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/01868412-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/01868412-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/01868412-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/01868412-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/01868412-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/260627","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=260627"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/260627\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":260643,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/260627\/revisions\/260643"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/260642"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=260627"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=260627"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=260627"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}