{"id":255495,"date":"2023-05-01T19:36:46","date_gmt":"2023-05-01T17:36:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=255495"},"modified":"2023-05-01T19:36:58","modified_gmt":"2023-05-01T17:36:58","slug":"prepare-for-energy-shortages-in-2030","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=255495","title":{"rendered":"Prepare For Energy Shortages In 2030"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"459\" data-attachment-id=\"255505\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=255505\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0net-zero-istock-1190148959.jpg?fit=2048%2C1299&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"2048,1299\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0net-zero-istock-1190148959\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0net-zero-istock-1190148959.jpg?fit=723%2C459&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0net-zero-istock-1190148959.jpg?resize=723%2C459&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-255505\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0net-zero-istock-1190148959.jpg?resize=1024%2C650&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0net-zero-istock-1190148959.jpg?resize=300%2C190&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0net-zero-istock-1190148959.jpg?resize=768%2C487&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0net-zero-istock-1190148959.jpg?resize=1536%2C974&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0net-zero-istock-1190148959.jpg?resize=1200%2C761&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0net-zero-istock-1190148959.jpg?w=2048&amp;ssl=1 2048w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0net-zero-istock-1190148959.jpg?w=1446&amp;ssl=1 1446w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From <a href=\"http:\/\/NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT\">NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">By Paul Homewood<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>More on UK FIRES:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"217\" data-attachment-id=\"255497\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=255497\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-10.png?fit=1024%2C307&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1024,307\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-10\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-10.png?fit=723%2C217&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-10.png?resize=723%2C217&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-255497\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-10.png?w=1024&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-10.png?resize=300%2C90&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-10.png?resize=768%2C230&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-uk-fires wp-block-embed-uk-fires\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"EmCzYjXoe9\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ukfires.org\/is-absolute-zero-pessimistic-about-uk-energy-supplies\/\">Is Absolute Zero pessimistic about UK energy supplies?<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);\" title=\"&#8220;Is Absolute Zero pessimistic about UK energy supplies?&#8221; &#8212; UK FIRES\" src=\"https:\/\/ukfires.org\/is-absolute-zero-pessimistic-about-uk-energy-supplies\/embed\/#?secret=wo6SelaMmG#?secret=EmCzYjXoe9\" data-secret=\"EmCzYjXoe9\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We have come across UK FIRES before. They&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com\/2020\/02\/18\/uk-airports-must-shut-to-reach-2050-climate-target\/\">warned<\/a>&nbsp;us in 2020 that&nbsp;<em>If it is to achieve its target of net zero climate emissions by 2050, all UK airports must close by mid-century and the country will have to make other drastic and fundamental lifestyle changes.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">They do have a habit ofpointing out the harsh realities of Net Zero, which are deliberately hidden from us by the government, CCC and the rest of the climate lobby. Just last month they published this analysis concerning the state of UK energy supplies:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>The most common response we receive when we present Absolute Zero to governmental or incumbent commercial audiences is \u201cOh, but your forecast of future energy supplies is far too low. You should be more optimistic.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Figure 1, shows the basis of our thinking at the time. The background of this figure is figure 1-1 in the Absolute Zero report, and here we\u2019ve overlaid on it the government\u2019s data on electricity generation. This data, which is available in the excellent Digest of UK Energy Statistics (table 5.6), takes a while to collect and validate, so when we wrote the report in 2019, we could draw on real data up to 2017 \u2013 which is the blue line in figure 1.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"255498\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=255498\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-11.png?fit=454%2C662&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"454,662\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-11\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-11.png?fit=454%2C662&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-11.png?resize=723%2C1055&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-255498\" width=\"723\" height=\"1055\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-11.png?w=454&amp;ssl=1 454w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-11.png?resize=206%2C300&amp;ssl=1 206w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Figure 2 below, certainly seems to confirm that we are less optimistic than everyone else<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/ukfires.org\/is-absolute-zero-pessimistic-about-uk-energy-supplies\/#_ftn1\"><em>[1]<\/em><\/a><em>. Compared to 15 other scenarios used to inform government climate policy, our forecast of the emissions-free electricity supply is by far the lowest.\u00a0 Figure 2 also demonstrates that all of these other scenarios depend on negative emissions technologies such as carbon capture and storage to deal with between 40 and 80 MtCO<sub>2e<\/sub>\u00a0per year of \u201cresidual emissions.\u201d In Absolute Zero we reflected the reality that to date no such technologies were operating in the UK, and therefore forecast that by 2050 we should continue to anticipate that they would not exist. So far, our prediction on that front has been absolutely correct, although \u2013 as always \u2013 there are lots of people in the oil and gas industries talking enthusiastically about projects that might happen.