{"id":251352,"date":"2023-04-05T16:43:45","date_gmt":"2023-04-05T14:43:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=251352"},"modified":"2023-04-05T16:43:47","modified_gmt":"2023-04-05T14:43:47","slug":"climate-expert-misinformation-in-the-ipcc-hurricanes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=251352","title":{"rendered":"Climate Expert: Misinformation In The IPCC &#8211;  Hurricanes"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"515\" data-attachment-id=\"251369\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=251369\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/02SQPBD2I6ZYPSAFC4RHYMVGKJU.jpg?fit=1200%2C856&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1200,856\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"02SQPBD2I6ZYPSAFC4RHYMVGKJU\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/02SQPBD2I6ZYPSAFC4RHYMVGKJU.jpg?fit=723%2C515&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/02SQPBD2I6ZYPSAFC4RHYMVGKJU.jpg?resize=723%2C515&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-251369\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/02SQPBD2I6ZYPSAFC4RHYMVGKJU.jpg?resize=1024%2C730&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/02SQPBD2I6ZYPSAFC4RHYMVGKJU.jpg?resize=300%2C214&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/02SQPBD2I6ZYPSAFC4RHYMVGKJU.jpg?resize=768%2C548&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/02SQPBD2I6ZYPSAFC4RHYMVGKJU.jpg?w=1200&amp;ssl=1 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From <a href=\"http:\/\/climatechangedispatch.com\">climatechangedispatch.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">BY\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/climatechangedispatch.com\/author\/ccdeditor\/\">ROGER PIELKE JR.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"251358\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=251358\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/02f56df35-6213-45f7-b47e-faab93bc7eeb_459x777.png?fit=459%2C777&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"459,777\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"02f56df35-6213-45f7-b47e-faab93bc7eeb_459x777\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/02f56df35-6213-45f7-b47e-faab93bc7eeb_459x777.png?fit=459%2C777&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/02f56df35-6213-45f7-b47e-faab93bc7eeb_459x777.png?resize=584%2C989&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-251358\" width=\"584\" height=\"989\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/02f56df35-6213-45f7-b47e-faab93bc7eeb_459x777.png?w=459&amp;ssl=1 459w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/02f56df35-6213-45f7-b47e-faab93bc7eeb_459x777.png?resize=177%2C300&amp;ssl=1 177w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 584px) 100vw, 584px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A top conclusion of the recent&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/ar6\/syr\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Synthesis Report<\/a>&nbsp;of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is that the attribution of observed changes in tropical cyclones to human influence has strengthened over the past 9 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The IPCC does not justify its claim that both the detection of changes and attribution have been achieved. So in&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/rogerpielkejr.substack.com\/p\/misinformation-in-the-ipcc\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Part 1 of this exploration,<\/a>&nbsp;I tracked back the claim and found that it had&nbsp;<strong>no support in the one paper miscited by the IPCC in support of the claim<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In this second part, I look at official data on tropical cyclones.&nbsp;<strong>The evidence also does not support the IPCC claim of detection and attribution related to tropical cyclones.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Thus,&nbsp;<strong>a false claim about tropical cyclones<\/strong>&nbsp;made its way into the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/climatechangedispatch.com\/the-ipccs-dangerous-dance-with-climate-misinformation-and-political-demands\/\"><strong>IPCC Synthesis Report<\/strong><\/a>&nbsp;and its&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/climatechangedispatch.com\/ipcc-programmed-to-deceive-the-media-policymakers-and-you\/\"><strong>Summary for Policy Makers<\/strong><\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In an ideal world, a\u00a0<strong>blunder of this magnitude<\/strong>\u00a0would prompt some thinking about\u00a0<strong>how the IPCC performs its scientific assessments<\/strong>, whether it\u00a0<strong>may have\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/climatechangedispatch.com\/the-latest-un-climate-report-is-bumper-sticker-climate-science\/\">drifted from that mission<\/a><\/strong>, and if it can do better.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"542\" data-attachment-id=\"251356\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=251356\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0-tropican-cycloneimage.webp?fit=960%2C720&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"960,720\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0-tropican-cycloneimage\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0-tropican-cycloneimage.webp?fit=723%2C542&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0-tropican-cycloneimage.webp?resize=723%2C542&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-251356\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0-tropican-cycloneimage.webp?w=960&amp;ssl=1 960w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0-tropican-cycloneimage.webp?resize=300%2C225&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0-tropican-cycloneimage.webp?resize=768%2C576&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0-tropican-cycloneimage.webp?resize=800%2C600&amp;ssl=1 800w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0-tropican-cycloneimage.webp?resize=400%2C300&amp;ssl=1 