{"id":162590,"date":"2021-09-14T15:39:57","date_gmt":"2021-09-14T13:39:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=162590"},"modified":"2021-09-14T15:39:59","modified_gmt":"2021-09-14T13:39:59","slug":"sorry-world-bank-and-mainstream-media-climate-change-not-driving-immigration","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=162590","title":{"rendered":"Sorry, World Bank and Mainstream Media, Climate Change Not Driving Immigration"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/0137198947_s.jpg?resize=723%2C480&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-162591\" width=\"723\" height=\"480\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/climaterealism.com\/2021\/09\/sorry-world-bank-and-mainstream-media-climate-change-not-driving-immigration\/\">Reposted from ClimateRealism<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">By&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/climaterealism.com\/author\/sburnett\/\" target=\"_blank\">H. Sterling Burnett<\/a>&nbsp;-September 13, 2021<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A Google news search today of the term \u201cclimate change\u201d turns up dozens of stories carried by the mainstream media claiming a study from the World Bank shows climate change could force more than 200 million people to migrate within the borders of their own countries from farms to cities. Like previous predictions made about climate change forced immigration, this is wrong. The claims are based on simulations from flawed computer models. Real world data paints a quite different story, showing crop production is increasing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/africa-climate-environment-and-nature-immigration-europe-69cada32a7c13f80914a2a7b48fb5b9c\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Associated Press<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/policy\/571975-climate-change-could-affect-migration-of-millions-world-bank-says\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">The Hill<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/science\/environment\/climate-change-trigger-migration-216-million-people-world-bank-warns-rcna1984\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">NBC News<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/environment\/climate-change-could-trigger-internal-migration-216-mln-people-world-bank-2021-09-13\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Reuters<\/a>, and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.voanews.com\/science-health\/world-bank-climate-change-could-force-migration-216-million-people-2050\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Voice of America<\/a>, were among the dozens of mainstream media outlets and news services publicizing a new report from the World Bank, titled&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.worldbank.org\/en\/news\/press-release\/2021\/09\/13\/climate-change-could-force-216-million-people-to-migrate-within-their-own-countries-by-2050\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u201cGroundswell.\u201d<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cClimate change is a powerful driver of internal migration because of its impacts on people\u2019s livelihoods and loss of livability in highly exposed locations,\u201d writes the World Bank. \u201c[C]limate change, an increasingly potent driver of migration, could force 216 million people across six world regions to move within their countries by 2050.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The main driver of internal migration, according to the World Bank, is that climate change will make farming increasingly difficult, forcing millions of people, mostly in agrarian developing countries, off their farms and into cities unprepared to handle the influx.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Had the media outlets hyping the Groundswell report bothered to examine existing data, they would have found the World Bank\u2019s claims were unfounded. The World Bank\u2019s immigration projections are based solely on&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.heartland.org\/news-opinion\/news\/ipcc-report-shows-desperation-not-climate-catastrophe\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">computer models<\/a>&nbsp;which the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.science.org\/news\/2021\/07\/un-climate-panel-confronts-implausibly-hot-forecasts-future-warming\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">U.N. has recently admitted are flawed<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For example<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/news\/climate-change-200-million-move-2050-world-bank-report\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">, CBS News<\/a>\u2019 coverage of the World Bank report highlights purported likely internal migration of tens of millions of people within Algeria, Bangladesh, and Tunisia as a result of climate change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Wheat and barley are the two most important crops in Algeria and Tunisia. Between 2000 and 2019, a period the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has referred to as the warmest two decades on record, crop production data from the\u00a0<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"http:\/\/www.fao.org\/faostat\/en\/#compare\" target=\"_blank\">United Nation Food and Agriculture Organization<\/a>\u00a0(FAO) show:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Wheat production in Algeria increased by more than 409 percent and barley production increased by more than 909 percent.<\/li><li>Wheat production in Tunisia increased by more than 71 percent and barley production increased by more than 289 percent.