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"362\" data-attachment-id=\"255499\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=255499\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-12.png?fit=1024%2C513&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1024,513\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-12\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-12.png?fit=723%2C362&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-12.png?resize=723%2C362&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-255499\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-12.png?w=1024&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-12.png?resize=300%2C150&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-12.png?resize=768%2C385&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Georgia, &quot;Times New Roman&quot;, Times, serif; font-size: 13px; white-space: normal;\">Energy infrastructure is not a commodity product, like a smartphone. You can\u2019t buy new nuclear power stations, or carbon-capture and storage facilities off the shelf. They are mega-projects. Before construction begins, a long and complex series of societal discussions has to play out, about public funding contrasted with other important priorities, about land-rights, local communities, safety, public perception, legal and environmental compliance, and the complicated processes of commercial contracting. Once construction begins, it almost always takes longer than predicted \u2013 because the contracts are often awarded to the most optimistic sounding contractors, who claim early delivery dates, but then have to push them back as \u201cunexpected\u201d features of the project delay their intended timelines.<\/em><p style=\"font-size: 13px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Georgia, &quot;Times New Roman&quot;, Times, serif; white-space: normal;\"><em>Figure 4 shows how this story is playing out for the new nuclear power station at Hinckley Point C. The yellow bars show the International Atomic Energy Authority\u2019s predictions of the timeline to introduce a new nuclear power station. The purple bars show what has happened to date \u2013 and don\u2019t forget that when the latest delay was announced in 2022, the project owners also predicted that they would be announcing further delays later\u2026<\/em><\/p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"368\" data-attachment-id=\"255501\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=255501\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-13.png?fit=940%2C478&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"940,478\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-13\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-13.png?fit=723%2C368&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-13.png?resize=723%2C368&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-255501\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-13.png?w=940&amp;ssl=1 940w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-13.png?resize=300%2C153&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-13.png?resize=768%2C391&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Yet the message isn\u2019t getting through. Atkins in their excellent \u201cEngineering Net Zero\u201d reports have analysed the build-rates required to deliver the energy infrastructure predicted by the Climate Change Committee, leading to the graph in figure 5. Notice that the required build rate leapt up in 2022, to an unprecedented level with no ramp-up.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Almost unbelievably, when this report was launched, the audience response was to smile and shrug, and say \u201cwell we\u2019ll just have to go a bit faster then, won\u2019t we? We just need to be more optimistic.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>But surely the correct interpretation of figure 5 is that it isn\u2019t going to happen. There is no possibility of this level of energy infrastructure being built by 2035, and if anything approaching this rate of construction is to happen beyond then, the public financing commitment needs to be made right now, before the next election.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>We haven\u2019t heard it mentioned.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>When we hear people tell us that we \u201cshould just be more optimistic\u201d we think what they\u2019re really saying is \u201cwe don\u2019t want to think about a future in which we don\u2019t have all the energy we want.\u201d But the whole excitement of the UK FIRES programme has been to recognise that that such a shortfall is (close to a certain) reality, and as a result a whole different range of innovations in technology, business, systems, governance and lifestyle are going to emerge as the enablers of real zero emissions living. By articulating and promoting those opportunities, we are aiming to open up a much more credible pathway to delivering zero emissions in reality. These are achievable goals, and it\u2019s a pathway along which we can walk to a zero-emissions future \u2013 while living really well.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-uk-fires wp-block-embed-uk-fires\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"EmCzYjXoe9\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ukfires.org\/is-absolute-zero-pessimistic-about-uk-energy-supplies\/\">Is Absolute Zero pessimistic about UK energy supplies?<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);\" title=\"&#8220;Is Absolute Zero pessimistic about UK energy supplies?&#8221; &#8212; UK FIRES\" src=\"https:\/\/ukfires.org\/is-absolute-zero-pessimistic-about-uk-energy-supplies\/embed\/#?secret=wo6SelaMmG#?secret=EmCzYjXoe9\" data-secret=\"EmCzYjXoe9\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The target for 2035 is especially relevant, because the government has&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/ukfires.org\/minus-45\/\">committed<\/a>&nbsp;to a cut in emissions of 68% from 2018 levels by 2035.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In the last three years, a total of 6141 MW of wind and solar capacity has been added. Last year\u2019s CfD Round 4 auction adds another 10689 MW, most of which won\u2019t arrive until 2026\/27. As UK Fires point out, there is simply no way that we will achieve 14 GW a year between now and 2035, a total of 196 GW.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Worse still, as the nuclear timeline shows, it could take another 20 years for the next nuclear plant to arrive after Hinkley.