400w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0-tropican-cycloneimage.webp?resize=200%2C150&amp;ssl=1 200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Before proceeding, a quick note on the terminology I\u2019m using in this post, as there is often some confusion in the specialized jargon of tropical meteorology:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><em>Tropical cyclone<\/em>: the general category of storm, defined in the image above<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><em>Hurricane, cyclone, and typhoon<\/em>&nbsp;are names for strong tropical cyclones, depending on where they occur around the world (and names for weaker cyclones include tropical depressions and tropical storms)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A tropical cyclone of \u201c<em>hurricane strength<\/em>\u201d has maximum sustained winds of &gt;119 kph (74 mph)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A tropical cyclone of \u201c<em>major hurricane strength<\/em>\u201d has maximum sustained winds of &gt;178 kph (111 mph)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On to the evidence\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We are in luck.&nbsp;<strong>Data on tropical cyclones<\/strong>&nbsp;are among the&nbsp;<strong>most studied<\/strong>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<strong>reliable data<\/strong>&nbsp;you can find&nbsp;<strong>in climate science<\/strong>. These data are the result of thousands, maybe tens of thousands, of people doing the heroic work of science over more than a century.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The resulting dataset is called the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncei.noaa.gov\/products\/international-best-track-archive\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS)<\/a>&nbsp;\u2014 a&nbsp;<strong>monumental scientific achievement<\/strong>&nbsp;(and also&nbsp;<strong>one the IPCC tried to&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/rogerpielkejr.substack.com\/p\/misinformation-in-the-ipcc\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">throw shade on<\/a>&nbsp;for not providing the \u201cright\u201d trends<\/strong>, but I digress).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Thanks to IBTrACS,&nbsp;<strong>data on tropical cyclone incidence worldwide is readily at our fingertips<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For instance, at Colorado State University, Phil Klotzbach uses IBTrACS to keep a<a href=\"http:\/\/tropical.atmos.colostate.edu\/Realtime\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u00a0real-time dataset of global tropical cyclone activity<\/a>\u00a0that is easy for anyone to use \u2014 and I use it often. The IBTrACS data is the basis for the analyses below.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"356\" data-attachment-id=\"251360\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=251360\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0image-1.webp?fit=1272%2C626&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1272,626\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0image-1\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0image-1.webp?fit=723%2C356&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0image-1.webp?resize=723%2C356&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-251360\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0image-1.webp?resize=1024%2C504&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0image-1.webp?resize=300%2C148&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0image-1.webp?resize=768%2C378&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0image-1.webp?resize=1200%2C591&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0image-1.webp?w=1272&amp;ssl=1 1272w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Global hurricane and major hurricane frequency 1980 to 2022, via&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/climatlas.com\/tropical\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">@RyanMaue<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The figure above, via Ryan Maue\u2019s excellent&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/climatlas.com\/tropical\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">site<\/a>,&nbsp;<strong>shows 12-month running sums<\/strong>&nbsp;of (top line)&nbsp;<strong>tropical cyclones of hurricane strength<\/strong>&nbsp;and (bottom line)&nbsp;<strong>tropical cyclones of major hurricane strength<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">You don\u2019t need a math degree to see that&nbsp;<strong>there is no&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/climatechangedispatch.com\/climate-experts-just-the-facts-on-global-hurricane-trends\/\">upwards trend in either<\/a><\/strong>. What we are looking at today, however,&nbsp;<strong>is the ratio of the bottom line to the top line<\/strong>&nbsp;\u2014 the&nbsp;<strong>proportion of all tropical cyclones of hurricane strength that are major hurricanes.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Below is a figure showing the proportion of hurricanes since 1980 that are major hurricanes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"441\" data-attachment-id=\"251361\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=251361\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0image-2.webp?fit=1272%2C775&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1272,775\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0image-2\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0image-2.webp?fit=723%2C441&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0image-2.webp?resize=723%2C441&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-251361\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0image-2.webp?resize=1024%2C624&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0image-2.webp?resize=300%2C183&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0image-2.webp?resize=768%2C468&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0image-2.webp?resize=1200%2C731&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0image-2.webp?w=1272&amp;ssl=1 1272w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Well there we have it, there has been an increase in the proportion of major hurricanes since 1980. That must be climate change, right? Case closed?