{"id":255324,"date":"2023-04-29T21:37:29","date_gmt":"2023-04-29T19:37:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=255324"},"modified":"2023-04-29T21:37:32","modified_gmt":"2023-04-29T19:37:32","slug":"dead-wrong-fanatical-and-fully-funded","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=255324","title":{"rendered":"Dead Wrong, Fanatical and Fully Funded"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Climate Scepticism<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By\u00a0TONY THOMAS<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Amid these days of woke ascendancy, I received an uplifting email at the weekend from Melbourne-based ginger group Climate for Change (C4C), confiding that it\u2019s gone phut<\/em>. All paid staff are out of a job by mid-May.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Its volunteers \u2014 for some years an army of 300 \u2014 have spent the past decade inveigling citizens to Tupperware-style home parties where \u201cFacilitators\u201d show scary climate videos and steer invitees towards climate activism.[1]<\/a> It\u2019s poetic that Tupperware itself has reached its use-by date.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Climate for Change was the brainchild of Katerina Gaita, daughter of Melbourne University philosopher Raymond Gaita<\/a>. She\u2019s a case study in savvy activism transforming the community with intricate and effective webs of influence. Young Katerina departed the leafy piles of Gardenvale to dwell amid the polyglot tribes of Footscray, Seddon and Kingsville in Melbourne\u2019s west. She has confessed<\/a>,<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In 2007, after reading the book Climate Code Red, it hit me like a ton of bricks. For six months, I was just incapacitated. I walked down the street crying, not knowing what to do. <\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

An Al Gore trainee\/disciple, she elaborated to the ABC on her round-the-clock meltdown:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I remember waking up in the middle of the night and finding my cheeks were wet<\/a>, I guess it is the same as any grief; there\u2019s a strange loneliness that comes from being amongst other people who aren\u2019t feeling the same grief that you are.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

For consolation, she should get together with the ANU\u2019s IPCC lachrymose<\/a> lead-author<\/a> Dr Joelle Gergis. As far as green tears go, it would be Victoria Falls meets Niagara.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Climate Code Red<\/a> was co-authored in 2008 by David Spratt and Philip Sutton. I tangled politely with David a decade ago when he was urging us at a Moonee Valley Council talk to tip out the state\u2019s sort-of-conservative Premier Denis Napthine \u2014 odd since councils are meant to be non-partisan (see Ratepayers & Ratbaggery)<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ABC chronicled<\/a> Katarina\u2019s \u201cmany approaches to tackling climate change, from living green herself, to running a green cleaning business and teaching people how to clean green.\u201d She came to see that electoral work was more powerful, serving as the CEO of C4C from 2014-21 before segueing into canvassing<\/a> to get the Liberal\u2019s Tim Wilson ejected from his Melbourne seat of Goldstein at last year\u2019s federal election. She coordinated the search by \u201cVoices of Goldstein\u201d for a rival candidate. With the ex-ABC\u2019s Zoe Daniels in the bag, Katerina helped run 1400 volunteers. They knocked on 44,000 local doors over ten weeks, evaporating Tim Wilson\u2019s 7.8% margin via a 3% swing to Labor and getting Daniels elected as a Teal independent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Katerina is now membership developer for the Australian Environmental Grantmakers Network (AEGN)<\/a>. Chief among its backers<\/a> are Computershare founder Chris Morris<\/a>, rich-listed in March at $1.2 billion, and his daughter, Hayley. On its board<\/a> is the Teals\u2019 funding svengali Simon Holmes a Court, who mobilised $13 million for their campaigns. Another supporter is omnipresent multi-millionaire Robert Purves and his Purves Environmental Fund. AEGN itself acts as a catalyst among funders, itself running on a budget of only $1.4m, a mere five FTE staff<\/a> and half a dozen volunteers. AEGN\u2019s Vision includes stopping new and existing fossil fuel projects in favour of \u201cclean renewable energy\u201d. How will the lights stay on during wind droughts<\/a>? Don\u2019t you worry about that!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I\u2019ll get back to the above-mentioned Climate Code Red<\/em> book after some more on Brunswick-based Climate for Change, of which, as it happens, I am a proud member.