{"id":248695,"date":"2023-03-20T09:22:04","date_gmt":"2023-03-20T08:22:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=248695"},"modified":"2023-03-20T09:22:06","modified_gmt":"2023-03-20T08:22:06","slug":"peaker-power-plants-and-environmental-injustice","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=248695","title":{"rendered":"Peaker Power Plants and Environmental Injustice"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"482\" data-attachment-id=\"248701\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=248701\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-787.png?fit=2500%2C1667&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"2500,1667\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-787\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-787.png?fit=723%2C482&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-787.png?resize=723%2C482&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-248701\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-787.png?resize=1024%2C683&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-787.png?resize=300%2C200&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-787.png?resize=768%2C512&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-787.png?resize=1536%2C1024&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-787.png?resize=2048%2C1366&amp;ssl=1 2048w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-787.png?resize=1200%2C800&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-787.png?w=1446&amp;ssl=1 1446w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-787.png?w=2169&amp;ssl=1 2169w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From <a href=\"https:\/\/wattsupwiththat.com\/2023\/03\/19\/peaker-power-plants-and-environmental-injustice\/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=peaker-power-plants-and-environmental-injustice\">Watts Up With That?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Roger Caiazza<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.peakcoalition.org\/\">PEAK coalition<\/a>\u00a0has stated that \u201cFossil peaker plants in New York City are perhaps the most egregious energy-related example of what environmental injustice means today.\u201d\u00a0 The influence of this position on current New York State environmental policy has led to this issue finding its way into multiple environmental initiatives. Furthermore, this\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.leap.energy\/blog\/peaker-plants-a-primer\">initiative has spread<\/a>\u00a0into other areas of the country.\u00a0 However, the presumption of egregious harm is based on selective choice of metrics, poor understanding of air quality health impacts, and ignorance of air quality trends.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Caveat<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There is no question that disadvantaged communities suffer disproportionate environmental impacts but it is important to understand what causes the harms and balance expectations and potential solutions.\u00a0 I believe the concerns about fossil peaker plants are misguided.\u00a0 Moreover, there is no currently available technology that has been proven at the scale necessary that can replace fossil-fired generation in New York City safely, reliably, and affordably. If safety, reliability, and affordability are not prioritized, then it could easily result in an electric system that does not maintain current standards.\u00a0 More importantly, problems associated with them impact disadvantaged communities more than other communities so those concerns must be considered when decisions are made about peaking power plants.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Peaker Power Plant Background<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a>I have written multiple articles about peaking power plants and alleged health impacts of these facilities in response to&nbsp;<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gothamgazette.com\/opinion\/9511-peaker-plants-harm-communities-of-color-it-s-time-for-new-york-city-to-replace-them\">opinion pieces<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/8f997cf9-39a0-4cd7-b8b8-65190bb2551b.filesusr.com\/ugd\/f10969_9fa51ccc611145bf88f95a92dba57ebd.pdf\">reports<\/a>, and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dec.ny.gov\/regulations\/120061.html\">policy proposals<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I believe that the<a>&nbsp;<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.peakcoalition.org\/\">PEAK Coalition<\/a>&nbsp;report entitled: \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/8f997cf9-39a0-4cd7-b8b8-65190bb2551b.filesusr.com\/ugd\/f10969_9fa51ccc611145bf88f95a92dba57ebd.pdf\">Dirty Energy, Big Money<\/a>\u201d is the reason that environmental justice organizations vilify all New York City peaking power plants.&nbsp; I have described this work in three posts.&nbsp; I published a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/wp.me\/p8hgeb-po\">post<\/a>&nbsp;that provided information on the primary air quality problem associated with these facilities, the organizations behind the report, the State\u2019s response to date, the underlying issue of environmental justice and addressed the motivation for the analysis.&nbsp; The&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/wp.me\/p8hgeb-pq\">second post<\/a>&nbsp;addressed the rationale and feasibility of the proposed plan to replace these peaking facilities with \u201crenewable and clean energy alternatives\u201d relative to environmental effects, affordability, and reliability.