{"id":259719,"date":"2023-05-30T16:41:45","date_gmt":"2023-05-30T14:41:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=259719"},"modified":"2023-05-30T16:41:56","modified_gmt":"2023-05-30T14:41:56","slug":"yet-another-coffee-scare","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=259719","title":{"rendered":"Yet Another Coffee\u00a0Scare"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Paul Homewood<\/p>\n\n\n\n

h\/t Ian Magness<\/p>\n\n\n\n

More drivel from the Telegraph:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Every morning, before doing anything else, I make coffee. It\u2019s a ritual as much as a caffeine fix, with little thought given to its provenance. Yet this morning, I\u2019ve got my hands on something a little different. Lighter in colour than my usual jet-black brew, it is more nuanced in flavour, with hints of grapefruit and less bitterness. It is delicious. It may also secure the future of one of the world\u2019s most popular drinks.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

In Britain, we drink about 98 million cups per day, with an estimated two billion consumed worldwide. The coffee industry sustains 210,000 jobs here, and around 100 million farmers depend on it globally. From instant coffee at a greasy spoon to a fancy oat-milk latte, coffee is big business. Yet its future is at risk.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A recent report by Christian Aid warned that climate change could reduce the land available for growing coffee by 54 per cent by 2100, even if global temperatures are kept to internationally agreed targets. On May 17, the World Meteorological Organisation said that temperatures could breach the 1.5C above pre-industrial levels by 2027. It\u2019s not good news for coffee growers and lovers.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to Dr Aaron Davis, a global expert in coffee and climate change, and head of coffee research at the Royal Botanic Gardens, Kew, coffee is one of the most researched plants when it comes to climate change, with almost 150 studies published, and the outlook seems dire. Even if commitments to reduce carbon emissions are met, <\/em>a 2022 study in Nature<\/em><\/a> suggests coffee production will still see a rapid decline in countries accounting for 75 per cent of the world\u2019s arabica coffee supply. <\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cIt\u2019s not something that\u2019s going to happen in the future, it\u2019s already happening,\u201d says Dr Davis. \u201cIt\u2019s very real.\u201d<\/em> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/food-and-drink\/drinks\/why-your-morning-coffee-is-facing-extinction\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notice the comment, it\u2019s already happening<\/em>. So this is not just the usual scare about something happening in the distant future; it\u2019s a very specific claim that climate change is already affecting coffee production.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And is it?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Plainly not. The UN figures go up to 2021, and although there was sharp decline that year, such drops frequently occur. Even then 2021 coffee output was the 4th highest on record.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.fao.org\/faostat\/en\/#compare<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Telegraph goes on to specifically mention three countries:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The world\u2019s largest producer, Brazil, and Vietnam, the second, have both experienced concerning weather patterns just this year: extreme heat and drought in Vietnam, heavy rains in Brazil. \u201cLast year, coffee harvests were influenced by drought in many countries, and long-term climate change may cause those drought periods to become longer, more severe and more regular,\u201d Dr Davis explains. In Uganda, exports fell by about 20 per cent in 2022.<\/em> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

But the UN data shows nothing of concern in the long term trends in any of these. Note also the weasel words,\u00a0climate change\u00a0may<\/strong>\u00a0cause those drought periods to become longer, more severe and more regular.\u00a0<\/em>On the other hand, maybe it won\u2019t!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Interestingly the drop in Brazilian coffee output in 2021 was due to severe frosts, the opposite of what global warming is supposed to bring:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The journalist who wrote this piffle is the Telegraph\u2019s Assistant Food Editor. I suggest that in future he sticks to restaurants and recipes, and leaves serious stuff like this to economic experts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

In Britain, we drink about 98 million cups per day, with an estimated two billion consumed worldwide. The coffee industry sustains 210,000 jobs here, and around 100 million farmers depend on it globally.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":259728,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818056,691819243],"class_list":{"0":"post-259719","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-climate-change","9":"tag-coffee","11":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/07054632349_af34646f0c_b.jpg?fit=1024%2C823&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-15z1","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":240891,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=240891","url_meta":{"origin":259719,"position":0},"title":"Claim: Here\u2019s How Your Cup of Coffee Contributes to Climate\u00a0Change","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"21\/01\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"However, more than half of the carbon footprint of coffee comes from the steps taken by coffee producers and suppliers.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/image-939.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/image-939.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/image-939.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/image-939.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/image-939.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":255559,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=255559","url_meta":{"origin":259719,"position":1},"title":"Rest Easy, New York Times, Popular Coffee Cultivars are Safe","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"02\/05\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"By contrast, worldwide coffee trends are very positive amid modest global climate change.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/09bd70e4f-59ac-4510-97ba-0b384814a00a.jpg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/09bd70e4f-59ac-4510-97ba-0b384814a00a.jpg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/09bd70e4f-59ac-4510-97ba-0b384814a00a.jpg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/09bd70e4f-59ac-4510-97ba-0b384814a00a.jpg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/09bd70e4f-59ac-4510-97ba-0b384814a00a.jpg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":428087,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=428087","url_meta":{"origin":259719,"position":2},"title":"Tell the Truth, WCNC NBC, Climate Change Hasn\u2019t Harmed Coffee Production","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"26\/02\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"An article posted by WCNC, Charlotte, North Carolina\u2019s NBC affiliate, claims \u201cit's getting harder to produce,\u201d coffee, blaming a coffee decline on higher temperatures in growing regions. This is false. Data from the UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) clearly show that coffee production in each of the top coffee-producing\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Brittany Van Voorhees\"","block_context":{"text":"Brittany Van Voorhees","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=brittany-van-voorhees"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0coffee-pixabay-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0coffee-pixabay-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0coffee-pixabay-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0coffee-pixabay-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0coffee-pixabay-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":203747,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=203747","url_meta":{"origin":259719,"position":3},"title":"Washington Post Ignores Coffee Facts to Hype Climate Fears","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/06\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"The\u00a0Washington Post\u00a0(WP) published a story suggesting coffee growers will have to diversify the varieties of coffee they cultivate if they wish to survive, because climate change is reducing the production of the two dominant coffee strains; arabica and robusta. The story is misleading at best and wrong at worst. Although\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0coffee-gdc03e5245_1920.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0coffee-gdc03e5245_1920.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0coffee-gdc03e5245_1920.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0coffee-gdc03e5245_1920.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0coffee-gdc03e5245_1920.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":431110,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=431110","url_meta":{"origin":259719,"position":4},"title":"Check Your Facts, WTAE ABC, Activists Are Lying, Coffee Production Is Booming Amidst Climate Change","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"14\/03\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"WTAE ABC, Pittsburgh, published a story titled, \u201cClimate change affecting global coffee production, study finds.\u201d The study is false, perpetrated by a climate activist group called Climate Central, and uncritically echoed by WTAE meteorologist Jill Szwed. Had Szwed or WTAE fact-checked Climate Central\u2019s claims against real world data, they would\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)\"","block_context":{"text":"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=carbon-dioxide-co%e2%82%82"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0alexas_fotos-coffee-can-1705026_1280.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0alexas_fotos-coffee-can-1705026_1280.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0alexas_fotos-coffee-can-1705026_1280.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0alexas_fotos-coffee-can-1705026_1280.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0alexas_fotos-coffee-can-1705026_1280.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":248916,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=248916","url_meta":{"origin":259719,"position":5},"title":"Relax, Roast Magazine, Climate Change Is Not Causing \u2018Systemic Shocks\u2019 Harming Coffee Production","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"21\/03\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Data refutes claims that extreme weather events are increasing in number, intensity, or frequency. 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