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Not at all.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">You\u2019ll note that the&nbsp;<strong>time series above starts in 1980<\/strong>. That is when the IBTrACS dataset has global coverage. It is also&nbsp;<strong>right in the middle of a decade-plus period<\/strong>&nbsp;where&nbsp;<strong>hurricane activity was extremely low<\/strong>, perhaps even&nbsp;<strong>the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41467-021-24268-5\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">lowest in centuries<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Starting any trend analysis in 1980<\/strong>\u00a0for tropical cyclones is thus\u00a0<strong>very likely to result in upward trends<\/strong>, but that\u00a0<strong>doesn\u2019t mean that they are the result of human-caused climate change<\/strong>\u00a0(hence my tongue-in-cheek paper title in the cartoon below).<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"251363\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=251363\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/02f56df35-6213-45f7-b47e-faab93bc7eeb_459x777-1.png?fit=459%2C777&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"459,777\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"02f56df35-6213-45f7-b47e-faab93bc7eeb_459x777-1\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/02f56df35-6213-45f7-b47e-faab93bc7eeb_459x777-1.png?fit=459%2C777&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/02f56df35-6213-45f7-b47e-faab93bc7eeb_459x777-1.png?resize=634%2C1073&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-251363\" width=\"634\" height=\"1073\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/02f56df35-6213-45f7-b47e-faab93bc7eeb_459x777-1.png?w=459&amp;ssl=1 459w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/02f56df35-6213-45f7-b47e-faab93bc7eeb_459x777-1.png?resize=177%2C300&amp;ssl=1 177w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 634px) 100vw, 634px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Here it is important to revisit how the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/ar6\/wg1\/downloads\/report\/IPCC_AR6_WGI_Full_Report.pdf\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">IPCC defines<\/a>&nbsp;the&nbsp;<em>detection<\/em>&nbsp;of a change in climate:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Detection of change is defined as the process of demonstrating that climate or a system affected by climate has changed in some defined statistical sense, without providing a reason for that change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">An identified change is detected in observations if its likelihood of occurrence by chance due to internal variability alone is determined to be small, for example, &lt;10%.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">To conclude that a variable has changed requires&nbsp;<strong>demonstrating that a trend in observed statistics<\/strong>&nbsp;<strong>goes beyond<\/strong>&nbsp;that which&nbsp;<strong>might be observed within the variability of those data.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Otherwise,&nbsp;<strong>we risk misidentifying noise or internal variability<\/strong>&nbsp;as a change in the system.&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/climatechangedispatch.com\/despite-news-reports-climate-change-not-behind-weird-winter-weather\/\">Climate data can be highly variable<\/a>&nbsp;over many different time scales \u2014&nbsp;<strong>this of course is why cherry-picking data<\/strong>&nbsp;<strong>can be problematic<\/strong>, but also&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/climatechangedispatch.com\/wapo-omits-data-to-claim-summers-are-hotter-longer-and-more-dangerous\/\"><strong>appealing to the mischievous<\/strong><\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fortunately, on tropical cyclones&nbsp;<strong>much data predates&nbsp;1980,<\/strong>&nbsp;allowing us to&nbsp;<strong>explore in-depth internal variability in tropical cyclone occurrence<\/strong>&nbsp;and how apparent&nbsp;<strong>trends compare to that variability.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Specifically, there are&nbsp;<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/climatechangedispatch.com\/50-years-landfalling-tropical-cyclones\/\">longer-term data on tropical cyclones<\/a>&nbsp;in the North Atlantic and Western North Pacific<\/strong>&nbsp;\u2014 NA and WNP, which&nbsp;<strong>represent about 50% of all global activity<\/strong>&nbsp;\u2014 dating back to 1950.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Let\u2019s take a look at what those data show.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The figure below shows in red the global data (same as in the graph above). The figure shows in black the proportion of major hurricanes for the NA and WNP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As we would expect,\u00a0<strong>these time series are highly correlated, since the latter comprises 50% of the former.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"515\" data-attachment-id=\"251365\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=251365\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/image-173.png?fit=1272%2C906&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1272,906\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-173\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/image-173.png?fit=723%2C515&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/image-173.png?resize=723%2C515&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-251365\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/image-173.png?resize=1024%2C729&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/image-173.png?resize=300%2C214&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/image-173.png?resize=768%2C547&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/image-173.png?resize=1200%2C855&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/image-173.png?w=1272&amp;ssl=1 1272w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We can conclude with some confidence that&nbsp;<strong>trends in the proportion of major hurricanes in the NA &amp; WNP combined<\/strong>&nbsp;make for a good proxy for trends in the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/climatechangedispatch.com\/what-the-media-wont-tell-you-about-hurricanes\/\">proportion of major hurricanes<\/a>&nbsp;at the overall global level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So let\u2019s next look at trends in the NA and WNP from 1950 shown below.