&nbsp; Finally,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/wp.me\/p8hgeb-ps\">I discussed<\/a>&nbsp;the&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.psehealthyenergy.org\/about\/\">Physicians, Scientists, and Engineers (PSE) for Healthy Energy<\/a>&nbsp;report&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.psehealthyenergy.org\/our-work\/energy-storage-peaker-plant-replacement-project\/new-york\/\">Opportunities for Replacing Peaker Plants with Energy Storage in New York State<\/a>&nbsp;that provided technical information used by the PEAK Coalition.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/pragmaticenvironmentalistofnewyork.blog\/2022\/03\/16\/the-climate-act-and-the-astoria-gas-turbine-power-replacement-project\/\">post<\/a>&nbsp;describing my comments on the New York State Department of Environmental Conservation (DEC) decision to deny the NRG Astoria Gas Turbine Power Replacement Project Title V Permit Application summarizes issues and implications of premature retirements.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In February 2023 I wrote an\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/pragmaticenvironmentalistofnewyork.blog\/2023\/02\/15\/new-york-good-intentions-unsullied-by-reality\/\">article<\/a>\u00a0about the risks of the zero-risk philosophy of environmental justice advocates who vilify peaking power plants.\u00a0 However noble the concept of eliminating any risks from any source of pollution, if it is construed to mean that anything that might be contributing to bad health must be prohibited, then society basically cannot function.\u00a0 Peaking power plant issues were discussed as an example of this problem in the article.\u00a0 The over-arching concern in the article is that the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.natlawreview.com\/article\/new-environmental-rights-amendment-to-new-york-constitution\">Environmental Rights Amendment<\/a>\u00a0to the New York constitution will inevitably set a high hurdle for permitting a new facility or keeping an existing source in operation.\u00a0 The amendment states: \u201cEach person shall have a right to clean air and water, and to a healthful environment.\u201d\u00a0 It is likely that a debate about what constitutes clean air will ensue for every permit application.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Air Quality and Health Metrics<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Clean Air Act established the primary metric to protect human health and welfare codified in a scientifically-based regulatory program.&nbsp;&nbsp; The&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.epa.gov\/criteria-air-pollutants\/naaqs-table\">National Ambient Air Quality Standards<\/a>&nbsp;(NAAQS) \u201cprovide public health protection, including protecting the health of \u2018sensitive\u2019 populations such as asthmatics, children, and the elderly\u201d.&nbsp; My air pollution meteorology career is based on the presumption that air quality that meets the NAAQS is acceptable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Over my career air quality has improved markedly.\u00a0 The Environmental Protection Agency keeps track of\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.epa.gov\/air-trends\">air quality trends<\/a>\u00a0in the country.\u00a0 The\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/gispub.epa.gov\/air\/trendsreport\/2022\/#introduction\">following graph<\/a>\u00a0shows air pollution concentration averages.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"537\" data-attachment-id=\"248697\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=248697\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-785.png?fit=975%2C724&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"975,724\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-785\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-785.png?fit=723%2C537&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-785.png?resize=723%2C537&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-248697\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-785.png?w=975&amp;ssl=1 975w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-785.png?resize=300%2C223&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-785.png?resize=768%2C570&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-785.png?resize=200%2C150&amp;ssl=1 200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There is no graph available for the Northeastern US but the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.epa.gov\/air-trends\">data<\/a>\u00a0show similar decreases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"248698\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=248698\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-786.png?fit=625%2C838&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"625,838\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-786\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-786.png?fit=625%2C838&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-786.png?resize=723%2C970&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-248698\" width=\"723\" height=\"970\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-786.png?w=625&amp;ssl=1 625w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-786.png?resize=224%2C300&amp;ssl=1 224w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-786.png?resize=150%2C200&amp;ssl=1 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For the most part New York air quality reflects national and regional trends.&nbsp; According to the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www3.epa.gov\/airquality\/greenbook\/anayo_ny.html\">EPA nonattainment\/maintenance status summary<\/a>, there are multiple counties In New York that do not attain the NAAQS for ozone and New York County does not meet the coarse particulate matter standard.