{"id":255179,"date":"2023-04-28T21:56:43","date_gmt":"2023-04-28T19:56:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=255179"},"modified":"2023-04-28T21:56:46","modified_gmt":"2023-04-28T19:56:46","slug":"u-s-net-debt-to-exceed-110-by-2028-as-decarbonization-costs-mount","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=255179","title":{"rendered":"U.S. Net Debt To Exceed 110% By 2028 As Decarbonization Costs Mount"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Oilprice.com<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By\u00a0ZeroHedge<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

While the latest IMF forecasts were mostly lost in the din surrounding the start of earnings season, besides the now standard cuts to global growth forecasts<\/a>, there was one standout item. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

As National Bank of Canada points out, the IMF’s projections forecast U.S. net debt to rise from 95% of GDP in 2023 to 110% by 2028, which actually is a conservative estimate when comparing a similar, if even more concerning longer-term forecast from the Congressional Budget Office, which effectively projects hyperinflation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But while the fate of US debt\/GDP in 2050 may feel like someone else’s problem to most Americans, NBC warns that a far more pressing issue may emerge as soon as a decade from today. That’s because unless Washington raises taxes more or slashes benefits (an unlikely outcome), the Social Security fund will hit net zero – i.e., will be exhausted – in just 10 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

And as U.S. social security becomes a pay-as-you-go system, sovereign debt issuance will increase at an accelerated rate to offset the statutory decline in the social security fund balance. That, combined\u00a0with the global “Net Zero” cost forecast of $150 trillion over the next 30 years\u00a0<\/a>– or some\u00a0$5 trillion per year<\/em><\/strong>\u00a0– most if not all of it courtesy of the Federal Reserve…<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

… means that in the very near future, the Fed will be drawn back in to monetize debt (read restart QE) at a pace that has never been seen before. The only question is which crisis will get us there first.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

As National Bank of Canada points out, the IMF’s projections forecast U.S. net debt to rise from 95% of GDP in 2023 to 110% by 2028, which actually is a conservative estimate when comparing a similar, if even more concerning longer-term forecast from the Congressional Budget Office, which effectively projects hyperinflation.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":255187,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_seo_schema_type":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_wpcom_ai_launchpad_first_post":false,"_jetpack_hide_featured_image":false,"_jetpack_featured_image_duplicate_dismissed":0,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818076,691819173,691819174,691818154],"class_list":["post-255179","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-co2","tag-decarbonization","tag-hyperinflation","tag-net-zero","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-14nN","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":265136,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=265136","url_meta":{"origin":255179,"position":0},"title":"How 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