{"id":252233,"date":"2023-04-10T19:55:01","date_gmt":"2023-04-10T17:55:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=252233"},"modified":"2023-04-10T19:55:04","modified_gmt":"2023-04-10T17:55:04","slug":"abate-co2-emissions-to-cut-global-warming-good-luck-with-that","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=252233","title":{"rendered":"Abate CO2 emissions to cut global warming? Good luck with that!"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Watts Up With That?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Michael Limburg of Eike, the splendid German environmental think-tank, writes to point out that there has been no discernible effect at all in the Mauna Loa monthly concentration data from the large reduction in annual CO2<\/sub> emissions arising from the Chinese-virus pandemic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The 18 months January 2020 to July 2021, during which many nations locked down, are shaded on the Mauna Loa CO2<\/sub>-concentration graph. Though global CO2<\/sub>\u00a0emissions fell by a remarkable 27% in the first half of 2020 (Le Qu\u00e9r\u00e9 et al. 2020), the uptrend in CO2<\/sub>\u00a0concentration remained near-linear during the pandemic, and has continued unaltered thereafter. The breadth of the yellow trend-line is 1 \u03bcmol mol\u20131<\/sup>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

A longer-run trend since 2015, with the breadth of the trend-line again equal to 1 \u03bcmol mol\u20131<\/sup>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The uptrend in total anthropogenic greenhouse-gas forcing has also remained near-perfectly linear notwithstanding the large reduction in CO2<\/sub>\u00a0emissions during the pandemic:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

These considerations strongly reinforce the conclusion in my recent piece on the ever-lengthening New Pause (now at 8 years 9 months and counting) that even if the whole world actually achieved net zero emissions by 2050 the reduction in global temperature by then would be\u00a0less than one-tenth of a degree:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The table shows just how little global warming would be prevented, even in theory, by the attainment of net zero worldwide and in various territories.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After 2100, very little further warming would be prevented, because existing and foreseeable resources of oil and gas would be substantially exhausted and coal reserves would last for only another half-century at current demand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It is also possible to calculate how much (or, rather, how little) global warming would be prevented if the United States were to double its existing installed wind and solar capacity:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

From the above calculation (h\/t Douglas Pollock), it is evident that wind and solar on their own are not going to be capable of getting the United States, or the world, to net zero. Therefore, the earlier table was more than somewhat optimistic. Bottom line: the trashing of the Western economies to Save The Planet will not benefit the climate one whit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Michael Limburg of Eike, the splendid German environmental think-tank, writes to point out that there has been no discernible effect at all in the Mauna Loa monthly concentration data from the large reduction in annual CO2\u00a0emissions arising from the Chinese-virus pandemic.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":252243,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818076,691818087,691818253,691818154],"class_list":{"0":"post-252233","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-co2","9":"tag-global-warming","10":"tag-mauna-loa","11":"tag-net-zero","13":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0ib1-net-zero.jpg?fit=2875%2C1617&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-13Ch","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":399000,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=399000","url_meta":{"origin":252233,"position":0},"title":"More Evidence Temperatures Drive CO2 Levels, Not the\u00a0Reverse","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"08\/31\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"CO2 concentration increases are not the cause of rising temperature, but an effect of rising temperature.","rel":"","context":"In \"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)\"","block_context":{"text":"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=carbon-dioxide-co%e2%82%82"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQMcBbvsz0SvdwTDyTCAwH2qmYxSqh01bC1Nbc8Dusv9Hz5913cvZHZSoMb-ehyDEhj8ylRuLsB-tC2Gz4RG6XzvUVgeTJQe-MnRSHtB3ZKj5rWbeO-eI4d_3l_8eYKud22zvTaBDjmgOwc0mwd2p_fVKdaGtA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQMcBbvsz0SvdwTDyTCAwH2qmYxSqh01bC1Nbc8Dusv9Hz5913cvZHZSoMb-ehyDEhj8ylRuLsB-tC2Gz4RG6XzvUVgeTJQe-MnRSHtB3ZKj5rWbeO-eI4d_3l_8eYKud22zvTaBDjmgOwc0mwd2p_fVKdaGtA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQMcBbvsz0SvdwTDyTCAwH2qmYxSqh01bC1Nbc8Dusv9Hz5913cvZHZSoMb-ehyDEhj8ylRuLsB-tC2Gz4RG6XzvUVgeTJQe-MnRSHtB3ZKj5rWbeO-eI4d_3l_8eYKud22zvTaBDjmgOwc0mwd2p_fVKdaGtA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQMcBbvsz0SvdwTDyTCAwH2qmYxSqh01bC1Nbc8Dusv9Hz5913cvZHZSoMb-ehyDEhj8ylRuLsB-tC2Gz4RG6XzvUVgeTJQe-MnRSHtB3ZKj5rWbeO-eI4d_3l_8eYKud22zvTaBDjmgOwc0mwd2p_fVKdaGtA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQMcBbvsz0SvdwTDyTCAwH2qmYxSqh01bC1Nbc8Dusv9Hz5913cvZHZSoMb-ehyDEhj8ylRuLsB-tC2Gz4RG6XzvUVgeTJQe-MnRSHtB3ZKj5rWbeO-eI4d_3l_8eYKud22zvTaBDjmgOwc0mwd2p_fVKdaGtA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":319323,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=319323","url_meta":{"origin":252233,"position":1},"title":"Net Zero CO2 Emissions: A Damaging and Totally Unnecessary Goal","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"04\/21\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The goal of reaching \u201cNet Zero\u201d global anthropogenic emissions of carbon dioxide sounds overwhelmingly difficult. 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