&nbsp; Note that all of New York State meets the inhalable particulate (PM<sub>2.5<\/sub>) NAAQS.&nbsp; All the other pollutants are in attainment.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Despite the fact that there have been significant improvements and New York is mostly in attainment with the NAAQS there is another approach to air quality health impacts that regulators and activists have used to claim more reductions are necessary.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Even though New York City is in attainment for inhalable particulates, this pollutant is used as a rationale for shutting down peaking power plants because of claims that reducing inhalable air quality impacts is beneficial. &nbsp;&nbsp;For example, the New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene\u2019s (DOHMH)&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www1.nyc.gov\/assets\/doh\/downloads\/pdf\/eode\/eode-air-quality-impact.pdf\">Air Pollution and the Health of New Yorkers report<\/a>&nbsp;is often referenced in this regard. &nbsp;The DOHMOH report concludes: \u201cEach year, PM<sub>2.5&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/sub>pollution in [New York City] causes more than 3,000 deaths, 2,000 hospital admissions for lung and heart conditions, and approximately 6,000 emergency department visits for asthma in children and adults.\u201d These conclusions are for average air inhalable particulate pollution levels in New York City over the period 2005-2007 of 13.9 \u00b5g\/m<sup>3<\/sup>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In my&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/seam.ly\/IO8sKBq4\">comments<\/a>&nbsp;on the Draft Scoping Plan I explained that the following paragraph from Scoping Plan Appendix G: Section II summarizes the fundamental assumption for these health impacts:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nevertheless, the health impact functions included in COBRA were developed from a specific population exposed to specific levels and compositions of PM<sub>2.5<\/sub>, and conditions in NYS have changed since these functions were developed. For example, the health impact function from the Krewski study was based on examining mortality impacts from 500,000 people in 116 U.S. cities between 1980 and 2000. The levels and compositions of PM<sub>2.5&nbsp;<\/sub>have decreased substantially since 2000, as discussed above, with sharp declines in ammonium sulfate, making ammonium nitrate and secondary organic aerosols relatively more important components of PM<sub>2.5&nbsp;<\/sub>However, the synthesis of the research into PM<sub>2.5&nbsp;<\/sub>impacts on public health conducted for EPA\u2019s draft Integrated Science Assessment for Particulate Matter indicates that the literature provides evidence that the health impact functions may be linear with no threshold below which reductions in exposure to PM<sub>2.5&nbsp;<\/sub>provides no benefits. In other words, even though PM<sub>2.5&nbsp;<\/sub>concentrations have been reduced in NYS in the time since the health impact functions were developed, the evidence suggests that the functions can adequately estimate changes in health impacts even at relatively low levels of PM<sub>2.5&nbsp;<\/sub>Similarly, EPA\u2019s draft Integrated Science Assessment finds that the literature is unclear as to whether changes in the composition of secondary PM<sub>2.5&nbsp;<\/sub>species results in differential changes to health impacts. For this reason, this health analysis, along with most other similar benefits analyses, uses the total change in PM<sub>2.5&nbsp;<\/sub>concentrations to evaluate health impacts rather than looking separately at impacts by the different PM<sub>2.5&nbsp;<\/sub>species.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In brief, the Scoping Plan air quality health assessment depends on a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/topics\/medicine-and-dentistry\/linear-no-threshold-model\">linear no-threshold model<\/a>.&nbsp; Originally used for radiation assessment, it suggests that each time radiation is deposited in the susceptible target there is a probability of tumor initiation.&nbsp; Note, however, that its use in radiation assessment is&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/radiationeffects.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/Problems-with-the-Linear-No-Threshold-Model-and-Reasons-Why-It-Should-Not-be-Used-for-Radiation-Protection-Doss.pdf\">controversial<\/a>.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a>It is important to note that these relationships are not Clean Air Act mandates despite the fact that they are used constantly to justify further emission reductions.\u00a0 Furthermore, their use in air quality assessments is also controversial.\u00a0 The epidemiological data used by the Environmental Protection Agency have\u00a0<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/junkscience.com\/2023\/03\/pm2-5-mass-killer-or-mass-fraud\/\">never been independently reviewed<\/a>\u00a0and another health impact\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/junkscience.com\/2017\/06\/winning-print-version-of-our-landmark-california-pm2-5-study-now-available\/\">study<\/a>\u00a0of all deaths in California between the years 2000 to 2012 (more than 2 million) reported no correlation between PM<sub>2.5<\/sub>\u00a0and death.\u00a0 Furthermore, I also submitted\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/attachments.usercontent.seamlessdocs.com\/CO21121000300725079%2FLgG0JtAHStGZZTgzTuhR_Caiazza+Comment+on+Astoria+Repowering+Application+and+the+Climate+Act.pdf\">comments<\/a>\u00a0on the Draft Scoping Plan where I showed that the 2018-2020 average PM<sub>2.5\u00a0<\/sub>concentration was 7.4 \u00b5g\/m<sup>3<\/sup>\u00a0which is substantially lower than the DOHMOH goal of 10.9 \u00b5g\/m<sup>3<\/sup>.