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"438\" data-attachment-id=\"251367\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=251367\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0image-5.webp?fit=1272%2C770&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1272,770\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0image-5\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0image-5.webp?fit=723%2C438&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0image-5.webp?resize=723%2C438&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-251367\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0image-5.webp?resize=1024%2C620&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0image-5.webp?resize=300%2C182&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0image-5.webp?resize=768%2C465&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0image-5.webp?resize=1200%2C726&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0image-5.webp?w=1272&amp;ssl=1 1272w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So where does all this leave us? Well,&nbsp;<strong>here is a cherry-picker\u2019s guide<\/strong>&nbsp;to the&nbsp;<strong>proportion of major hurricanes<\/strong>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Want to show an increase? Start your analysis in 1980.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Want to show no trends? Start your analysis in 1950.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Want to show a decrease? Start your analysis in 2002.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">More seriously,&nbsp;<strong>what does the scientific community conclude<\/strong>&nbsp;when a&nbsp;<strong>climate time series does not indicate trends outside the bounds of observed variability<\/strong>?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Detection has not been achieved.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That means&nbsp;<strong>there is&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/climatechangedispatch.com\/new-paper-extreme-weather-trends-show-little-evidence-of-changes\/\">no trend to attribute<\/a><\/strong>. Neither detection nor attribution has been achieved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The&nbsp;<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/climatechangedispatch.com\/why-you-should-ignore-latest-ipcc-climate-report\/\">IPCC AR6<\/a>&nbsp;failed spectacularly on tropical cyclones<\/strong>&nbsp;in&nbsp;<strong>concluding that both detection and attribution<\/strong>&nbsp;have not only&nbsp;<strong>been achieved<\/strong>&nbsp;related to an increasing proportion of major hurricanes but that<strong>&nbsp;such conclusions have strengthened since 2014<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>This is all fiction,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/climatechangedispatch.com\/uns-latest-climate-report-is-a-woke-dumpster-fire-masquerading-as-science\/\">misinformation even<\/a><\/strong>. Yes, I know these are strong words. The IPCC is far too important to allow errors of this magnitude.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Roger Pielke Jr. has been a professor at the University of Colorado since 2001. Previously, he was a staff scientist in the Environmental and Societal Impacts Group of the National Center for Atmospheric Research.&nbsp;He has degrees in mathematics, public policy, and political science, and is the&nbsp;<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/amzn.to\/2EondXf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em>author of numerous books<\/em><\/a><em>. (Amazon).<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The\u00a0IPCC AR6\u00a0failed spectacularly on tropical cyclones\u00a0in\u00a0concluding that both detection and attribution\u00a0have not only\u00a0been achieved\u00a0related to an increasing proportion of major hurricanes but that\u00a0such conclusions have strengthened since 2014.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":251369,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-251352","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","9":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/02SQPBD2I6ZYPSAFC4RHYMVGKJU.jpg?fit=1200%2C856&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-13o4","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":279281,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=279281","url_meta":{"origin":251352,"position":0},"title":"Hurricane Daniel and the Medicanes: A Dive into Science","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"18\/09\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The media\u2019s recent fascination with Hurricane Daniel and the phenomenon of \u201cMedicanes\u201d has sparked a flurry of discussions, with many attributing these rare supercharged Mediterranean storms to anthropogenic climate change. But before jumping to conclusions, it\u2019s essential to delve into the science and understand the broader context.