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Since inception, C4C\u2019s paid staff have see-sawed between one and seven full-time equivalents. Volunteers were close to 300 a year from 2018-21, tumbling to 20 last year. During eight years it raised a handsome $1.04m in funding drives, $740,000 in donations  and received $370,000  in grants (does that mean from taxpayers?), in a total income of about $2.7m. Sadly, it blew its dough on staff in the past three years, racking up $123,000 in losses and reducing net assets to a meagre $71,000<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Co-CEOs Jane Stabb \u2014 pronouns: she\/her \u2014 of Naarm<\/a> (once known as \u201cMelbourne\u201d) and Lena Herrera Piekarski \u2014 she\/her \u2014 of Kulin country\u2019s Wurundjeri and Woiwurrung, informed me sadly but \u201cwith warmth and gratitude\u201d that as a small organisation C4C had been directly hit by \u201cthe current economic crisis and inflation\u201d. (That\u2019s a Labor Treasurer for you). So, they continue, they had to make the hard decision to axe all permanent staff, including themselves, and continue their \u201camazing work\u201d with an all-volunteer cast and board.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Here\u2019s the demographics of C4C<\/a> :<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2666 Main income over the years came from annual six-figure crowd-funding<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2666 It has trained more than 460 Facilitators<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2666 Staff costs per trained Facilitator were from $500-1000; with $50-100 staff cost per attendee.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2666 Something over 11,500 hosted attendees<\/a> by now in Victoria and Qld. Most were female (65%) and betweeen18 and 35 years of age. About 60% were parents.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2666 Attendees who \u201cstrongly agreed\u201d to vote for climate candidates doubled from 40% to 80% after the Conversations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2666 During the 2019 federal election, nearly 40% of attendees went on to help Australian Conservation Foundation with its green electioneering.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 <\/em>\u2666 Melbourne work was concentrated in the often-dubbed People\u2019s Republics around Brunswick\/Northcote.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2666 \u201cWithout any targeted campaign from C4C, Facilitators responded to a high demand for Conversations in and around the Brunswick electorate in 2018. In the 11 months leading up to the [2018 State] election, 55 Conversations were held there reaching more than 480 people. In the seat of Brunswick there was a 2.7% swing to the candidate with the strongest climate policies. The candidate won the seat by a margin of just over 500 votes.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2666 Nearly half attendees of one Facilitator increased their pestering of MPs. One young woman was quoted,<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cI\u2019m going to get in touch with my MP and I\u2019m going to get my whole family to do it too.\u201d And there were tears in her eyes as she said this, but there was steel in her voice.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2666 As an attendee told C4C: \u201cI feel more confident taking action and calling out climate denialists.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2666 At least one attendee \u2013 a business man \u2013  turned vegan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 I\u2019ve been inspired as C4C supporter to host a \u201cClimate C.A.F.E. \u2018Climate Action For Everyone\u2019 session!\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I\u2019m assured my event will \u201ccreate real change on the systems we live in\u201d. I\u2019m to invite my trusting but \u201cconfused and overwhelmed\u201d<\/a> friends. I provide the party pies and booze, C4C sends along their climate salesperson. I\u2019m to invent a tale about what inspired me to seek destruction of Australia\u2019s electricity system \u2013 people are swayed not by facts but by heart-warming stories, C4C says.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For CAF\u00c9 homework, I\u2019ve downloaded C4C\u2019s 10-page \u201cConversation Guide\u201d<\/a>, which coaches me \u201cto help stop climate change\u201d. I\u2019m warned that \u201cpressuring people into actions they\u2019re not ready for can backfire.\u201d Like all good salespeople, I qualify my audience as alarmed, alert, concerned, cautious or whatever, tailoring C4C\u2019s scripts for each. If someone\u2019s \u201cdisengaged\u201d, I should say, \u201cI\u2019ve read about what will happen to the cost of living if this drought continues\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Drought, what drought?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C4C writes, \u201cWhat if my conversation is with someone who denies climate change is real, or who becomes angry?\u201d I mustn\u2019t waste my time and emotional energy on those creatures, \u201cwho could make you feel awful and send you backwards in your relationships\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As part of my C4C education about First Nations cultures, I\u2019m also encouraged by C4C to swot up<\/a> on Bruce Pascoe\u2019s \u201cimpeccable\u201d Dark Emu<\/em> pre-histor<\/a>y, and I can \u201cLearn to write an Acknowledgement of Country. (Cost included).\u201d Sounds fun. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