\u00a0 If the epidemiological linear no-threshold model is correct, then because inhalable particulate levels have come down uniformly across the country then there should be significant observed health benefits across the country and in New York City.\u00a0 DOHMOH has not verified their projections against observations. \u00a0Until such time that the projected health impacts using this approach are validated with observed data, I will be skeptical of this metric.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Air Quality Impacts of Peaking Power Plants<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Even if you accept the inhalable particulate health benefit premise, I don\u2019t think that the arguments made in\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/8f997cf9-39a0-4cd7-b8b8-65190bb2551b.filesusr.com\/ugd\/f10969_9fa51ccc611145bf88f95a92dba57ebd.pdf\">Dirty Energy, Big Money<\/a>\u00a0make a convincing case that the peaking power plants are the primary driver of air quality environmental burdens on neighboring communities.\u00a0 The ultimate problem with this approach is that the argument relies on environmental burdens from ozone and particulate matter air quality impacts.\u00a0 However, ozone is a secondary air pollutant and the vast majority of ambient PM<sub>2.5<\/sub>\u00a0from power plants is also a secondary pollutant.\u00a0 As a result, there is a lag between the time emissions are released and creation of either ozone or PM<sub>2.5<\/sub>. By the time the precursor pollutants convert to ozone or PM<sub>2.5<\/sub>\u00a0they have moved out of the neighborhood. That means that the peaking power plants do not contribute to the air quality impact problems alleged to occur to the environmental justice communities located near the plants.\u00a0 In fact, because\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/ehp.niehs.nih.gov\/doi\/pdf\/10.1289\/ehp.1002667\">NOx scavenges ozone<\/a>\u00a0the peaker plants reduce local ozone if they have any effect at all.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Other Consequences<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The alleged effects of peaking power plants also is a consideration in the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/climate.ny.gov\/\">Climate Leadership &amp; Community Protection Act<\/a>.&nbsp; Chapter 6. Advancing Climate Justice in the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/climate.ny.gov\/-\/media\/project\/climate\/files\/Chapter-17.-Economywide-Strategies.pdf\">Final Scoping Plan<\/a>&nbsp;states:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Prioritizing emissions reduction in Disadvantaged Communities should help to prevent the formation or co-pollutant emissions despite a reduction in emissions statewide. A broad range of factors may contribute to high concentrations of pollutants in a given location that create a hotspot. The result can be unhealthy air quality, particularly for sensitive populations such as expectant mothers, children, the elderly, people of low socio-economic status, and people with pre-existing medical conditions.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This contention is based on the arguments in&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/8f997cf9-39a0-4cd7-b8b8-65190bb2551b.filesusr.com\/ugd\/f10969_9fa51ccc611145bf88f95a92dba57ebd.pdf\">Dirty Energy, Big Money<\/a>.&nbsp; I have seen indications that there are people who believe that GHG emissions themselves have some kind of air quality impact exacerbated in disadvantaged community hot spots.&nbsp; That is simply wrong \u2013 there are no health impacts associated with carbon dioxide emissions at current observed ambient levels.&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/8f997cf9-39a0-4cd7-b8b8-65190bb2551b.filesusr.com\/ugd\/f10969_9fa51ccc611145bf88f95a92dba57ebd.pdf\">Dirty Energy, Big Money<\/a>&nbsp;and the Scoping Plan arguments are based on co-pollutant emissions (NOx and PM<sub>2.5<\/sub>) that allegedly cause impactful hot spots that result in unhealthy air quality.&nbsp; Note that all facilities in New York State have done analyses that prove that any locations with higher concentrations in the vicinity of power plants do not contravene the NAAQS.&nbsp; Trying to make the cap and invest program, that is appropriate for controlling GHG emissions to mitigate global warming, also address a neighborhood air quality problem already covered by other air quality rules is not in the best interests of a successful cap and invest program.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The argument that peaking power plants are a source of egregious harm to disadvantaged communities is based on selective choice of metrics, poor understanding of air quality health impacts,&nbsp; unsubstantiated health impact analysis, and ignorance of air quality trends.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I maintain that the appropriate metric for determining the impact to human health and welfare is the NAAQS process.&nbsp; Using a linear no-threshold model approach is not an appropriate metric for permitting decisions related to peaking power plants.&nbsp; Appeasing activists who demand zero-risks ultimately means that no emissions will be allowed and that will shut down society.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The argument that peaking power plants affect neighborhoods as portrayed is flawed.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; The air pollutants that are alleged to be the cause of a significant health impacts in disadvantaged communities near peaking plants are the secondary pollutants ozone and PM<sub>2.5<\/sub>.