{"id":208396,"date":"2022-07-13T20:20:46","date_gmt":"2022-07-13T18:20:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=208396"},"modified":"2022-07-13T20:20:47","modified_gmt":"2022-07-13T18:20:47","slug":"a-lesson-on-10-day-forecasts-gfs-models-once-showing-dusseldorf-44c-corrected-downward-14c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=208396","title":{"rendered":"A Lesson On 10-Day Forecasts: GFS Models Once Showing D\u00fcsseldorf 44\u00b0C Corrected Downward 14\u00b0C!"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The model generated fantasy murder heatwave that the media confused as science and reality.\u00a0<\/mark><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

On July 9th, I posted the following chart, from Kachelmannwetter on Facebook. At the time, the US GFS model was showing D\u00fcsseldorf would reach a whopping 44\u00b0C  (111\u00b0F) on July 18, and see an overnight low of a scorching 28\u00b0C On July 19th.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Image: Kachelmannwetter.com<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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That temperature of course would smash Germany\u2019s all-time record high of 41.2\u00b0C to smithereens, if it ever happened. Yet, anyone with any sense understands that model forecasts 10 days out just can\u2019t be taken seriously and that it would certainly soon get adjusted downward back to reality. That is, except the media.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Over the past weekend my mobile phone was lit up by a stream of push messages warning of the coming unprecedented scorching record heat of the likes we\u2019ve never seen before. Climate alarmists were already practicing their lines.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Temperatures in the mid 40s?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

For example, Germany\u2019s daswetter.com reported<\/a> two days ago on one GFS run here showing temperatures reaching the mid 40s C across much of Europe, warning of \u201cmurder heat\u201d:<\/p>\n\n\n

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Europeans would drop like flies, by the tens of thousands! Climate crisis!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cSeveral weather models predict 40 degrees and more next weekend. The heat summer will reach Germany with full force,\u201d blared daswetter.com<\/a>. \u201cIf you don\u2019t have a fan yet, you should get one quickly. The devices will soon become scarce.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Reality: \u201cMurder heat\u201d to last a whole half a day<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Today, 2 days later, the GFS of course has since corrected its computer generated fantasy forecast. Now it shows the following for July 18th:<\/p>\n\n\n

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Image:\u00a0Kachelmannwetter.com<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest GFS forecast July 18 high for D\u00fcsseldorf stands at about 30\u00b0C \u2013 a whopping 14\u00b0C correction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That \u201cmurder heat wave\u201d has been pushed off to July 19 and will persist a whole 12 hours! After that, the poor citizens of Germany will have to struggle with sizzling temps of 25\u00b0C (20\u00b0C in\u00a0Hamburg<\/a>) \u2013 just brutal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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via NoTricksZone<\/mark><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By\u00a0P Gosselin<\/a>\u00a0on\u00a0<\/em>12. July 2022<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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A Lesson On 10-Day Forecasts: GFS Models Once Showing D\u00fcsseldorf 44\u00b0C Corrected Downward 14\u00b0C!<\/a><\/blockquote>