What of the Climate Code Red<\/em> book that jellified poor Katerina Gaita?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It references what the official climate crowd was predicting in 2008, and every single proposition, with 2023 hindsight, has proven wrong, stupid and ridiculous. The equivalent climate crowd today, from the IPCC down, is making the same predictions of catastrophes (e.g. UN Secretary-General Guterres:<\/a>  \u201cWe are on a highway to climate hell with our foot still on the accelerator.\u201d). You can safely bet your children\u2019s lives that by 2033, today\u2019s predictions will turn out equally wrong, stupid and ridiculous. But, meanwhile, Australian governments, state and federal, are vandalising the electricity grid and turning us into political and economic satraps of energy-rich China<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The 2008 book cited Spratt as community campaigner for the \u201cpeace movement\u201d (unlike the rest of us who support the war movement). He wanted each of us to get a personal CO2 ration, involving surveillance and controls that would make Stalin, the Stasi and Xi Jin-Ping look moderate. Family carbon rationing would \u201cguarantee that the national greenhouse emissions budget is achieved\u201d:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cAn authority independent of government , like the Reserve Bank , would set up a national greenhouse \u2013 emissions budget each year . The amount of emissions would be decreased each year , through a series of downward steps to zero , in accordance with a rapid transition plan . <\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Because households in Australia are directly responsible for about one \u2013 quarter of emissions ( generated principally by household energy use and private travel ) , one \u2013 quarter of the carbon budget would be made available free of charge to each citizen as an equal \u2018 carbon credit \u2019 ( or ration ) , via an electronic swipe \u2018 carbon card \u2019 . The card would be used to draw on an individual carbon \u2013 credit balance each time household gas and electricity , petrol , and air tickets were paid for \u2026 If a person lacked the greenhouse \u2013 emissions credits to cover a purchase they could buy credit at the point of sale.\u201d<\/em>(p244-5)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

My personal view of Spratt\u2019s plan aligns with Orwell\u2019s in his 1984<\/em>: \u201cAlways, at every moment, there will be the thrill of victory, the sensation of trampling on an enemy who is helpless. If you want a picture of the future, imagine a boot stamping on a human face\u2014 forever.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Clearly the book was a game-changer in its day. Other lady law graduates like Katerina must have staggered down working-class streets for six months in tearful incapacitation after reaching page 14 about Arctic ice:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In 2006 , former Australian of the Year , palaeontologist , and climate \u2013 change activist Tim Flannery suggested that \u2018at the trajectory set by the new rate of melt , however , there will be no Arctic icecap in the next five to fifteen years.\u2019 <\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

On Flannery\u2019s forecast for 2011-21 the sea-ice up there now would barely chill a can of Fanta. Actually, the sea ice has been stable for the past decade<\/a> and Arctic minimum summer ice last September was 4.67 million square kilometers<\/a>. [2]<\/a>  Flannery has been Chief Councillor at his sciencey Climate Council since 2014, which specialises in similar doom-crying.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Here are other Sutton\/Pratt scenarios as at 2008:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2666 Even with 25-40% emission cuts, by 2020 we would still be facing \u201ccatastrophic environmental damage\u201d. (252)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2666 Climate is creating an urgent need for \u201ca global governance framework\u201d surpassing the nation states. (Spratt might be presaging the World Economic Forum or at least our governance by the corrupt UN.) Foreword, location 109.