&nbsp; Because it takes time for the conversion from precursor pollutants, they are unlikely to affect adjacent neighborhoods simply because they are blown downwind during the conversion phase.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a>Inhalable particulates (PM<sub>2.5<\/sub>) are frequently cited as the primary cause of health impacts but independent studies offer contrary results.&nbsp; Taken to the ultimate level this concern would ban camp fires.&nbsp; When the wind shifts and the smoke blows towards a camper, they got a dose of inhalable particulates.&nbsp; If one person stays in the smoke for days, then there will be a health impact.&nbsp; On the other hand the campers that sit around a campfire and get a dose of smoke several times a year get much less of a health effect.&nbsp; The linear no-threshold approach gets its estimates of health impacts by multiplying low health impacts by many people.&nbsp; In this case if there are a million campers and if the impact is one millionth of the impact to the guy who stayed in the smoke for days, then it is presumed that one out of a million people would get sick the same way.&nbsp;<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The biggest flaw in the argument is that activists argue that the health-related impacts are increasing at the same time that PM2.5 concentrations in the atmosphere are decreasing.&nbsp; All the air quality trends are going down.&nbsp; If proponents can show that there have been substantial benefits associated with the observed concentration reductions then I might be more sympathetic to the arguments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a>At some point regulators are going to have to step and be the adults in the room.&nbsp; It is entirely proper to consider environmental justice considerations in disadvantaged communities.&nbsp; However, that consideration cannot be the final word on the continued operation of peaking power plants.&nbsp; This overt deference to environmental justice concerns could easily lead to impacts on the reliability, affordability, and safety of the electric grid.&nbsp; If problems ensue the communities that will be impacted the most will be the ones this mis-guided deference is intended to protect.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a>\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Roger Caiazza blogs on New York energy and environmental issues at&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/pragmaticenvironmentalistofnewyork.blog\/\">Pragmatic Environmentalist of New York<\/a>.&nbsp; He is a retired electric utility meteorologist with over 45 years-experience analyzing the effects of meteorology on electric operations.&nbsp; He has been involved with peaking power plants in particular for over 20 years both from a compliance reporting standpoint and also evaluation of impacts and options for these sources.&nbsp; This represents his opinion and not the opinion of any of his previous employers or any other company with which he has been associated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>There is no question that disadvantaged communities suffer disproportionate environmental impacts but it is important to understand what causes the harms and balance expectations and potential solutions.\u00a0 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":248701,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-248695","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","9":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-787.png?fit=2500%2C1667&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-12Hd","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":305416,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=305416","url_meta":{"origin":248695,"position":0},"title":"New York Strives For &#8220;Climate Justice&#8221;","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/03\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"In 2019, New York enacted a Climate Act, imposing on the citizens various legal mandates for greenhouse gas emissions reductions and net zero targets, the most immediate of which is a mandate of 70% of electricity production from zero-carbon-emissions sources by 2030. The official title of the Act is actually\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"climate justice\"","block_context":{"text":"climate justice","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-justice"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/OIG.vexv09x7eceJyz8z.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/OIG.vexv09x7eceJyz8z.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/OIG.vexv09x7eceJyz8z.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/OIG.vexv09x7eceJyz8z.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":330673,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=330673","url_meta":{"origin":248695,"position":1},"title":"GAO Information on Peaking Power Plants Report","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"31\/05\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Environmental Justice (EJ) advocates like the PEAK coalition argue that \u201cFossil peaker plants in New York City are perhaps the most egregious energy-related example of what environmental injustice means today.