{"id":257887,"date":"2023-05-17T19:13:45","date_gmt":"2023-05-17T17:13:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=257887"},"modified":"2023-05-17T19:13:57","modified_gmt":"2023-05-17T17:13:57","slug":"objection-warming-alarm-is-hearsay-lacking-evidence","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=257887","title":{"rendered":"Objection! Warming Alarm is Hearsay, Lacking\u00a0Evidence."},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Science Matters<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By\u00a0Ron Clutz<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

C3 Headlines reports: The Real Climate Science Crisis: The Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming (CAGW) Hypothesis Is Without Scientific Evidence.<\/strong><\/a>  Excerpts in italics with my bolds and added images.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For a hypothesis to reach the status of being a legit theory,<\/strong> it requires<\/strong> withstanding the onslaught of observed empirical evidence<\/strong>. The CAGW hypothesis is no such animal.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Known by its more contemporary aliases, such as \u201dclimate crisis,\u201d \u201cclimate emergency,\u201d \u201cclimate collapse,\u201d or \u201cexistential threat,\u201d the CAGW has zero empirical evidence<\/strong> to support it.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Unlike the related hypothesis regarding greenhouse gases (GHG) and global warming, at least the GHG hypothesis has warming global temperature data that somewhat coincides with increasing atmospheric CO2 levels,<\/strong> putting aside the growing possibility that the purported cause-and-effect direction is probably the reverse. <\/strong><\/em>[Note:  See Temps Cause CO2 Changes, Not the Reverse. 2023 Update<\/strong><\/a>]<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In order to reach a CAGW climate disaster<\/strong>, global warming temperatures must change rapidly in an accelerating manner<\/strong> that will initiate a \u2018tipping point\u2019 for the climate.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The rapid acceleration would present its occurrence in\u00a0a continuous increasing of the slope<\/strong>, i.e., trend, of temperatures, such as monthly temperatures. Each subsequent month would represent\u00a0a greater temperature magnitude increase than the month before, hypothetically.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

But those tipping point precursors are not occurring in the real-world climate.<\/mark><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

For example, it is agreed by all climate scientists that oceans<\/strong> play a very major role in the world\u2019s climate and its global temperatures due to their being both the world\u2019s largest carbon sink and its largest heat content storage.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, despite these characteristics, in totality, the global oceans HAVE NOT warmed since the year 2014.<\/strong> And certainly, there is no empirical evidence<\/strong> that oceans<\/strong> exhibit constant temperature increases of magnitude.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quite the contrary, combined oceans exhibit a regular pattern of temperature decreases and increases,<\/strong> as the adjacent plot of NOAA\u2019s monthly ocean data indicates.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Specifically, this is a plot (dark blue<\/strong>) of moving 5-year temperature changes ending each month<\/strong> of the 60-year period from March 1963 through March 2023.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

[Explanation: the first data point<\/strong> is the temperature change for the 60 months ending on March 30, 1963; and the chart\u2019s last temperature change data point<\/strong> is for the five 5 years (i.e. 60 months) ending on March 2023.]<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The chart also includes a plot (green<\/strong>) of the moving 60-month CO2 level changes over the same sixty year period<\/strong>, plus a linear trend for both CO2 changes and ocean temperature changes.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The trend of the 60-month CO2 changes significantly exceeds the
slight positive trend of ocean temperature changes by a factor of 117x.<\/mark><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

This huge differential undercuts the belief that global warming is primarily the result of GHGs. Which is confirmed by the paltry R^2 of +0.06 \u2013 an almost non-existent relationship between 5-year atmospheric CO2 changes and 5-year changes in ocean temperature.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Not only are the large increases in CO2 levels not causing a concerning uptick<\/strong> of temperature change magnitude, it also<\/strong> has not<\/strong> lead to any type of acceleration<\/strong>, per the linear trend since 1963.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Specifically, with a trend of a tiny +0.0001\u00b0C, that would project out 20 years to be an increase of 5-year temperature changes to an insignificant amount of +0.024 \u2013 definitely not an existential threat of \u2018runaway warming\u2019 or a CAGW \u2018climate crisis\u2019<\/strong> as portrayed by bureaucrats, politicians and Hollywood celebrities.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, if 5 years of increasing amounts of CO2 in the atmosphere barely influence 5-year changes in temperature over a 60-year span, either in magnitude or acceleration rate, then it is highly unlikely that this trace gas would cause a catastrophic climate disaster or an extinction event.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Thus, it is fair to state that for all those scientists pushing a narrative of an imminent climate change catastrophe<\/strong> from CO2 without the requisite empirical evidence, this has become the real climate science crisis facing society.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notes: Temperature and CO2 data sources.Excel used<\/strong>\u00a0to calculate 60-mth (5-yr) temperature and CO2 changes; used to calculate the respective trends; used to calculate correlation and r-squared; used to plot the chart.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

