{"id":157734,"date":"2021-08-18T00:28:14","date_gmt":"2021-08-17T22:28:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=157734"},"modified":"2021-08-18T00:28:16","modified_gmt":"2021-08-17T22:28:16","slug":"hockeysticks-dont-die-they-just-get-more-corrupt","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=157734","title":{"rendered":"Hockeysticks don\u2019t die, they just get more corrupt"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

\u201cThe IPCC remains addicted to hockeysticks\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the 6th dimension of Intergovernmental Climate Propaganda, which arrived last week, the long discredited Hockeystick is not just a sidenote, it\u2019s the very first graph the IPCC uses in their Summary for Powerful people (the ones who make policy).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As per usual, hundreds of years of warmth has been retro-extinguished. Thousands of proxies around the world all deviated from the real temperature and non-randomly in the same direction. It\u2019s a conspiracy I tell you! Luckily the IPCC has found scientists  who can correct these simultaneous errors of proxiness which mostly they do by just tossing out the results they don\u2019t like. They ignore whole series they don\u2019t like, delete the years that don\u2019t work for them, and flip that data upside down if they need to. And if that\u2019s not enough they use trees that grow larger rings when CO2 is higher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And when they are not deleteing data, they\u2019re using the wrong trees. No one is even pretending anymore. They\u2019ve done it all before and no one went to jail or even lost a job.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Steve MacIntyre tells it the PAGES2017 data set winnowed down the thousands of proxies to their 692 favorite ones. In PAGES2019, instead of getting more data, they got less, and now there are only 257 proxies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

You might think they were the 257 longest or best proxies, but about 25% of the ones that made it through are short coral studies which often have steep rises in the last 50 years, but no information at all for the two thousand years before that, that mattered.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Figure 1, IPCC 6AR. page 8 PDF<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Steve McIntyre slices and dices the Zombie Hockeystick.<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

The IPCC AR6 Hockeystick<\/a><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Although climate scientists keep telling that defects in their \u201chockey stick\u201d proxy reconstructions don\u2019t matter \u2013 that it doesn\u2019t matter whether they use data upside down, that it doesn\u2019t matter if they cherry pick individual series depending on whether they go up in the 20th century, that it doesn\u2019t matter if they discard series that don\u2019t go the \u201cright\u201d way (\u201chide the decline\u201d), that it doesn\u2019t matter if they used contaminated data or stripbark bristlecones, that such errors don\u2019t matter because the hockey stick itself doesn\u2019t matter \u2013 the IPCC remains addicted to hockey sticks: lo and behold, Figure 1a of its newly minted Summary for Policy-makers contains what else \u2013 a hockey stick diagram. If you thought Michael Mann\u2019s hockey stick was bad, imagine a woke hockey stick by woke climate scientists. As the climate scientists say, it\u2019s even worse that we thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To give the average punter an idea of just how industrial-grade the cherry picking is, McIntyre picks a random assortment of proxy histories the IPCC filtered out in order to discover the modern Hockeystick marked in Red.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Black graphs disappeared, the blue graphs lived on, and the red line is the politically correct history of the temperature on Earth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Random selection of proxies that didn\u2019t show unprecedented global warming in PAGES 2017. The IPPC interpretation in Red.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Curiously, Cape Ghir (bottom right) off Morocco actually has a hockeystick, but its one of unprecedented cooling. It\u2019s an alkenone proxy, which McIntyre describes as being good for estimating ocean temperatures, and used so often they have boilerplate formulas to convert the values into temperatures. However this is clearly wrong, the IPCC heroes know<\/em> the temperatures were rising (how could it be any other way?) so they flip the graph to \u201cdiscover\u201d the warming. Up is down, black is white, you know the drill, Winston. They\u2019ve done it before<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And a quarter of the cherries that were picked were the brief coral studies which tell us nothing about the Medieval Warm Period:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

Coral Temperature Proxies<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hiding the decline<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Since about 1960 tree rings and other proxies \u201cdiverge\u201d from thermometers probably because tree rings are often not good thermometers, and sometimes thermometers are not good thermometers either \u2014 especially when they are put near exhaust vents from air conditioning units.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

MacIntrye:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

They took \u201chide the decline\u201d to extremes that had never been contemplated by prior practitioners of this dark art. Rather than hiding the decline in the final product, they did so for individual trees: as explained in the underlying article, they excluded the \u201cdivergent portions\u201d of individual trees that had temerity to have decreasing growth in recent years. Even Briffa would never have contemplated such woke radical measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Say hello to Divergence-free regional chronology?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201c\u2026rather than excluding divergent series altogether,<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

we exclude only the divergent portions of these series.<\/strong>\u201c<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