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2666 \u201cBy 2050, the ocean will be so acidic that current US water-quality standards would have to categorise it as industrial waste .\u201d (59).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2666 \u201cWe have already entered an era of dangerous climate change. If left unchecked, the dynamics and inertia of our social and economic systems will sweep us on to ever more dangerous change and then, most likely within a decade [i.e. by 2018], to an era of catastrophic climate change.\u201d (145). Fact check: the UAH satellites, further scientifically validated last month<\/a>, show no global warming for more than eight years and no Australian warming<\/a> for nearly 11 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2666 Sea level rise of five metres by 2095 \u2013 that\u2019s above my roofline and way above the IPCC\u2019s namby-pamby guess of under one metre. (36) Climate expert James Hansen forecast we had \u201cas little as a decade\u201d ie<\/em> to 2018, to avoid meltdown of both the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets. (27)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2666 Say goodbye shortly to the Great Barrier Reef, \u201cnow facing extinction\u201d after 60-95% bleaching in 2002. \u201cThis is the case with most coral reefs around the world.\u201d (90). Fact check: The GBR coral is now at record extent<\/a>. That makes at least 21 years of \u201cexperts\u201d dooming the GBR. Global coral reefs are also doing fin<\/a>e, thank you.[3]<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2666 Breakthrough technology would see a 35km x 35km array  of solar collectors \u201cproducing enough electricity to meet Australia\u2019s total power needs\u201d. (201). Huh?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2666 A \u201cpeak oil\u201d crisis was imminent, with a Queensland government task force\u2019s report finding \u201coverwhelming evidence\u201d that oil output would reach an \u201cabsolute peak\u201d before 2017. (147) Thus citizens would be beset by \u201ca multi-issue crisis of sustainability that incorporates food, water, peak oil, and global warming.\u201d Actual oil production in the US now makes nonsense of theorised \u201cpeaks\u201d.<\/a> Ditto world production<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2666 \u201cIn the US , it was expected that a 1 degree rise would result in California and the Great Plains states becoming subject to mega \u2013 droughts and desertification : a new and permanent \u2018 dust bowl \u2019 , similar to those seen between 1000 and 1300 AD during the Medieval Warm Period , when devastating , epic droughts hit the plains , and whole Native American populations collapsed . This predicted drying is also occurring.\u201d (90). Fact check: the US is now 1degC warmer than pre-industrial. Things nonetheless seem OK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2666 Climate change in 2008 meant that \u201cour world is already at the point of failing to cope\u201d, with famine outbreaks amounting to a \u201cclimate change mega-disaster\u201d. (89). Fact check: Food yields continue to rise<\/a> and real wheat rice and sugar prices to fall<\/a> (at least until the Ukraine war started).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2666 Just make stuff up, the book suggests.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We need stories not just of heroes living in the future, and making desperate, perhaps futile, last-ditch attempts to head off a disaster in the face of imminent doom, but of a world in which climate turnaround is achieved, despite distractions, inertia, and vested interests in the here-and-now \u2014 an interesting challenge for sustainability strategists, writers, and movie-makers. (236-7).<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Unabashed by his 2008 forecasting failures, Spratt a month ago was claiming that the UN\u2019s net-zero push for 2050 was dangerously conservative \u2013 \u201can appalling gamble with existential risk\u2026<\/a>paleoclimatology teaches that in the long run each one degree of warming will raise the oceans by 10-20 metres.\u201d [Ouch].<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It was exactly Spratt\u2019s cup-of-tea when UN secretary-general Guterres\u2019 warned two months ago that rising seas threatened \u201cmass exodus on a biblical scale.\u201d<\/a> Bring back Moses!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While climate influencers seem a weird mob, never under-estimate their ability to stitch us all up politically. ####<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notes<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