\u201d This post critiques a recent General Accounting Office (GAO) report on \u201cInformation from Peak Demand Power Plants\u201d that was prepared\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"GAO website\"","block_context":{"text":"GAO website","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=gao-website"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0Ashford-Power-Peaking-Plant-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C894&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0Ashford-Power-Peaking-Plant-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C894&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0Ashford-Power-Peaking-Plant-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C894&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0Ashford-Power-Peaking-Plant-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C894&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0Ashford-Power-Peaking-Plant-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C894&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":362775,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=362775","url_meta":{"origin":248695,"position":2},"title":"Implications of the Moss Battery Plant\u00a0Fire","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"20\/01\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The PEAK coalition has stated that \u201cFossil peaker plants in New York City are perhaps the most egregious energy-related example of what environmental injustice means today.\u201d The influence of this position on current New York State environmental policy has led to this issue finding its way into multiple environmental initiatives.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Energy Storage\"","block_context":{"text":"Energy Storage","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=energy-storage"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0screenshot-2025-01-17-072743.webp?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0screenshot-2025-01-17-072743.webp?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0screenshot-2025-01-17-072743.webp?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0screenshot-2025-01-17-072743.webp?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0screenshot-2025-01-17-072743.webp?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":225668,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=225668","url_meta":{"origin":248695,"position":3},"title":"Replacing Peaking Power Plants with Battery Energy Storage\u00a0Systems","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"25\/10\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"I do not believe that the advocates understand that replacing a fossil-fired peaking power plant with their preference for \u201cclean\u201d energy and battery energy storage has risks that are potentially worse.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/image-1205.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/image-1205.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/image-1205.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/image-1205.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":368412,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=368412","url_meta":{"origin":248695,"position":4},"title":"Extreme Power Plant Fear Mongering","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"03\/03\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The Applied Economics Clinic (AEC) report titled\u201d A Community Assessment of Health Impacts from the Pittsfield Generating Facility on Local Communities\u201d, prepared on behalf of the Massachusetts Clean Peak Coalition has to be in the running for the most egregious example of inflammatory peaker power plant fearmongering of all time.\u00a0\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Applied Economics Clinic (AEC)\"","block_context":{"text":"Applied Economics Clinic (AEC)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=applied-economics-clinic-aec"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/0danielk4603_From_Fear_to_Empowerment_How_to_Navigate_Fearmonger_f51f7564-f968-4de9-b6ab-9c14882f46f9.png?fit=1200%2C673&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/0danielk4603_From_Fear_to_Empowerment_How_to_Navigate_Fearmonger_f51f7564-f968-4de9-b6ab-9c14882f46f9.png?fit=1200%2C673&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, 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That post discusses the phenomenon known as Dunkelflaute, a German term that means \u201cdark doldrums\u201d (periods when there is little to no wind and sunlight, leading to a significant drop in energy production\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Dunkelflaute or \u2018dark doldrums\u2019\"","block_context":{"text":"Dunkelflaute or \u2018dark doldrums\u2019","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=dunkelflaute-or-dark-doldrums"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0RWE_Blog_Thema-Dunkelflaute_1340x590.webp?fit=1200%2C528&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0RWE_Blog_Thema-Dunkelflaute_1340x590.webp?fit=1200%2C528&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0RWE_Blog_Thema-Dunkelflaute_1340x590.webp?fit=1200%2C528&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0RWE_Blog_Thema-Dunkelflaute_1340x590.webp?fit=1200%2C528&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0RWE_Blog_Thema-Dunkelflaute_1340x590.webp?fit=1200%2C528&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/248695","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=248695"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/248695\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":248702,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/248695\/revisions\/248702"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/248701"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=248695"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=248695"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=248695"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}