{"id":257661,"date":"2023-05-16T11:07:29","date_gmt":"2023-05-16T09:07:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=257661"},"modified":"2023-05-16T11:07:39","modified_gmt":"2023-05-16T09:07:39","slug":"guardian-climate-change-is-linked-to-more-pirate-attacks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=257661","title":{"rendered":"Guardian: Climate Change is Linked to More Pirate Attacks"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Watts Up With That?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
090211-N-1082Z-111\rGULF OF ADEN (Feb. 11, 2009) Suspected pirates keep their hands in the air as directed by the guided-missile cruiser USS Vella Gulf (CG 72) as the visit, board, search and seizure (VBSS) team prepares to apprehend them. Vella Gulf is the flagship for Combined Task Force 151, a multi-national task force conducting counterpiracy operations to detect and deter piracy in and around the Gulf of Aden, Arabian Gulf, Indian Ocean and Red Sea. It was established to create a maritime lawful order and develop security in the maritime environment. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communications Specialist 2nd Class Jason R. Zalasky\/Released)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Essay by Eric Worrall<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The authors appear to ignore some other more obvious explanations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

Impact of warmer seas on fish stocks leads to rise in pirate attacks<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Study of piracy hotspots in east Africa and South China Sea found that piracy increases when fish populations decline and vice versa<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Karen McVeigh<\/a> @karenmcveigh1<\/a> Thu 11 May 2023 17.00 AEST<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dwindling fish stocks caused by the climate crisis are leading to an increase in pirate attacks, according to a new study looking at two piracy hotspots over the past two decades.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Warmer seas have negatively affected fisheries in east Africa, one of the world\u2019s worst areas for piracy; while in the South China Sea<\/a>, another hotspot for attacks, it has had the opposite effect: fish populations have risen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This phenomenon created a \u201crare natural experiment\u201d in which to test the links between climate breakdown and piracy risk, according to Gary LaFree, a professor of criminology and criminal justice at the University of Maryland, and one of the co-authors of the paper<\/a>, published in the American Meteorological Society journal, Weather, Climate, and Society (WCAS).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2026Read more:\u00a0https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2023\/may\/11\/impact-of-warmer-seas-on-fish-stocks-leads-to-rise-in-pirate-attacks<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

The abstract of the paper;<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

Climate Change, Fish Production, and Maritime Piracy<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bo Jiang and Gary LaFree<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 <\/a>Online Publication: 25 Apr 2023 Print Publication: 01 Apr 2023DOI: https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1175\/WCAS-D-21-0147.1<\/a> Page(s): 289\u2013306<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Contemporary social science has produced little research on connections between climate change and crime. Nonetheless, much prior research suggests that economic insecurity may affect individual calculations of the cost and benefit of engaging in criminal behavior, and climate change is likely to have important economic consequences<\/strong> for professions like fishing that depend directly on the environment. In this paper, we test the possibility that climate change affects participation in maritime piracy, depending on the specific ways that it impacts regional fish production. Our analysis is based on piracy in East Africa and the South China Sea. These two regions are strategic in that both areas have experienced a large amount of piracy; however, rising sea temperatures have been associated with declines in fish production in East Africa but increases in the South China Sea. We treat sea surface temperature as an instrument for fish output and find that in East Africa higher sea surface temperature is associated with declining fish production, which in turn increases the risk of piracy, whereas in the South China Sea higher sea surface temperature is associated with increasing fish production, which in turn decreases the risk of piracy. Our results also show that decreases in fish production bring about a larger number of successful piracy attacks in East Africa and that increases in fish production are associated with fewer successful attacks in the South China Sea. We discuss the theoretical and policy implications of the findings and point out that as climate change continues, its impact on specific crimes will likely be complex, with increases and decreases depending on context.Read more: https:\/\/journals.ametsoc.org\/view\/journals\/wcas\/15\/2\/WCAS-D-21-0147.1.xml<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Unfortunately the full study is paywalled. But there are other factors which might be contributing to food shortages in East Africa;<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

Challenges from Chinese distant water fishing fleets in Africa<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Dipanjan Roy Chaudhury<\/a>, ET BureauLast Updated: Jan 24, 2023, 10:10 AM IST<\/p>\n\n\n\n