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So let\u2019s let that final paragraph sink in again:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>When we hear people tell us that we \u201cshould just be more optimistic\u201d we think what they\u2019re really saying is \u201cwe don\u2019t want to think about a future in which we don\u2019t have all the energy we want.\u201d But the whole excitement of the UK FIRES programme has been to recognise that that such a shortfall is (close to a certain) reality, and as a result a whole different range of innovations in technology, business, systems, governance and lifestyle are going to emerge as the enablers of real zero emissions living. By articulating and promoting those opportunities, we are aiming to open up a much more credible pathway to delivering zero emissions in reality. These are achievable goals, and it\u2019s a pathway along which we can walk to a zero-emissions future \u2013 while living really well.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">They may be excited. But I suspect most people will be horrified and extremely angry when they find out they have been duped, and that we will have to drastically tailor our lives for a future without all of the energy we need.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As UK FIRES noted in their MINUS 45 report two years ago:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"255503\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=255503\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-14.png?fit=592%2C672&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"592,672\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-14\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-14.png?fit=592%2C672&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-14.png?resize=723%2C821&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-255503\" width=\"723\" height=\"821\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-14.png?w=592&amp;ssl=1 592w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/image-14.png?resize=264%2C300&amp;ssl=1 264w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-uk-fires wp-block-embed-uk-fires\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"qAIynCPpHz\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ukfires.org\/minus-45\/\">Minus 45<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);\" title=\"&#8220;Minus 45&#8221; &#8212; UK FIRES\" src=\"https:\/\/ukfires.org\/minus-45\/embed\/#?secret=ufVBNZVOXp#?secret=qAIynCPpHz\" data-secret=\"qAIynCPpHz\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We can\u2019t say we weren\u2019t warned!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>We have come across UK FIRES before. They\u00a0warned\u00a0us in 2020 that\u00a0If it is to achieve its target of net zero climate emissions by 2050, all UK airports must close by mid-century and the country will have to make other drastic and fundamental lifestyle changes.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":255505,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691819236,691818280,691818154],"class_list":{"0":"post-255495","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-climate-lobby","9":"tag-energy-shortages","10":"tag-net-zero","12":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0net-zero-istock-1190148959.jpg?fit=2048%2C1299&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-14sT","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":436375,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=436375","url_meta":{"origin":255495,"position":0},"title":"The 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News","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/07\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Climate obsessives think importing energy from anywhere and everywhere is somehow better than producing it at home.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/0wp-conventional.jpg?fit=1152%2C648&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/0wp-conventional.jpg?fit=1152%2C648&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/0wp-conventional.jpg?fit=1152%2C648&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/0wp-conventional.jpg?fit=1152%2C648&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/0wp-conventional.jpg?fit=1152%2C648&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":419988,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=419988","url_meta":{"origin":255495,"position":3},"title":"Electrical equipment shortage threatens net zero, Hitachi warns Ed\u00a0Miliband","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/05\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Hitachi Energy, a major manufacturer of high-voltage transformers and other critical grid equipment, has warned that a severe shortage of electrical components could prevent the UK from expanding its power grid quickly enough to meet the government's ambitious clean power by 2030 target. This warning, reported in The Telegraph on\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"electricity producers\"","block_context":{"text":"electricity producers","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=electricity-producers"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQN29P7CjbSMQQyu8rthF5V1DYr2WS3ryGyYHCQNQYC54xJQODJG1xVd3GQdnwC994l-I-bAY6s-GFGbuAaRDZpY84tq0jPSjCJIgDGnOGk5iguHIi2zHA6-cEVdch-KTCKr0ZzsAk1R06HJwAgf6YDi8pGnYw.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQN29P7CjbSMQQyu8rthF5V1DYr2WS3ryGyYHCQNQYC54xJQODJG1xVd3GQdnwC994l-I-bAY6s-GFGbuAaRDZpY84tq0jPSjCJIgDGnOGk5iguHIi2zHA6-cEVdch-KTCKr0ZzsAk1R06HJwAgf6YDi8pGnYw.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQN29P7CjbSMQQyu8rthF5V1DYr2WS3ryGyYHCQNQYC54xJQODJG1xVd3GQdnwC994l-I-bAY6s-GFGbuAaRDZpY84tq0jPSjCJIgDGnOGk5iguHIi2zHA6-cEVdch-KTCKr0ZzsAk1R06HJwAgf6YDi8pGnYw.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQN29P7CjbSMQQyu8rthF5V1DYr2WS3ryGyYHCQNQYC54xJQODJG1xVd3GQdnwC994l-I-bAY6s-GFGbuAaRDZpY84tq0jPSjCJIgDGnOGk5iguHIi2zHA6-cEVdch-KTCKr0ZzsAk1R06HJwAgf6YDi8pGnYw.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQN29P7CjbSMQQyu8rthF5V1DYr2WS3ryGyYHCQNQYC54xJQODJG1xVd3GQdnwC994l-I-bAY6s-GFGbuAaRDZpY84tq0jPSjCJIgDGnOGk5iguHIi2zHA6-cEVdch-KTCKr0ZzsAk1R06HJwAgf6YDi8pGnYw.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":362744,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=362744","url_meta":{"origin":255495,"position":4},"title":"Can The CAN","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/20\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The Climate and Nature Bill has its second reading this week. 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