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0Screenshot-2023-09-18-114028.png?fit=1194%2C679&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0Screenshot-2023-09-18-114028.png?fit=1194%2C679&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0Screenshot-2023-09-18-114028.png?fit=1194%2C679&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0Screenshot-2023-09-18-114028.png?fit=1194%2C679&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0Screenshot-2023-09-18-114028.png?fit=1194%2C679&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":339568,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=339568","url_meta":{"origin":251352,"position":1},"title":"Roger Pielke Jr. details \u2018The Top Five Climate Science Scandals\u2019: Study claiming no \u2018climate crisis\u2019 retracted \u2018for not for being wrong\u2026but instead for expressing views that are politically unhelpful\u2019","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"14\/08\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The science community has shown a willingness to retract a climate science paper \u2014 in this case not for being wrong in any substantive way, but instead for expressing views that are politically unhelpful. In 2022, a group of Italian scientists published a paper that summarized the IPCC\u2019s conclusions on\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0Screenshot-2024-08-14-152601.png?fit=1200%2C699&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0Screenshot-2024-08-14-152601.png?fit=1200%2C699&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0Screenshot-2024-08-14-152601.png?fit=1200%2C699&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0Screenshot-2024-08-14-152601.png?fit=1200%2C699&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0Screenshot-2024-08-14-152601.png?fit=1200%2C699&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":244454,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=244454","url_meta":{"origin":251352,"position":2},"title":"The BBC Refuses to Correct their Blatantly False Hurricane Claims","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"19\/02\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Apparently viewers would not have been misled by the misinformation, despite the fact that most will now be convinced that hurricanes are becoming more frequent, when they are not!","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-484.png?fit=1200%2C953&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-484.png?fit=1200%2C953&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-484.png?fit=1200%2C953&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-484.png?fit=1200%2C953&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-484.png?fit=1200%2C953&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":244010,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=244010","url_meta":{"origin":251352,"position":3},"title":"BBC Refuse To Correct Blatantly False Hurricane Claims","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/02\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The handling of this complaint sums up in a nutshell everything that is corrupt about the BBC\u2019s complaints procedures. The whole system is crooked, and will continue to be until it is put in the hands of a genuinely independent body.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/0isabel.jpg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/0isabel.jpg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/0isabel.jpg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/0isabel.jpg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/0isabel.jpg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":279402,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=279402","url_meta":{"origin":251352,"position":4},"title":"The IPCC was hijacked by alarmists researchers causing honest objective scientists to resign.","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"19\/09\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Here's some of the scientists exposing the the IPCC's bias","rel":"","context":"In \"alarmists researchers\"","block_context":{"text":"alarmists researchers","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=alarmists-researchers"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0F6Uj0VbboAAUQdK.jpeg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0F6Uj0VbboAAUQdK.jpeg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0F6Uj0VbboAAUQdK.jpeg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0F6Uj0VbboAAUQdK.jpeg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0F6Uj0VbboAAUQdK.jpeg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":348418,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=348418","url_meta":{"origin":251352,"position":5},"title":"BBC Claim Hurricanes Are Getting Stronger\u2013IPCC Says They Are\u00a0Not!","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"22\/10\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"In other words, there is no evidence of trends either in the frequency or intensity of hurricanes.","rel":"","context":"In \"BBC\"","block_context":{"text":"BBC","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=bbc"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0difference-between-a-hurricane-and-tornado-Hurricane-Damage-scaled-2.jpeg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0difference-between-a-hurricane-and-tornado-Hurricane-Damage-scaled-2.jpeg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0difference-between-a-hurricane-and-tornado-Hurricane-Damage-scaled-2.jpeg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0difference-between-a-hurricane-and-tornado-Hurricane-Damage-scaled-2.jpeg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0difference-between-a-hurricane-and-tornado-Hurricane-Damage-scaled-2.jpeg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/251352","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=251352"}],"version-history":[{"count":11,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/251352\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":251371,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/251352\/revisions\/251371"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/251369"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=251352"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=251352"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=251352"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}