{"id":237093,"date":"2022-12-31T18:27:09","date_gmt":"2022-12-31T17:27:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=237093"},"modified":"2022-12-31T18:27:15","modified_gmt":"2022-12-31T17:27:15","slug":"the-2023-transition","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=237093","title":{"rendered":"The 2023 transition"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"237097\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=237097\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-988.png?fit=474%2C290&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"474,290\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-988\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-988.png?fit=300%2C184&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-988.png?fit=474%2C290&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-988.png?resize=723%2C442&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-237097\" width=\"723\" height=\"442\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-988.png?w=474&amp;ssl=1 474w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-988.png?resize=300%2C184&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From <a href=\"https:\/\/judithcurry.com\/2022\/12\/31\/the-2023-transition\/\">Climate Etc.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">by Judith Curry<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Discussion thread for your reflections and prognostications<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Where to begin?\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2022 was a wild ride.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While politics and the economy seem depressing, I spotted a FASCINATING article<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.diamandis.com\/blog\/2022breakthroughs\">Top 22 Breakthroughs of 2022 versus 1922<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"407\" data-attachment-id=\"237095\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=237095\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-987.png?fit=1600%2C900&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1600,900\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-987\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-987.png?fit=300%2C169&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-987.png?fit=723%2C407&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-987.png?resize=723%2C407&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-237095\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-987.png?resize=1024%2C576&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-987.png?resize=300%2C169&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-987.png?resize=768%2C432&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-987.png?resize=1536%2C864&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-987.png?resize=1200%2C675&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-987.png?w=1600&amp;ssl=1 1600w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-987.png?w=1446&amp;ssl=1 1446w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">After reading this article, I feel much better about 2022, and cautiously optimistic about 2023.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Twitter Files and the great twitter unblocking make me cautiously hopeful that free speech can abound, which is the most fundamental pre- requisite for common sense to prevail in human affairs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I look forward to your thoughts on 2022 and 2023, and please provide links to reflections\/prognostications that you find interesting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We will be spending the New Year weekend watching the wild weather in the U.S. west.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Yesterday we received 1\u2033 of rain, which finally melted the remains of a big \u201ccement\u201d snowfall from several weeks ago whose heavy weight brought down many large branches of our juniper trees.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The rain is now transitioning to snow, still pretty warm so it won\u2019t start accumulating until tonite.\u00a0 I\u2019m expecting another large cement snowfall accumulation over the coming week (nonstop atmospheric rivers), and more tree damage. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Once we get a lull in the snow, there will be a big chainsaw massacre at our house.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We need all the rain\/snow we can get out here, but please can it only rain at night and snow in small but frequent doses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And finally, my (nearly) annual end-of-year post is an opportunity to thank commenters and guest posters for their contributions.&nbsp; I also appreciate emails from people who choose not to post comments on the blog.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Best wishes to each of you for healthy, happy, and prosperous New Year<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"484\" data-attachment-id=\"237099\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=237099\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-989.png?fit=1200%2C803&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1200,803\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-989\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-989.png?fit=300%2C201&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-989.png?fit=723%2C484&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-989.png?resize=723%2C484&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-237099\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-989.png?resize=1024%2C685&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-989.png?resize=300%2C201&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-989.png?resize=768%2C514&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-989.png?w=1200&amp;ssl=1 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The rain is now transitioning to snow, still pretty warm so it won\u2019t start accumulating until tonite.