[1]<\/a> C4C: \u201c<\/em>Our approach is based on social research that explains that people process information \u2013 make sense of it, make decisions about it and take actions around it \u2013 through conversations with people they trust. This is how social change happens. Our flagship program, Climate Conversations, uses the Tupperware\u00ae party plan model to facilitate discussions about climate change in people\u2019s homes, among friends. This model of engagement is unique within the climate movement and has proven extraordinarily effective in engaging new audiences at both depth and scale.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

[2]<\/a> Spratt also quotes US sonar data from submarines foretelling no Artic ice by 2013 (p14), and he even suggests an ice-free Arctic at 2009 (p16).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

[3]<\/a> Spratt 2008 quotes a doozy from woke ANU types: \u201c<\/em>Waters around the Great Barrier Reef are also acidifying at a higher \u2013 than \u2013 expected rate . Ecosystem collapse caused by acidification will likely reduce marine biomass and , therefore , the capacity of the oceans to absorb carbon dioxide . Professor Malcolm McCulloch of the Australian National University says that , contrary to previous predictions , this acidification is now taking place over decades , rather than centuries : \u2018 [ T]he new data on the Great Barrier Reef suggests the effects are even greater than forecast . \u2019 p59<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Amid these days of woke ascendancy, I received an uplifting email at the weekend from Melbourne-based ginger group Climate for Change (C4C), confiding that it\u2019s gone\u00a0phut. All paid staff are out of a job by mid-May.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":255327,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818056,691819197,691818076,691819198],"class_list":{"0":"post-255324","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-climate-change","9":"tag-climate-code-red","10":"tag-co2","11":"tag-ipcc-2","13":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0-dead-wrong.jpg?fit=1280%2C720&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-14q8","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":290943,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=290943","url_meta":{"origin":255324,"position":0},"title":"‘Woke religion’: King Charles needs a \u2018stern talking to\u2019 about climate change comments","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"11\/12\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"In an opening address to the UN climate summit, King Charles expressed hope that COP28 would be another critical turning point towards \u201cgenuine transformational action\u201d.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/0Screenshot-2023-12-11-184456.png?fit=970%2C565&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/0Screenshot-2023-12-11-184456.png?fit=970%2C565&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/0Screenshot-2023-12-11-184456.png?fit=970%2C565&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/0Screenshot-2023-12-11-184456.png?fit=970%2C565&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":228889,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=228889","url_meta":{"origin":255324,"position":1},"title":"Climate Religion: Egypt\u2019s Mount Sinai to receive \u2018Climate Justice Ten Commandments\u2019 during UN summit \u2013 Interfaith \u2018Climate Repentance Ceremonies\u2019","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"13\/11\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Religious leaders gather in Sinai to receive \u201cClimate Justice Ten\u00a0Commandments\u201d","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/0animation-moses-on-mt-sinai-depth-of-field.jpg?fit=1200%2C633&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/0animation-moses-on-mt-sinai-depth-of-field.jpg?fit=1200%2C633&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/0animation-moses-on-mt-sinai-depth-of-field.jpg?fit=1200%2C633&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/0animation-moses-on-mt-sinai-depth-of-field.jpg?fit=1200%2C633&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/0animation-moses-on-mt-sinai-depth-of-field.jpg?fit=1200%2C633&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":292537,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=292537","url_meta":{"origin":255324,"position":2},"title":"Junk Science Alert: Met Office Set to Ditch Actual Temperature Data in Favour of Model Predictions","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"24\/12\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The alternative climate reality that the U.K. Met Office seeks to occupy has moved a step nearer with news that a group of its top scientists has proposed adopting a radical new method of calculating climate change. 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