If you don\u2019t like your data, you can delete your data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See the bump around World War II in the top graph? It\u2019s gone\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The warming around WWII was \u201cdivergent\u201d from climate models and government grants. It was deleted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The 2021 Zombie Hockeystick also includes that famous tree that responds to increasing CO2 levels by growing larger rings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Five different PAGES2019 series use stripbark bristlecones\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

By confusing cause with effect the stripbark pines are the ultimate tool to find warming at exactly the same time as CO2 rises.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Read it all: https:\/\/climateaudit.org\/2021\/08\/11\/the-ipcc-ar6-hockeystick\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

REFERENCE\/ PROPAGANDA<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

IPCC Summary for Policy Makers round 6. Page 7 , Figure SPM-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

via JoNova<\/span><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/ift.tt\/3iUp4Ix<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

August 17, 2021<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201cThe IPCC remains addicted to hockeysticks\u201d In the 6th dimension of Intergovernmental Climate Propaganda, which arrived last week, the long discredited Hockeystick is not just a sidenote, it\u2019s the very first graph the IPCC uses in their Summary for Powerful people (the ones who make policy). As per usual, hundreds of years of warmth has […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-157734","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","has-post-thumbnail","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-F26","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":156761,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=156761","url_meta":{"origin":157734,"position":0},"title":"Climate Audit: IPCC AR6 is Worse than you Thought","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"12\/08\/2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Guest essay by Eric Worrall Steve McIntyre is at it again, dissecting questionable climate science. If you thought Michael Mann\u2019s original climate hockeystick was interesting, with its intriguing apparent use of upside down proxies and apparent data deletions, check out McIntyre\u2019s deep dive into the product of an entire team\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/00A0rCL4ai.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/00A0rCL4ai.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/00A0rCL4ai.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":335234,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=335234","url_meta":{"origin":157734,"position":1},"title":"Mining For Hockeysticks","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"30\/06\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The iconic \u201chockeystick\u201d simply refuses to die. It was first created by Mann, Bradley and Hughes in their 1998 paper\u00a0Global-scale temperature patterns and climate forcing over the past six centuries\u00a0(hereinafter \u201cMBH98\u201d).","rel":"","context":"In \"Hockeysticks\"","block_context":{"text":"Hockeysticks","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=hockeysticks"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0Screenshot-2024-06-30-105443.png?fit=1200%2C824&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0Screenshot-2024-06-30-105443.png?fit=1200%2C824&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0Screenshot-2024-06-30-105443.png?fit=1200%2C824&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0Screenshot-2024-06-30-105443.png?fit=1200%2C824&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0Screenshot-2024-06-30-105443.png?fit=1200%2C824&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":157992,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=157992","url_meta":{"origin":157734,"position":2},"title":"All these years later and IPCC still depends on Argument from Ignorance","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"19\/08\/2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Thirty years later and the main two arguments of the IPCC are the\u00a0Hockeystick\u00a0and Ignorance Graph. Essentially, the Chosen Expert Modelers look at the recent warming and say \u201c\u2018we\u2019re certain it\u2019s CO2 because we can\u2019t think of anything else\u201d. Or more specifically, \u201cwe\u00a0know\u00a0it\u2019s CO2, because our broken models don\u2019t work without\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/0icc-ar6-sp-fog1b-1.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/0icc-ar6-sp-fog1b-1.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/0icc-ar6-sp-fog1b-1.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":339891,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=339891","url_meta":{"origin":157734,"position":3},"title":"Paper finds the world was cooling for most of the last 2,000 years and started warming long before Big Coal arrived","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"18\/08\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"A Chinese group has looked at all the different kinds of 2,000 year long proxies in the PAGES dataset and found that history looks quite different depending on which proxy you pick. 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Although\u00a0climate scientists keep telling us that defects in their \u201chockey stick\u201d proxy reconstructions don\u2019t matter\u00a0\u2013 that it doesn\u2019t matter whether they use\u00a0data upside down, that it doesn\u2019t matter if\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/0imagewrt.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/0imagewrt.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/0imagewrt.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/157734","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=157734"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/157734\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":157743,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/157734\/revisions\/157743"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=157734"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=157734"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=157734"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}