China is consistently ranked at number one in the global list of 152 countries practicing illegal, unreported and unregulated (IUU) fishing. Being an industrialized nation, China has been forcing its way into other poorer countries\u2019 Exclusive Economic Zones (EEZ), forcing the local fishermen out of jobs and disrupting the local marine ecosystem. The worst hit is taken by countries in Africa, Latin America and the Indian Ocean Region (IOR), according to IJ-Reportika, a leading investigative journ .. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a comprehensive report published by IJ-Reportika, about 20% of the global IUU catch comes from just six western African countries \u2013 Mauritania, Senegal, the Gambia, GuineaBissau, Guinea and Sierra Leone. There have been multiple incidents of Chinese incursions and conflicts with the local African fishermen<\/strong>. Mauritania is suffering from Chinese incursions and aggressive fishing vessels since 2018. In 2020, three Mauritanian artisanal fishermen died when their boat was struck by a large Chinese Trawler. Despite being a smaller EEZ, it has been reported that the Chinese have spent over 2 million hours fishing. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2026Read more: https:\/\/economictimes.indiatimes.com\/news\/international\/world-news\/challenges-from-chinese-distant-water-fishing-fleets-in-africa\/articleshow\/97268569.cms<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

The green war on agriculture<\/a> and Ukraine war is also contributing to food shortages in poor countries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Another issue undermining global food security is biofuel subsidies.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

In 2008 the United Nations admitted biofuel subsidies were causing widespread hunger, and urged nations to review their policies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

U.N. Says Biofuel Subsidies Raise Food Bill and Hunger<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Elisabeth Rosenthal<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

ROME United Nations food agency called on Tuesday for a review of biofuel subsidies and policies, noting that they had contributed significantly to rising food prices and the hunger in poor countries. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

With policies and subsidies to encourage biofuel production in place in much of the developed world, farmers often find it more profitable to plants crops for fuel than for food, a shift that has helped lead to global food shortages. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Current policies should be \u201curgently reviewed in order to preserve the goal of world food security<\/strong>, protect poor farmers, promote broad-based rural development and ensure environmental sustainability,\u201d said a report released here on Tuesday by Jacques Diouf, the executive director of the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

In releasing the report, the United Nations joined a number of environmental groups and prominent international specialists who have called for an end to at least an overhaul of subsidies for biofuels<\/strong>, which are cleaner, plant-based fuels that can sometimes be substituted for oil and gas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2026Read more: https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2008\/10\/08\/world\/europe\/08italy.html<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

While there was some pullback, biofuel subsidies never really went away \u2013 they likely continue to exert upward pressure on food prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

What if I\u2019m wrong? What if global warming is having a direct impact on warm ocean fish stocks, which is possibly partially masked by other issues?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We can\u2019t heat up the ocean to see what happens, but we can look at distant past periods in the same part of the world, when the world was much warmer than today.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