For a hypothesis to reach the status of being a\u00a0legit theory,\u00a0it\u00a0requires\u00a0withstanding the onslaught of\u00a0observed empirical evidence. The CAGW hypothesis is no such animal.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":257897,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818056,691818102,691818090,691818076],"class_list":{"0":"post-257887","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-climate-change","9":"tag-climate-crisis","10":"tag-climate-warning","11":"tag-co2","13":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0-Evidence.jpeg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-155t","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":385893,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=385893","url_meta":{"origin":257887,"position":0},"title":"The Real Climate Science Crisis: CAGW Hypothesis Lacks Scientific\u00a0Evidence","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"30\/06\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"For a hypothesis to reach\u00a0the status of being a\u00a0legit theory, it\u00a0requires withstanding\u00a0the onslaught of\u00a0observed empirical evidence.\u00a0The\u00a0CAGW hypothesis is no such animal. Known by its more contemporary aliases, such as\u201d climate crisis,\u201d \u201cclimate emergency,\u201d \u201cclimate collapse,\u201d or \u201cexistential threat,\u201d the\u00a0CAGW has zero empirical evidence to support it.","rel":"","context":"In \"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)\"","block_context":{"text":"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=carbon-dioxide-co%e2%82%82"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/image-693.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/image-693.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/image-693.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/image-693.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":323585,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=323585","url_meta":{"origin":257887,"position":1},"title":"New Scientific Evidence That CO2 Emissions Can\u2019t Warm Atmosphere Because it is \u201cSaturated\u201d Published in Peer-Reviewed Journal","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"26\/04\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Further scientific evidence has emerged to suggest that the Earth\u2019s atmosphere is \u2018saturated\u2019 with carbon dioxide, meaning that at higher levels the \u2018greenhouse\u2019 gas will not cause temperatures to rise. A group of Polish scientists led by Dr. Jan Kubicki have published three papers recently, and according to the science\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Carbon dioxide\"","block_context":{"text":"Carbon dioxide","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=carbon-dioxide"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/075062-space-Earth-Sun-stars.jpg?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/075062-space-Earth-Sun-stars.jpg?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/075062-space-Earth-Sun-stars.jpg?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/075062-space-Earth-Sun-stars.jpg?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/075062-space-Earth-Sun-stars.jpg?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":380677,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=380677","url_meta":{"origin":257887,"position":2},"title":"New Analysis: IPCC\u2019s Emissions-Based Climate Model Errors So Massive They Eliminate Predictive Validity","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"29\/05\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"A new evidence-based\u00a0study\u00a0provides compelling evidence that for decades the IPCC has been engaged \u201cadvocacy research,\u201d or the \u201cantiscientific practice of undertaking research designed to support a given hypothesis.\u201d","rel":"","context":"In \"antiscientific practice\"","block_context":{"text":"antiscientific practice","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=antiscientific-practice"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0climate-models-epic-fail-1.png?fit=1200%2C931&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0climate-models-epic-fail-1.png?fit=1200%2C931&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0climate-models-epic-fail-1.png?fit=1200%2C931&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0climate-models-epic-fail-1.png?fit=1200%2C931&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0climate-models-epic-fail-1.png?fit=1200%2C931&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":333430,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=333430","url_meta":{"origin":257887,"position":3},"title":"The Battle of Climate Hypotheses: The Green-House Gas Forcer Vs. The Winter Gatekeeper Round 3: The Two Arctic Paradoxes","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"21\/06\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"For the first time, the IPCC\u2019s doctrine of CO2 as a \u2018control knob\u2019 in our climate faces a serious challenger in the form of a comprehensive hypothesis about what drives climate and its shifts.[1][2] This article is the third in a series evaluating this new hypothesis of natural climate variability.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate Hypotheses\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate Hypotheses","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-hypotheses"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0A-dreamstime_xxl_28946468_new_vw7dnc.webp?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0A-dreamstime_xxl_28946468_new_vw7dnc.webp?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0A-dreamstime_xxl_28946468_new_vw7dnc.webp?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0A-dreamstime_xxl_28946468_new_vw7dnc.webp?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0A-dreamstime_xxl_28946468_new_vw7dnc.webp?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":359775,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=359775","url_meta":{"origin":257887,"position":4},"title":"The AJES Response to May & Crok","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"30\/12\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"This post is mostly a list of errors and misinformation in the\u00a0AJES\u00a0(The American Journal of Economics and Sociology) board\u2019s\u00a0response\u00a0by Ted Gwartney and Alexandra Lough to\u00a0May & Crok. But first I applaud the board\u2019s decision to formally publish the paper they invited May & Crok to write for their special climate\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"AJES\u00a0(The American Journal of Economics and Sociology)\"","block_context":{"text":"AJES\u00a0(The American Journal of Economics and Sociology)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=ajes-the-american-journal-of-economics-and-sociology"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0Screenshot-2024-12-30-164404.png?fit=1200%2C652&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0Screenshot-2024-12-30-164404.png?fit=1200%2C652&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0Screenshot-2024-12-30-164404.png?fit=1200%2C652&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0Screenshot-2024-12-30-164404.png?fit=1200%2C652&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0Screenshot-2024-12-30-164404.png?fit=1200%2C652&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":305733,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=305733","url_meta":{"origin":257887,"position":5},"title":"Climate Model Bias 3: Solar Input","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"04\/03\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"In\u00a0part 2\u00a0we discussed the IPCC hypothesis of climate change that assumes humans and our greenhouse gas emissions and land use choices are the climate change \u201ccontrol knob.\u201d\u00a0This hypothesis underpins their attempts to model Earth\u2019s climate. But the model output fails to match many critical observations and in some cases the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/image-42.png?fit=1200%2C872&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/image-42.png?fit=1200%2C872&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/image-42.png?fit=1200%2C872&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/image-42.png?fit=1200%2C872&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/image-42.png?fit=1200%2C872&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/257887","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=257887"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/257887\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":257898,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/257887\/revisions\/257898"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/257897"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=257887"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=257887"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=257887"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}