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":237095,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-237093","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","9":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-987.png?fit=1600%2C900&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-ZG5","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":223952,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=223952","url_meta":{"origin":237093,"position":0},"title":"Aussie ABC Admits the Renewable Transition is Driving Up Household Electricity Bills","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"15\/10\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"\u2026 the\u00a0up-front costs involved in\u00a0transitioning\u00a0the network\u00a0to renewables will be large \u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/image-715.png?fit=869%2C507&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/image-715.png?fit=869%2C507&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/image-715.png?fit=869%2C507&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/image-715.png?fit=869%2C507&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":262076,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=262076","url_meta":{"origin":237093,"position":1},"title":"German Minister of Economic Affairs wants to curtail industry when energy becomes scarce in winter","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"14\/06\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"During the East German Economic Forum in Bad Saarow, the German Minister of Economic Affairs, Robert Habeck, made it clear that Germany could possibly be forced to take drastic measures if an extension of gas transit contracts between Russia and Ukraine is not possible.","rel":"","context":"In \"energy supply\"","block_context":{"text":"energy supply","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=energy-supply"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0280901455-scaled-1.webp?fit=1200%2C863&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0280901455-scaled-1.webp?fit=1200%2C863&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0280901455-scaled-1.webp?fit=1200%2C863&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0280901455-scaled-1.webp?fit=1200%2C863&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0280901455-scaled-1.webp?fit=1200%2C863&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":201359,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=201359","url_meta":{"origin":237093,"position":2},"title":"Biden praises high gas prices as part of \u2018incredible transition\u2019","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"25\/05\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"By Paul Homewood From the New York Post Out of touch as ever, President Biden celebrated record-high gas prices Monday, gushing that the pump pain was part of \u201can incredible transition\u201d of the US economy away from fossil fuels. \u201c[When] it comes to the gas prices, we\u2019re going through an\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/00screenhunter-11.png?fit=999%2C768&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/00screenhunter-11.png?fit=999%2C768&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/00screenhunter-11.png?fit=999%2C768&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/00screenhunter-11.png?fit=999%2C768&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":223268,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=223268","url_meta":{"origin":237093,"position":3},"title":"AFR: Australia\u2019s Renewable Transition to Drive Up Prices 35% Next Year","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"11\/10\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Surprise \u2013 despite a political promise of cheaper power bills, turns out someone has to pay the trillions of dollars required to \u201ctransition\u201d to renewables.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/image-506.png?fit=726%2C378&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/image-506.png?fit=726%2C378&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/image-506.png?fit=726%2C378&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/image-506.png?fit=726%2C378&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":291208,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=291208","url_meta":{"origin":237093,"position":4},"title":"COP28 Optics: Deal to \u201cTransition Away\u201d not \u201cPhase Out\u201d Fossil\u00a0Fuels","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"14\/12\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Once again equivocation rules climatists.\u00a0 After the uproar over demands to \u201cphase out\u201d hydrocarbon fuel, the wording was changed to say \u201ctransition away.\u201d\u00a0 Thus the divide is papered over while alarmists claim agreement was reached to \u201cleave it in the ground.\u201d\u00a0","rel":"","context":"In \"China\"","block_context":{"text":"China","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=china"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/0COP-28-UAE-Climate-Change-UN.jpg?fit=1200%2C628&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/0COP-28-UAE-Climate-Change-UN.jpg?fit=1200%2C628&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/0COP-28-UAE-Climate-Change-UN.jpg?fit=1200%2C628&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/0COP-28-UAE-Climate-Change-UN.jpg?fit=1200%2C628&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/0COP-28-UAE-Climate-Change-UN.jpg?fit=1200%2C628&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":253442,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=253442","url_meta":{"origin":237093,"position":5},"title":"Political Power Failure: 88% of Germans Reckon Wind &#038; Solar \u201aTransition\u2018 Doomed to Failure","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"17\/04\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Germans were said to be rock-solid supporters of the grand \u2018plan\u2019 to run on nothing but wind and solar. Well, not anymore.","rel":"","context":"In \"Blackouts\"","block_context":{"text":"Blackouts","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=blackouts"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0burn-baby-burn-745.jpeg?fit=1201%2C799&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0burn-baby-burn-745.jpeg?fit=1201%2C799&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0burn-baby-burn-745.jpeg?fit=1201%2C799&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0burn-baby-burn-745.jpeg?fit=1201%2C799&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0burn-baby-burn-745.jpeg?fit=1201%2C799&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/237093","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=237093"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/237093\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":237101,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/237093\/revisions\/237101"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/237095"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=237093"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=237093"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=237093"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}