RESEARCH ARTICLE| APRIL 17, 2021<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Diverse marine fish assemblages inhabited the paleotropics during the Paleocene-Eocene thermal maximum <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sanaa El-Sayed<\/a>; Matt Friedman<\/a>; Tarek Anan<\/a>; Mahmoud A. Faris<\/a>; Hesham Sallam<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Paleocene-Eocene thermal maximum (PETM) was a short interval (120\u2013220 k.y.) of elevated global temperatures, but it is important for understanding biotic responses to climatic warming. Consequences of the PETM for marine fishes remain unclear, despite evidence that they might have been particularly vulnerable to increasing temperatures. Part of this uncertainty reflects a lack of data on marine fishes across a range of latitudes at the time. We report a new paleotropical (~12\u00b0N paleolatitude) fish fauna from the Dababiya Quarry Member of Egypt dating to the PETM. This assemblage\u2014Ras Gharib A\u2014is a snapshot of a time when tropical sea-surface temperatures approached limits lethal for many modern fishes. Despite extreme conditions, the Ras Gharib A fauna is compositionally similar to well-known, midlatitude Lagerst\u00e4tten from the PETM or later in the Eocene. The Ras Gharib A fauna shows that diverse fish communities thrived in the paleotropics during the PETM<\/strong>, that these assemblages shared elements with coeval assemblages at higher latitudes, and that some taxa had broad latitudinal ranges substantially exceeding those found during cooler intervals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2026Read more: https:\/\/pubs.geoscienceworld.org\/gsa\/geology\/article-abstract\/49\/8\/993\/598743\/Diverse-marine-fish-assemblages-inhabited-the?redirectedFrom=fulltext<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Given fish thrived in seas of coastal East Coast of Africa, during a period when global temperatures were at least 5C warmer than today<\/strong>, I think we can safely conclude that the claim global warming harms fish stocks or is likely to harm fish stocks in the foreseeable future is bogus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I suspect there likely has been an increase in food distress in the last few decades in some parts of Africa<\/strong>, but the problems are more likely being caused by climate policy rather than climate change.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Given\u00a0fish thrived in seas of coastal East Coast of Africa, during a period when global temperatures were at least 5C warmer than today, I think we can safely conclude that the claim global warming harms fish stocks or is likely to harm fish stocks in the foreseeable future is bogus.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":257667,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818056,691818090],"class_list":{"0":"post-257661","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-climate-change","9":"tag-climate-warning","11":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0-Somalia.jpeg?fit=2300%2C1245&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-151P","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":414817,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=414817","url_meta":{"origin":257661,"position":0},"title":"Stop Spreading False Alarms, Al Jazeera, Fijian Oyster Production Is Doing Well","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"26\/11\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"An article in Al Jazeera by Frankie Adkins, who covers climate and social justice issues, claims that climate change is harming Fiji\u2019s oyster (both pearl and meat) industry. 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Earlier episodes in the series included\u00a0The Gambia Gambit,\u00a0Niger Negatives,\u00a0Volte-Face\u00a0,\u00a0The Cancun Con,\u00a0Japanese Bears\u00a0and\u00a0Malawian Mystery. This one was triggered by the headline (\u201cSouth Korea\u2019s fishermen keep dying.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"BBC\"","block_context":{"text":"BBC","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=bbc"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQNl6XhTsi6e-oUnK4nUWkWKrw3ev7qgHZViqzgpc9MR9HOiyYC188ONtOeDI47MpCuw-VsXd5mUPDRaKsO2nUaio-BsrP5WQKcHMGnNNr_PK63wo7jwHhrQVuCTRDXZ-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C589&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQNl6XhTsi6e-oUnK4nUWkWKrw3ev7qgHZViqzgpc9MR9HOiyYC188ONtOeDI47MpCuw-VsXd5mUPDRaKsO2nUaio-BsrP5WQKcHMGnNNr_PK63wo7jwHhrQVuCTRDXZ-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C589&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQNl6XhTsi6e-oUnK4nUWkWKrw3ev7qgHZViqzgpc9MR9HOiyYC188ONtOeDI47MpCuw-VsXd5mUPDRaKsO2nUaio-BsrP5WQKcHMGnNNr_PK63wo7jwHhrQVuCTRDXZ-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C589&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQNl6XhTsi6e-oUnK4nUWkWKrw3ev7qgHZViqzgpc9MR9HOiyYC188ONtOeDI47MpCuw-VsXd5mUPDRaKsO2nUaio-BsrP5WQKcHMGnNNr_PK63wo7jwHhrQVuCTRDXZ-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C589&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQNl6XhTsi6e-oUnK4nUWkWKrw3ev7qgHZViqzgpc9MR9HOiyYC188ONtOeDI47MpCuw-VsXd5mUPDRaKsO2nUaio-BsrP5WQKcHMGnNNr_PK63wo7jwHhrQVuCTRDXZ-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C589&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":299883,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=299883","url_meta":{"origin":257661,"position":2},"title":"Claim: The Sex Mad Global Warming Penguin Population Explosion is a Cause for Concern","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/02\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"When a species mass die off occurs, climate change is blamed, but when benign conditions cause populations to boom, scientists warn about the imminent climate change mass die off.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/00penguin-waddle_1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/00penguin-waddle_1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/00penguin-waddle_1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/00penguin-waddle_1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/00penguin-waddle_1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":304058,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=304058","url_meta":{"origin":257661,"position":3},"title":"It\u2019s True, Mainstream Media, Climate Change Isn\u2019t Endangering Fish Stocks","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"24\/02\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"In recent months a number of mainstream media outlets like the\u00a0New York Times\u00a0and\u00a0Al Jazeera, and alternative media outlets, like\u00a0Earth.com, have published articles claiming that global warming is threatening various fish stocks with extinction. 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The first claim is definitely false, Senegal\u2019s economy has experienced significant growth during the recent period of slight warming. 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