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Rice is Bangladesh\u2019s top crop by a large margin. Between 2000 and 2019, FAO data show rice production in Bangladesh increased by more than 45 percent, setting new production records 13 of the past 19 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">What\u2019s true of Algeria, Bangladesh, and Tunisia is true for every region studied by the World Bank. As explained in\u00a0<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/climateataglance.com\/crop-production\/\" target=\"_blank\">Climate at a Glance: Crop Production<\/a>, almost every nation on Earth is benefiting from steadily increasing crop yields as the Earth modestly warms. And\u00a0<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.thegwpf.com\/un-disasters-report-is-a-huge-blunder-and-embarrassment\/\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>as documented by the United Nations<\/strong><\/a>, the number of climate-related disasters has been declining this century. (See the figure)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/0disasters-by-subgroup.png?resize=723%2C464&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-162593\" width=\"723\" height=\"464\"\/><figcaption>The above chart, published in the United Nations report, \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.undrr.org\/publication\/human-cost-disasters-overview-last-20-years-2000-2019\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">The Human Cost of Disasters<\/a>,\u201d shows declining disasters by type in this century.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It is a shame the mainstream media seems to have swallowed the World Bank\u2019s bogus climate- induced migration claims hook, line, and sinker. Journalists should be more skeptical, especially since international agencies have made similar false predictions repeatedly in the past two decades only to have their prognostications prove untrue. For example, as detailed in&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/climateataglance.com\/climate-at-a-glance-climate-refugees\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Climate at a Glance: Climate Refugees<\/a>, in 1989, a senior U.N. environmental official claimed, \u201centire nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth by rising sea levels if the global warming trend is not reversed by the year 2000.\u201d Also, in 2005, the U.N. claimed, \u201cRising sea levels\u2026will create up to 50 million environmental refugees by the end of the decade.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Neither of these predictions, both based entirely on computer model projections, came true. The latter projection became such an embarrassment for the U.N.&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/wattsupwiththat.com\/2011\/04\/15\/the-un-disappears-50-million-climate-refugees-then-botches-the-disappearing-attempt\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">it tried to \u201cdisappear\u201d the claim<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Climate change may provide an impetus for migration from farms to cities, but for good reasons, not bad. As crop yields improve, fewer people are needed on farms to raise crops. As nutrition improves and incomes increase, the history of development in developed countries show, increasing numbers of people demand greater access to education and over time migrate to cities to take non-farm related industrial, commercial, and white collar jobs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Surely the World Bank and the mainstream media can\u2019t disapprove of economic development and the poor in developing countries raising themselves out of a poverty previously so intractable that generation after generation of people are farm laborers out of necessity rather than choice.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/climaterealism.com\/author\/sburnett\/\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/climaterealism.com\/author\/sburnett\/\" target=\"_blank\">H. Sterling Burnett<\/a>H. Sterling Burnett, Ph.D. is managing editor of Environment &amp; Climate News and a research fellow for environment and energy policy at The Heartland Institute. Burnett worked at the National Center for Policy Analysis for 18 years, most recently as a senior fellow in charge of NCPA\u2019s environmental policy program. He has held various positions in professional and public policy organizations, including serving as a member of the Environment and Natural Resources Task Force in the Texas Comptroller\u2019s e-Texas commission.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">via<strong><em><span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\"> Watts Up With That?<\/span><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ift.tt\/3987D1e\">https:\/\/ift.tt\/3987D1e<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">September 14, 2021<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Reposted from ClimateRealism By&nbsp;H. Sterling Burnett&nbsp;-September 13, 2021 A Google news search today of the term \u201cclimate change\u201d turns up dozens of stories carried by the mainstream media claiming a study from the World Bank shows climate change could force more than 200 million people to migrate within the borders of their own countries from [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-162590","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","has-post-thumbnail","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-Giq","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":261574,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=261574","url_meta":{"origin":162590,"position":0},"title":"Where There&#8217;s Smoke There&#8217;s Wildfire&#8230; Is Climate Change to Blame?","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"11\/06\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"During the past week, both the mainstream media and politicians chose to push a false narrative in response to the presence of smoke from Canadian wildfires blanketing New York City. 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2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":222474,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=222474","url_meta":{"origin":162590,"position":1},"title":"Media Lying About Climate and Hurricanes\u2013Michael Shellenberger","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"06\/10\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Over the last several weeks, many mainstream news media outlets have claimed that hurricanes are becoming more expensive, more frequent, and more intense because of climate change.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/image-279.png?fit=775%2C756&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/image-279.png?fit=775%2C756&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/image-279.png?fit=775%2C756&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, 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